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Alba Berlin vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-96
14-22 19-27 26-28 15-19
Position#17
Record7-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game84.6
Alba Berlin
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Position#14
Record12-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28
European cup2022
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Virtus Bologna
28 Mar 2025
ABE64
VIR108
05 Jan 2024
ABE68
VIR83
09 Mar 2023
ABE74
VIR96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
86-101
86
101
-15
84avg 83
A03/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
94-86
94
86
+8
101avg 83
A05/02
BBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
60-93
60
93
-33
45avg 83
H08/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H11/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
95avg 83
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A18/02
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
87-72
87
72
+15
90avg 83
A24/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 83
A02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
67avg 83
H04/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
63-66
63
66
-3
52avg 83
H07/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
20-26
14-24
25-20
18-14
22-20
26-22
28-30
13-28
22-17
10-28
15-20
32-22
21-20
21-21
15-18
16-16
27-24
23-19
25-26
17-21
21-19
13-20
26-23
15-25
24-19
21-17
27-11
19-20
25-22
9-35
21-11
17-16
26-27
7-13
21-20
14-15
13-18
18-11
18-22
162.3Avg total
79.2Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.084.6164.6-4.626%
Season at home (14)80.484.1164.5-3.629%
Season away (13)79.585.2164.6-5.723%
Last 10 (10)79.283.1162.3-3.940%
Last 5 (5)74.477.0151.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.789.8167.4-12.117%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.976.8156.6+3.150%
vs Weaker (10)93.479.5172.9+13.9100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brescia
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 78
H05/02
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
70avg 78
H09/02
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 78
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
82-68
82
68
+14
no box
H16/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#4
W
90-65
90
65
+25
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
H19/02
Italian Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
85avg 78
H24/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
72-104
72
104
-32
67avg 78
A03/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
W
91-90
91
90
+1
88avg 78
H05/03
Lega A
Partizan
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
82avg 78
H07/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
19-23
23-22
22-16
17-22
10-25
12-27
36-18
26-17
13-16
18-22
17-8
20-22
14-14
21-12
27-20
29-12
23-21
21-18
17-14
16-17
14-23
21-21
25-23
16-19
28-22
24-21
20-21
14-31
15-27
23-27
20-19
18-25
26-18
23-18
24-29
26-28
21-17
16-20
16-23
162.6Avg total
81.1Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.081.6159.6-3.644%
Season at home (15)79.778.8158.5+0.953%
Season away (12)75.985.0160.9-9.133%
Last 10 (10)81.181.5162.6-0.460%
Last 5 (5)81.289.8171.0-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.487.9168.3-7.545%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.180.3158.4-2.143%
vs Weaker (11)83.378.7162.0+4.573%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
Alba BerlinVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A03/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/02
BBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H08/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H11/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/02
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A24/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H07/03
Euroleague
82.9Avg total
40.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.885.0-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.242.584.8-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)42.143.185.3-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.082.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.478.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.946.487.3-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.142.082.1-1.912%-
vs Weaker (10)45.439.184.5+6.380%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H05/02
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H09/02
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#4
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H18/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/02
Italian Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H24/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
29-58
29
58
-29
A03/03
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H05/03
Lega A
Partizan
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
80.1Avg total
38.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.579.7-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.339.279.5+1.153%-
Last 30 away (11)37.542.780.2-5.345%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.680.1-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.845.484.2-6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.245.584.6-6.345%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.937.073.9-0.143%-
vs Weaker (11)41.338.279.5+3.164%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.820.0
57.5%
53.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.4
33.3%
36.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.713.9
74.3%
78.5%13.9
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.0
52.3%
53.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.5
37.3%
36.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.316.2
79.8%
78.5%16.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLLWLWWLWL
Virtus Bologna
LWLWLWWWLW
#17
League position
#14
-6.9
Net rating
+0.1
106.3
Offensive rating
112.1
113.2
Defensive rating
111.9
54.3%
Effective FG%
53.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
22.2%
Turnover %
19.2%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.3%
3-point %
37.3%
69.4%
Assist %
72.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 112.1Defence113.2 · 111.9Shooting54.3% · 53.8%3-point %33.3% · 37.3%Ball care22.2% · 19.2%Off. rebounds32.6% · 32.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alba Berlin wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
14/12/22Virtus Bologna v Alba Berlin85-76
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas63-66
04/03/23HBayern71-76
02/03/23APartizan74-88
24/02/23ACrvena zvezda87-72
18/02/23ABayern77-83
14/02/23ACrailsheim Merlins91-85
11/02/23HOldenburg89-81
08/02/23HOlympiacos60-93
05/02/23AHeidelberg94-86
03/02/23AFenerbahce86-101
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/23HPartizan79-88
05/03/23HTortona91-90
03/03/23AFenerbahce72-104
24/02/23HBaskonia88-83
19/02/23HBrescia76-84
18/02/23HTortona90-65
16/02/23HVenezia82-68
12/02/23AReggiana74-63
09/02/23HBarcelona75-92
05/02/23HBrescia84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL26%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayWLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %26%29%23%
Points / game80.080.479.5
Allowed / game84.684.185.2
Point differential-4.6-3.6-5.7
Avg total164.6164.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %7%7%8%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWWLWL53%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %44%53%33%
Points / game78.079.775.9
Allowed / game81.678.885.0
Point differential-3.6+0.9-9.1
Avg total159.6158.5160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2719870%84.475.9+8.5
2 Real Madrid2618869%84.077.2+6.8
3 Barcelona2718967%80.977.1+3.7
4 Monaco27171063%83.381.6+1.7
5 Fenerbahce26161062%84.880.8+3.9
6 Baskonia27151256%86.383.1+3.2
7 Partizan27151256%84.982.7+2.2
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv27141352%82.082.7-0.7
9 Zalgiris Kaunas27141352%75.278.0-2.9
10 Anadolu Efes26131350%82.580.3+2.2
11 Valencia27131448%82.785.4-2.7
12 Crvena zvezda27121544%76.378.6-2.3
13 Virtus Bologna27121544%78.081.6-3.6
14 Olimpia Milano26111542%72.976.8-3.9
15 Bayern27111641%77.078.9-1.9
16 Panathinaikos2781930%79.183.3-4.1
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2781930%75.080.2-5.2
18 Alba Berlin2772026%80.084.6-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1419261574
Virtus Bologna2227281996
← all games of the day
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