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Paulistano vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 81-66
18-15 24-9 18-20 21-22
Position#7
Record10-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#8
Record9-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game69.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paulistano v Mogi
27 Dec 2025
PAUL81
MOGI66
10 Jan 2025
PAUL76
MOGI63
27 Dec 2023
PAUL92
MOGI78
28 Jan 2022
PAUL69
MOGI62
04 Dec 2020
PAUL69
MOGI62
17 Oct 2019
PAUL94
MOGI105
13 Oct 2018
PAUL75
MOGI85
26 May 2018
PAUL88
MOGI84
24 May 2018
PAUL70
MOGI84
09 Feb 2018
PAUL84
MOGI67
27 Jan 2018
PAUL86
MOGI87
27 Jan 2017
PAUL77
MOGI78
08 Nov 2016
PAUL59
MOGI80
17 Dec 2015
PAUL84
MOGI75
18 Dec 2014
PAUL74
MOGI76
05 Dec 2013
PAUL93
MOGI89
07 Mar 2013
PAUL67
MOGI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
80-82
80
82
-2
69avg 70
H15/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
63-94
63
94
-31
50avg 70
A18/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
106-86
106
86
+20
108avg 70
A20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
77-66
77
66
+11
73avg 70
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
101-77
101
77
+24
101avg 70
H04/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
59-67
59
67
-8
42avg 70
A06/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
65-69
65
69
-4
64avg 70
H11/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
100-77
100
77
+23
93avg 70
A15/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 70
A18/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
72avg 70
H23/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
19-23
29-25
17-13
18-28
24-25
13-23
8-18
29-11
23-18
28-26
26-31
26-13
14-16
20-13
17-24
28-19
28-20
22-21
23-17
12-20
17-18
18-18
12-11
11-23
16-24
20-10
18-12
32-12
14-21
32-21
22-23
15-29
24-19
20-12
11-22
20-23
19-21
23-24
24-13
158.8Avg total
80.7Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.975.8155.7+4.256%
Season at home (10)80.671.7152.3+8.970%
Season away (8)79.180.9160.0-1.838%
Last 10 (10)80.778.1158.8+2.650%
Last 5 (5)76.075.2151.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.875.0146.8-3.220%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.577.9149.5-6.440%
vs Weaker (10)87.574.1161.6+13.470%
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
95-55
95
55
+40
99avg 68
H14/11
NBB
Pato
#17
W
86-58
86
58
+28
84avg 68
H17/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
101-71
101
71
+30
99avg 68
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
67-70
67
70
-3
53avg 68
H23/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
93-68
93
68
+25
100avg 68
A04/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
69-84
69
84
-15
60avg 68
A10/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
58-62
58
62
-4
47avg 68
A12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
57-68
57
68
-11
44avg 68
H16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
61-79
61
79
-18
45avg 68
A19/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
50avg 68
A23/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-11
32-24
22-11
17-9
32-13
15-19
18-10
21-16
34-26
20-13
30-15
17-17
17-23
16-18
18-16
16-13
31-18
16-11
26-16
20-23
16-21
12-27
27-14
14-22
19-25
18-9
9-13
12-15
15-16
16-9
13-20
13-23
21-19
18-23
14-24
8-13
14-26
12-18
17-21
18-20
144.8Avg total
74.8Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.069.0146.0+8.053%
Season at home (8)79.961.6141.5+18.262%
Season away (9)74.475.6150.0-1.144%
Last 10 (10)74.870.0144.8+4.840%
Last 5 (5)61.275.6136.8-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.585.7157.2-14.27%
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.270.8138.0-3.525%
vs Weaker (8)90.564.2154.8+26.2100%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
PaulistanoMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H15/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A18/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H04/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A06/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H11/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A15/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A18/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H23/12
NBB
80.8Avg total
40.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.377.7+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.337.977.2+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.538.778.2+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.480.8+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.042.078.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.037.075.0+1.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.540.176.6-3.527%-
vs Weaker (10)44.436.380.7+8.180%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H14/11
NBB
Pato
#17
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H17/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H23/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A04/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A10/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A19/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A23/12
NBB
76.7Avg total
39.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.577.2+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.935.476.2+5.557%-
Last 30 away (16)36.841.278.0-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.976.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)32.238.670.8-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.643.579.1-7.97%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.233.668.9+1.650%-
vs Weaker (8)47.534.582.0+13.088%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.5
50.7%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.3
31.7%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.413.8
71.1%
72.8%13.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.114.7
47.3%
52.2%29.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.49.9
30.6%
32.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.314.8
69.5%
72.8%14.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WLWLLWWWLL
Mogi
LLLLLWLWWW
#7
League position
#8
+3.4
Net rating
+6.3
104.6
Offensive rating
101.6
101.2
Defensive rating
95.2
49.5%
Effective FG%
46.5%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.7%
3-point %
30.6%
54.2%
Assist %
69.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 101.6Defence101.2 · 95.2Shooting49.5% · 46.5%3-point %31.7% · 30.6%Ball care18.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds33.0% · 32.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Paulistano   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Paulistano wins
4
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
10/01/25Paulistano v Mogi76-63
12/10/24Mogi v Paulistano72-67
09/04/24Mogi v Paulistano64-61
27/12/23Paulistano v Mogi92-78
28/01/22Paulistano v Mogi69-62
28/10/21Mogi v Paulistano77-72
09/03/21Mogi v Paulistano62-69
04/12/20Paulistano v Mogi69-62
03/03/20Mogi v Paulistano83-94
17/10/19Paulistano v Mogi94-105
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HCorinthians Paulista86-81
18/12/25AUnifacisa70-82
15/12/25ACearense100-77
11/12/25HVasco65-69
06/12/25APato59-67
04/12/25HBotafogo101-77
23/11/25HCaxias do Sul77-66
20/11/25ACruzeiro106-86
18/11/25AMinas63-94
15/11/25HFlamengo80-82
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25AFranca61-85
19/12/25ASao Jose61-79
16/12/25HBrasilia57-68
12/12/25ABauru58-62
10/12/25APinheiros69-84
04/12/25AOsasco93-68
23/11/25HCorinthians Paulista67-70
21/11/25HUniao Corinthians101-71
17/11/25HPato86-58
14/11/25HRio Claro95-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeLWWLW70%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %56%70%38%
Points / game79.980.679.1
Allowed / game75.871.780.9
Point differential+4.2+8.9-1.8
Avg total155.7152.3160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%30%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mogi
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL53%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game77.079.974.4
Allowed / game69.061.675.6
Point differential+8.0+18.2-1.1
Avg total146.0141.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1715288%87.574.3+13.2
2 Pinheiros1715288%88.174.9+13.2
3 Minas1815383%85.876.9+8.9
4 Franca1714382%87.172.5+14.6
5 Brasilia1713476%82.172.4+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista1812667%82.876.6+6.3
7 Sao Jose1710759%79.876.9+2.8
8 Paulistano1810856%79.975.8+4.2
9 Mogi179853%77.069.0+8.0
10 Uniao Corinthians179853%78.280.1-1.9
11 Bauru189950%74.175.3-1.2
12 Caxias do Sul189950%72.877.1-4.3
13 Unifacisa178947%80.379.7+0.6
14 Cruzeiro1751229%77.585.1-7.6
15 Pato1851328%72.480.3-7.9
16 Osasco1841422%75.385.7-10.4
17 Cearense1841422%77.788.9-11.2
18 Rio Claro1841422%77.089.0-12.0
19 Botafogo1731418%71.582.9-11.4
20 Vasco1821611%67.979.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano1824182181
Mogi159202266
← all games of the day
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