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Montenegro vs Finland Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 65-85
23-23 14-24 15-20 13-18
Position#19
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game100.0
vs
Finland 🏆
Position#10
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game84.5
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Nokia Arena
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montenegro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Finland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontenegro
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#9
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
61-85
61
85
-24
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
85-62
85
62
+23
81avg 72
H22/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
90-86
90
86
+4
84avg 72
A25/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
76-95
76
95
-19
57avg 72
H20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
66avg 72
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
76-106
76
106
-30
71avg 72
H27/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
66avg 72
A29/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
13-22
10-18
21-25
19-14
17-16
14-12
23-27
10-28
20-19
20-11
11-27
27-24
23-13
25-20
20-13
20-16
24-11
21-25
20-10
22-21
19-27
25-19
24-19
17-26
21-24
13-25
25-20
14-20
19-12
18-21
21-19
20-24
23-22
12-33
21-27
15-26
13-21
17-19
22-28
162.1Avg total
77.7Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.5100.0171.5-28.50%
Season at home (1)76.0106.0182.0-30.00%
Season away (1)67.094.0161.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)77.784.4162.1-6.740%
Last 5 (5)78.493.4171.8-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.884.3155.1-13.622%
vs Similar (9)76.275.8152.0+0.456%
vs Weaker (12)82.871.9154.8+10.975%
This opponent (Finland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Cape Verde
#45
W
100-77
100
77
+23
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
90-75
90
75
+15
no box
H02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#1
L
61-77
61
77
-16
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
89-85
89
85
+4
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
83-90
83
90
-7
74avg 89
H21/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
64-81
64
81
-17
62avg 89
A24/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
95-105
95
105
-10
91avg 89
H21/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
83-77
83
77
+6
75avg 89
A24/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
93-90
93
90
+3
92avg 89
A27/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
109-79
109
79
+30
109avg 89
H29/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
26-23
23-17
23-21
13-17
35-18
19-27
23-13
20-17
14-19
17-22
10-19
23-27
19-31
30-14
17-13
25-20
23-23
15-19
20-28
21-17
19-21
13-17
11-26
26-24
31-27
14-28
24-26
24-25
17-22
18-23
24-7
26-21
23-27
23-24
21-18
30-21
28-21
23-14
28-23
170.3Avg total
86.7Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)101.084.5185.5+16.5100%
Season at home (1)109.079.0188.0+30.0100%
Season away (1)93.090.0183.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.783.6170.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)88.886.4175.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.189.5168.6-10.523%
vs Similar (10)89.380.7170.0+8.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.977.4168.3+13.4100%
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
MontenegroFinland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A22/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H25/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H22/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A25/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A29/08
EuroBasket
79.5Avg total
38.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.775.9+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.337.577.8+2.857%-
Last 30 away (16)36.437.974.2-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.279.5-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.644.681.2-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.643.677.1-10.022%-
vs Similar (9)38.938.076.9+0.944%-
vs Weaker (12)41.233.174.2+8.183%-
This opponent (Finland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cape Verde
#45
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A31/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A23/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H26/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H21/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A24/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H21/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A27/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H29/08
EuroBasket
90.8Avg total
47.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.785.9+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.741.687.3+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.841.884.6+1.053%-
Last 10 (10)47.143.790.8+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)49.045.294.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)42.246.688.8-4.431%-
vs Similar (10)44.336.881.1+7.580%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.939.687.4+8.386%-
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.0
53.7%
52.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.1
32.4%
33.4%21.4
🏀 Free throws23.017.0
73.9%
73.1%17.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.2
52.9%
52.4%36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.2
35.4%
33.4%33.8
🏀 Free throws17.513.4
76.4%
73.1%13.4
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Montenegro
LLLLWWWLWL
Finland
WWWLLLWLWW
#19
League position
#10
-8.7
Net rating
-1.5
106.8
Offensive rating
114.7
115.5
Defensive rating
116.3
51.8%
Effective FG%
53.0%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
20.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.4%
3-point %
35.4%
53.5%
Assist %
80.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 114.7Defence115.5 · 116.3Shooting51.8% · 53.0%3-point %32.4% · 35.4%Ball care20.0% · 15.8%Off. rebounds32.6% · 33.4%Free throws0.39 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Montenegro   ■ Finland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Montenegro wins
0
Finland wins
No previous meetings.
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/25ALithuania67-94
27/08/25HGermany76-106
23/02/25ASweden83-86 OT
20/02/25HGermany76-95
25/11/24ABulgaria90-86
22/11/24HBulgaria85-62
25/02/24HSweden95-70
22/02/24AGermany61-85
03/09/23AGreece73-69
29/08/23HLithuania71-91
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/25HGreat Britain109-79
27/08/25ASweden93-90
24/02/25ADenmark83-77
21/02/25HSerbia95-105
24/11/24AGeorgia64-81
21/11/24HGeorgia83-90
26/02/24HDenmark89-85
23/02/24ASerbia61-77
02/09/23HVenezuela90-75
31/08/23ACape Verde100-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montenegro
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.576.067.0
Allowed / game100.0106.094.0
Point differential-28.5-30.0-27.0
Avg total171.5182.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Finland
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.0109.093.0
Allowed / game84.579.090.0
Point differential+16.5+30.0+3.0
Avg total185.5188.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%91.064.0+27.0
2 Germany330100%106.082.3+23.7
3 France220100%97.579.5+18.0
4 Greece220100%85.567.5+18.0
5 Turkey220100%92.575.5+17.0
6 Finland220100%101.084.5+16.5
7 Serbia330100%87.371.0+16.3
8 Israel110100%83.071.0+12.0
9 Poland110100%105.095.0+10.0
10 Lithuania32167%92.081.3+10.7
11 Italy21150%72.068.5+3.5
12 Portugal21150%65.565.0+0.5
13 Georgia21150%72.573.5-1.0
14 Belgium21150%67.578.0-10.5
15 Sweden31233%83.785.7-2.0
16 Estonia31233%74.381.7-7.3
17 Latvia31233%75.082.3-7.3
18 Slovenia2020%95.0104.0-9.0
19 Iceland2020%67.577.0-9.5
20 Czech Republic3030%67.781.0-13.3
21 Spain1010%69.083.0-14.0
22 Great Britain3030%69.393.7-24.3
23 Cyprus2020%66.593.5-27.0
24 Montenegro2020%71.5100.0-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Montenegro2314151365
Finland2324201885
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