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Virtus Bologna vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-84
16-17 14-23 21-21 25-23
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game66.5
Virtus Bologna
Italy
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game64.5
ItalyItalian CupItalian Cup - Final
Other2023
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Brescia
22 Dec 2025
VIR86
BRE76
14 Jun 2025
VIR75
BRE65
12 Jun 2025
VIR90
BRE87
14 Apr 2025
VIR91
BRE79
20 Nov 2023
VIR88
BRE76
24 Sep 2023
VIR97
BRE60
19 Feb 2023
VIR76
BRE84
05 Feb 2023
VIR84
BRE78
08 May 2022
VIR79
BRE57
23 Jan 2021
VIR89
BRE90
01 Mar 2020
VIR v BRE
upcoming
06 Jan 2019
VIR88
BRE80
12 Nov 2017
VIR74
BRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
no box
A22/01
Lega A
Bayern
#16
L
84-91
84
91
-7
75avg 79
A27/01
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
87-82
87
82
+5
81avg 79
H29/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
84-72
84
72
+12
88avg 79
H31/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
77-64
77
64
+13
75avg 79
A03/02
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 79
H05/02
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
70avg 79
H09/02
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 79
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
82-68
82
68
+14
no box
H16/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#4
W
90-65
90
65
+25
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
15-19
29-13
10-31
18-22
20-21
17-23
29-25
24-17
25-25
19-20
19-20
30-14
18-21
22-16
14-21
21-14
18-23
16-11
22-16
20-17
19-23
23-22
22-16
17-22
10-25
12-27
36-18
26-17
13-16
18-22
17-8
20-22
14-14
21-12
27-20
29-12
23-21
21-18
17-14
156.7Avg total
81.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.066.5152.5+19.5100%
Season at home (2)86.066.5152.5+19.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.475.3156.7+6.170%
Last 5 (5)81.073.2154.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.986.0165.9-6.140%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.480.9160.3-1.443%
vs Weaker (12)85.978.7164.6+7.275%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 76
A18/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
80-81
80
81
-1
76avg 76
H22/01
Lega A
Ulm
#6
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
H25/01
Eurocup
Varese
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 76
A28/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
71avg 76
A31/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 76
A05/02
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
103-84
103
84
+19
101avg 76
H08/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
71avg 76
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
74-57
74
57
+17
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
16-16
18-23
19-25
23-18
16-18
23-24
18-21
18-15
21-21
16-22
17-27
16-15
22-29
17-27
17-9
20-20
20-19
18-14
16-13
17-20
23-19
22-23
16-22
22-19
20-19
22-22
39-24
17-25
19-21
22-20
22-27
20-19
25-10
11-26
19-17
14-16
22-6
15-14
23-21
156.1Avg total
78.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.564.5139.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)74.057.0131.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.078.1156.1-0.140%
Last 5 (5)82.078.0160.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.092.2164.2-20.212%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.279.5158.8-0.242%
vs Weaker (9)86.881.7168.4+5.156%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
Virtus BolognaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A22/01
Lega A
Bayern
#16
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A27/01
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H29/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H31/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/02
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H05/02
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H09/02
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#4
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H18/02
Italian Cup
78.3Avg total
40.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.879.9+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.238.578.7+1.847%-
Last 30 away (13)40.141.581.5-1.454%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.078.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.876.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.643.882.4-5.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.436.775.1+1.757%-
vs Weaker (12)43.038.581.5+4.567%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A18/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/01
Lega A
Ulm
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/01
Eurocup
Varese
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A31/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A05/02
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H08/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H18/02
Italian Cup
75.0Avg total
39.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.979.9-2.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.239.078.2+0.269%-
Last 30 away (17)38.742.481.1-3.747%-
Last 10 (10)39.036.075.0+3.080%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.874.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.943.977.8-10.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.641.481.0-1.858%-
vs Weaker (9)41.939.080.9+2.967%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.0
52.6%
-36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.6
34.8%
-25.8
🏀 Free throws20.716.9
81.6%
-16.9
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.8
50.5%
-33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.1
35.8%
-27.3
🏀 Free throws21.417.8
83.2%
-17.8
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWLWWWWLL
Brescia
WWLWLWLLLL
#2
League position
#1
+4.3
Net rating
-11.0
110.3
Offensive rating
109.2
106.0
Defensive rating
120.2
52.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.8%
3-point %
35.8%
68.4%
Assist %
62.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
05/02/23Virtus Bologna v Brescia84-78
18/12/22Brescia v Virtus Bologna77-89
08/05/22Virtus Bologna v Brescia79-57
14/11/21Brescia v Virtus Bologna74-103
23/01/21Virtus Bologna v Brescia89-90
04/10/20Brescia v Virtus Bologna80-81
26/10/19Brescia v Virtus Bologna80-82
24/04/19Brescia v Virtus Bologna77-75
06/01/19Virtus Bologna v Brescia88-80
18/03/18Brescia v Virtus Bologna66-70
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HTortona90-65
16/02/23HVenezia82-68
12/02/23AReggiana74-63
09/02/23HBarcelona75-92
05/02/23HBrescia84-78
03/02/23ALyon-Villeurbanne77-64
31/01/23HCrvena zvezda84-72
29/01/23HVerona87-82
27/01/23ABayern84-91
22/01/23ABrindisi77-78
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HPesaro74-57
15/02/23AOlimpia Milano75-72
12/02/23HSassari80-93
08/02/23HCluj-Napoca103-84
05/02/23AVirtus Bologna78-84
31/01/23AJL Bourg74-66
28/01/23AVarese72-80
25/01/23HUlm72-85
22/01/23HTreviso80-81
18/01/23APrometey72-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Italian Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game66.566.5-
Point differential+19.5+19.5-
Avg total152.5152.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Brescia
Italian Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game74.574.075.0
Allowed / game64.557.072.0
Point differential+10.0+17.0+3.0
Avg total139.0131.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna220100%86.066.5+19.5
2 Brescia220100%74.564.5+10.0
3 Pesaro21150%70.577.0-6.5
4 Tortona21150%69.580.0-10.5
5 Olimpia Milano1010%72.075.0-3.0
6 Trento1010%70.074.0-4.0
7 Varese1010%80.084.0-4.0
8 Venezia1010%68.082.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1614212576
Brescia1723212384
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