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Mogi vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 86-58
32-13 15-19 18-10 21-16
Position#8
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game66.0
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#17
Record2-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game79.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mogi v Pato
27 Dec 2026
MOGI v PATO
upcoming
17 Nov 2025
MOGI86
PATO58
16 Apr 2025
MOGI90
PATO76
08 Nov 2023
MOGI70
PATO87
10 Jan 2022
MOGI68
PATO72
06 Jan 2021
MOGI78
PATO63
18 Nov 2019
MOGI73
PATO64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Minas
#1
L
65-88
65
88
-23
51avg 68
A29/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
57-76
57
76
-19
45avg 68
A01/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
60avg 68
A23/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
103-84
103
84
+19
93avg 68
A25/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
87-45
87
45
+42
83avg 68
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 68
H01/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 68
H03/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
74-63
74
63
+11
60avg 68
A06/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
80-76
80
76
+4
72avg 68
A10/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
95-55
95
55
+40
99avg 68
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
14-23
13-24
17-19
22-17
12-21
13-18
10-20
17-12
15-24
18-22
21-21
20-20
26-26
29-13
28-25
24-9
19-18
28-8
16-10
18-17
25-14
23-12
13-14
11-14
16-17
14-14
26-24
16-14
14-18
16-21
28-10
17-21
27-16
13-19
23-20
24-11
32-24
22-11
17-9
147.0Avg total
77.8Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.066.0148.0+16.075%
Season at home (4)82.056.5138.5+25.575%
Season away (4)82.075.5157.5+6.575%
Last 10 (10)77.869.2147.0+8.660%
Last 5 (5)79.064.0143.0+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)75.283.1158.3-7.925%
vs Similar (5)76.076.8152.8-0.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)88.863.4152.2+25.4100%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
69avg 71
A01/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-70
63
70
-7
43avg 71
A21/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
88-92
88
92
-4
75avg 71
A23/10
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 71
H27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
69-71
69
71
-2
55avg 71
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 71
A04/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
75-82
75
82
-7
57avg 71
A07/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
63-101
63
101
-38
42avg 71
A09/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
62-77
62
77
-15
36avg 71
H12/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 71
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
27-24
11-20
20-26
18-16
12-15
14-23
19-16
19-26
32-22
24-26
13-18
17-27
22-8
14-20
22-21
18-20
16-25
13-12
22-14
22-19
11-20
20-8
17-18
16-20
14-26
16-16
29-20
16-24
14-24
17-24
16-29
20-15
14-18
15-17
13-27
21-19
26-18
12-13
23-29
154.3Avg total
72.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.979.2151.1-7.322%
Season at home (4)72.075.8147.8-3.825%
Season away (5)71.882.0153.8-10.220%
Last 10 (10)72.981.4154.3-8.520%
Last 5 (5)70.480.8151.2-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.186.0161.1-10.90%
vs Similar (13)80.578.0158.5+2.562%
vs Weaker (4)80.088.0168.0-8.025%
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
MogiPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A29/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A01/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A23/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A25/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H01/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H03/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A06/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A10/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H14/11
NBB
74.8Avg total
39.0Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.378.1-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.536.476.9+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)37.441.979.2-4.525%-
Last 10 (10)39.035.874.8+3.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.273.2+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)38.041.579.5-3.530%-
vs Similar (5)34.634.869.4-0.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.435.281.6+11.280%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A01/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A21/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A23/10
NBB
Minas
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A04/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A07/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A09/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/11
NBB
79.6Avg total
37.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.182.0-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.939.879.6+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)39.944.184.0-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)37.941.779.6-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)34.840.675.4-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.742.079.7-4.331%-
vs Similar (13)40.840.280.9+0.654%-
vs Weaker (4)44.048.892.8-4.850%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.5
51.9%
52.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.69.3
28.5%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.013.7
68.5%
72.8%13.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.2
48.0%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.87.8
26.2%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.1
70.8%
72.8%12.1
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
WWWLWWWLLL
Pato
WLLLWLLLLL
#8
League position
#17
+10.8
Net rating
-11.6
100.8
Offensive rating
95.7
90.0
Defensive rating
107.2
47.4%
Effective FG%
44.2%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.8%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.5%
3-point %
26.2%
64.6%
Assist %
47.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 95.7Defence90.0 · 107.2Shooting47.4% · 44.2%3-point %28.5% · 26.2%Ball care17.5% · 17.8%Off. rebounds30.1% · 31.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Mogi   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mogi wins
5
Pato wins
DateGameScore
16/04/25Mogi v Pato90-76
21/12/24Pato v Mogi90-106
25/03/24Pato v Mogi100-73
08/11/23Mogi v Pato70-87
11/03/22Pato v Mogi79-70
10/01/22Mogi v Pato68-72
04/04/21Pato v Mogi73-62
06/01/21Mogi v Pato78-63
18/11/19Mogi v Pato73-64
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25HRio Claro95-55
10/11/25ACearense80-76
06/11/25AUnifacisa74-63
03/11/25HFlamengo67-69
01/11/25HVasco79-57
29/10/25HBotafogo87-45
25/10/25ACruzeiro103-84
23/10/25AMinas71-79
01/05/25AMinas57-76
29/04/25AMinas65-88
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25HCearense82-79
12/11/25HUnifacisa62-77
09/11/25AFlamengo63-101
07/11/25ABotafogo75-82
04/11/25AVasco70-65
29/10/25HCruzeiro69-71
27/10/25HMinas75-76
23/10/25AUniao Corinthians88-92
21/10/25ACaxias do Sul63-70
01/05/25AFranca82-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game82.082.082.0
Allowed / game66.056.575.5
Point differential+16.0+25.5+6.5
Avg total148.0138.5157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW22%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game71.972.071.8
Allowed / game79.275.882.0
Point differential-7.3-3.8-10.2
Avg total151.1147.8153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo10100100%90.172.7+17.4
2 Minas98189%85.377.1+8.2
3 Mogi86275%82.066.0+16.0
4 Brasilia86275%83.469.5+13.9
5 Corinthians Paulista86275%86.476.4+10.0
6 Pinheiros86275%82.574.9+7.6
7 Franca107370%85.872.5+13.3
8 Paulistano95456%79.173.9+5.2
9 Bauru95456%71.970.8+1.1
10 Sao Jose84450%75.475.2+0.1
11 Unifacisa84450%78.078.9-0.9
12 Uniao Corinthians84450%76.283.9-7.6
13 Caxias do Sul73443%71.377.9-6.6
14 Cearense72529%79.086.4-7.4
15 Pato92722%71.979.2-7.3
16 Botafogo92722%70.682.0-11.4
17 Osasco92722%75.687.3-11.8
18 Cruzeiro92722%73.085.0-12.0
19 Rio Claro92722%78.192.0-13.9
20 Vasco100100%65.279.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi3215182186
Pato1319101658
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