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Monaco vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-68
21-22 20-15 22-16 18-15
Position#4
Record18-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game82.0
Monaco 🏆
vs
Virtus Bologna
Position#14
Record13-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game81.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2022
Meetings · Monaco v Virtus Bologna
30 Jan 2026
MCO82
VIR84
18 Oct 2024
MCO101
VIR85
13 Oct 2023
MCO59
VIR83
16 Mar 2023
MCO81
VIR68
09 Dec 2020
MCO68
VIR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
87-75
87
75
+12
84avg 80
H10/02
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#5
L
88-90
88
90
-2
81avg 80
A12/02
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#64
W
107-76
107
76
+31
no box
H15/02
French Cup
JL Bourg
#2
L
92-102
92
102
-10
no box
H17/02
Leaders Cup
Barcelona
#3
L
70-80
70
80
-10
57avg 80
A24/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
86-67
86
67
+19
80avg 80
H02/03
Euroleague
Nanterre
#14
W
108-87
108
87
+21
107avg 80
H05/03
LNB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
84-70
84
70
+14
72avg 80
H08/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
102-93
102
93
+9
94avg 80
A10/03
Euroleague
Roanne
#11
W
85-74
85
74
+11
80avg 80
A12/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
22-19
17-23
20-12
33-22
27-32
12-22
16-14
29-17
29-21
27-21
22-17
18-22
25-28
23-22
26-30
18-24
21-26
18-15
13-15
30-17
9-19
19-23
28-8
25-25
21-11
30-29
32-22
21-17
21-19
22-21
20-13
23-28
29-19
22-26
28-20
25-17
19-23
22-20
19-14
172.3Avg total
90.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.082.0166.0+1.964%
Season at home (14)84.679.5164.1+5.179%
Season away (14)83.484.6167.9-1.250%
Last 10 (10)90.981.4172.3+9.570%
Last 5 (5)93.078.2171.2+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.383.0166.3+0.367%
vs Similar (11)81.082.8163.8-1.845%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)91.279.9171.1+11.486%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 79
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
82-68
82
68
+14
no box
H16/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#4
W
90-65
90
65
+25
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
H19/02
Italian Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
85avg 79
H24/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
72-104
72
104
-32
67avg 79
A03/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
W
91-90
91
90
+1
88avg 79
H05/03
Lega A
Partizan
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
82avg 79
H07/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
96-74
96
74
+22
100avg 79
A09/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
83-68
83
68
+15
79avg 79
A12/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
13-16
18-22
17-8
20-22
14-14
21-12
27-20
29-12
23-21
21-18
17-14
16-17
14-23
21-21
25-23
16-19
28-22
24-21
20-21
14-31
15-27
23-27
20-19
18-25
26-18
23-18
24-29
26-28
21-17
16-20
16-23
22-14
27-19
28-26
19-15
24-12
14-14
26-17
19-25
161.8Avg total
83.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.681.3159.9-2.646%
Season at home (15)79.778.8158.5+0.953%
Season away (13)77.584.2161.6-6.738%
Last 10 (10)83.178.7161.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)84.284.8169.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.385.0166.3-3.750%
vs Similar (8)80.479.5159.9+0.950%
vs Weaker (11)83.877.3161.1+6.582%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
MonacoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H10/02
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#5
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A12/02
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#64
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H15/02
French Cup
JL Bourg
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H17/02
Leaders Cup
Barcelona
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A24/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H02/03
Euroleague
Nanterre
#14
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H05/03
LNB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H08/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A10/03
Euroleague
Roanne
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A12/03
LNB
90.0Avg total
47.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.687.2+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.841.486.2+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)44.543.888.3+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)47.342.790.0+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.083.6+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.744.084.7-3.30%-
vs Similar (11)42.643.285.8-0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.241.687.9+4.671%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#4
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H18/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/02
Italian Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H24/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
29-58
29
58
-29
A03/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H05/03
Lega A
Partizan
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A09/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A12/03
Lega A
79.4Avg total
40.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.179.0+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.839.179.9+1.756%-
Last 30 away (12)38.739.077.7-0.358%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.879.4+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.082.4+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.643.983.5-4.350%-
vs Similar (8)38.436.574.9+1.950%-
vs Weaker (11)42.036.878.8+5.273%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.525.4
57.1%
53.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.8
33.0%
36.2%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.818.7
82.0%
78.5%18.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.5
50.9%
53.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.8
39.4%
36.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.414.9
81.0%
78.5%14.9
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWWWWLLWLW
Virtus Bologna
WWLWLWLWWW
#4
League position
#14
+13.6
Net rating
+1.7
123.3
Offensive rating
111.5
109.7
Defensive rating
109.8
54.7%
Effective FG%
54.3%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
18.3%
38.2%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.0%
3-point %
39.4%
54.3%
Assist %
69.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence123.3 · 111.5Defence109.7 · 109.8Shooting54.7% · 54.3%3-point %33.0% · 39.4%Ball care14.7% · 18.3%Off. rebounds38.2% · 29.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Monaco   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Monaco wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
07/10/22Virtus Bologna v Monaco66-83
09/12/20Monaco v Virtus Bologna68-74
21/10/20Virtus Bologna v Monaco94-85
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23ARoanne85-74
10/03/23ABaskonia102-93
08/03/23HPanathinaikos84-70
05/03/23HNanterre108-87
02/03/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv86-67
24/02/23ABarcelona70-80
17/02/23HJL Bourg92-102
15/02/23HBoulogne-Levallois107-76
12/02/23AJL Bourg88-90
10/02/23HLyon-Villeurbanne87-75
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23AVenezia83-68
09/03/23AAlba Berlin96-74
07/03/23HPartizan79-88
05/03/23HTortona91-90
03/03/23AFenerbahce72-104
24/02/23HBaskonia88-83
19/02/23HBrescia76-84
18/02/23HTortona90-65
16/02/23HVenezia82-68
12/02/23AReggiana74-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %64%79%50%
Points / game84.084.683.4
Allowed / game82.079.584.6
Point differential+1.9+5.1-1.2
Avg total166.0164.1167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)75% (8)60% (5)
Overtime %11%7%14%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW46%
HomeWWLWL53%
AwayWLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %46%53%38%
Points / game78.679.777.5
Allowed / game81.378.884.2
Point differential-2.6+0.9-6.7
Avg total159.9158.5161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2820871%85.075.8+9.2
2 Real Madrid2819968%84.678.1+6.5
3 Barcelona28181064%80.677.3+3.3
4 Monaco28181064%84.082.0+1.9
5 Fenerbahce27171063%84.680.6+4.1
6 Partizan29161355%84.582.5+2.0
7 Baskonia28151354%86.683.8+2.8
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv28151354%82.182.0+0.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas28151354%75.577.6-2.1
10 Anadolu Efes29141548%82.181.3+0.8
11 Virtus Bologna28131546%78.681.3-2.6
12 Valencia28131546%83.085.7-2.7
13 Olimpia Milano27121544%73.076.3-3.3
14 Crvena zvezda28121643%76.078.5-2.5
15 Bayern28111739%76.979.7-2.9
16 Panathinaikos2891932%79.082.7-3.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2882029%74.780.4-5.7
18 Alba Berlin2872125%79.885.0-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2120221881
Virtus Bologna2215161568
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