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Morehead State vs Belmont Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 83-74
44-33 39-41
Position#76
Record12-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game63.1
vs
Position#24
Record14-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Morehead State v Belmont
20 Jan 2022
MORE83
BELM74
27 Feb 2021
MORE89
BELM82
20 Feb 2020
MORE67
BELM80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#229
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H07/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A11/12
NCAA
Xavier
#155
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A16/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#567
W
87-47
87
47
+40
H18/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
80-52
80
52
+28
A22/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
66-55
66
55
+11
A08/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H13/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-24
32-27
33-28
38-38
41-39
34-43
19-47
44-39
34-22
53-25
42-23
38-29
23-26
40-24
38-29
28-26
31-28
45-34
41-31
30-33
132.6Avg total
71.1Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.263.1133.2+7.171%
Season at home (8)74.056.8130.8+17.2100%
Season away (9)66.868.7135.4-1.944%
Last 10 (10)71.161.5132.6+9.680%
Last 5 (5)71.256.6127.8+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.774.0144.7-3.350%
vs Similar ◀ (7)66.169.6135.7-3.457%
vs Weaker (16)72.158.6130.7+13.494%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#249
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H03/12
NCAA
Samford
#91
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A05/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A08/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H15/12
NCAA
Bethel (IN)
#463
W
115-86
115
86
+29
H18/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
102-62
102
62
+40
H07/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
81-55
81
55
+26
A08/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H14/01
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
60-82
60
82
-22
H15/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-26
47-39
46-25
39-48
26-32
38-27
39-23
37-45
51-44
64-42
57-33
45-29
42-31
39-24
50-28
42-49
35-48
25-34
46-32
34-32
154.0Avg total
84.9Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.270.7151.9+10.578%
Season at home (10)84.870.0154.8+14.880%
Season away (8)76.871.6148.4+5.175%
Last 10 (10)84.969.1154.0+15.890%
Last 5 (5)83.068.0151.0+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.082.0142.0-22.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.374.0147.3-0.764%
vs Weaker (17)83.866.4150.1+17.488%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +11.7+11.72nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +4.1+4.1
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +11.7+11.72nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +4.1+4.1
Morehead StateBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#229
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H07/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Xavier
#155
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A16/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#567
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H18/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A22/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A08/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
NCAA
62.6Avg total
32.9Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.730.963.5+1.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.227.158.3+4.179%-
Last 30 away (16)33.934.268.1-0.262%-
Last 10 (10)32.929.762.6+3.280%-
Last 5 (5)35.027.462.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.738.268.8-7.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)29.031.460.4-2.443%-
vs Weaker (16)34.928.162.9+6.894%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lipscomb
#249
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H03/12
NCAA
Samford
#91
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A05/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A08/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H15/12
NCAA
Bethel (IN)
#463
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H18/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H07/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A08/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H14/01
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H15/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A18/01
NCAA
76.1Avg total
43.9Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.032.371.3+6.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.131.271.4+8.976%-
Last 30 away (13)37.533.771.2+3.854%-
Last 10 (10)43.932.276.1+11.780%-
Last 5 (5)46.034.480.4+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.048.083.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.735.169.8-0.445%-
vs Weaker (17)41.328.970.2+12.482%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Morehead State wins
3
Belmont wins
DateGameScore
07/03/21Belmont v Morehead State71-86
27/02/21Morehead State v Belmont89-82 OT
13/02/21Belmont v Morehead State73-58
21/02/20Morehead State v Belmont67-80
18/01/20Belmont v Morehead State77-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/22ATennessee State71-64
13/01/22HUT Martin76-62
08/01/22AAustin Peay66-55
30/12/21HEastern Illinois63-50
22/12/21AIUPUI80-52
18/12/21HAlice Loyd87-47
16/12/21AXavier63-86
11/12/21AEast Tennessee St75-82
07/12/21HPresbyterian71-66
02/12/21HGeorgia Southern59-51
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/22ASiu Edwardsville80-64
15/01/22HMurray State60-82
14/01/22HTennessee Tech92-77
08/01/22AUT Martin81-55
07/01/22HSoutheast Missouri State102-62
18/12/21HBethel (IN)115-86
15/12/21HChattanooga Mocs76-68
08/12/21ASt. Louis Billikens64-59
05/12/21ASamford85-73
03/12/21HLipscomb94-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%100%44%
Points / game70.274.066.8
Allowed / game63.156.868.7
Point differential+7.1+17.2-1.9
Avg total133.2130.8135.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belmont
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game81.284.876.8
Allowed / game70.770.071.6
Point differential+10.5+14.8+5.1
Avg total151.9154.8148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State1712571%70.263.1+7.1
2 Western Illinois1812667%80.575.1+5.4
3 Siu Edwardsville167944%68.666.5+2.1
4 UALR146843%70.972.6-1.8
5 Tennessee State1771041%75.872.2+3.6
6 UT Martin1761135%71.574.5-3.0
7 Southeast Missouri State1761135%74.482.1-7.6
8 Tennessee Tech1641225%73.174.0-0.9
9 Eastern Illinois1621412%55.869.9-14.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1715288%82.663.9+18.7
2 Belmont1814478%81.270.7+10.5
3 Drake1913668%74.265.3+8.9
4 Southern Illinois1810856%65.360.9+4.4
5 Northern Iowa179853%74.970.2+4.8
6 Illinois State189950%78.878.2+0.6
7 Bradley1991047%72.367.3+5.0
8 Valparaiso1991047%72.870.0+2.8
9 Indiana State178947%73.470.1+3.2
10 Illinois (Chi.)157847%69.770.3-0.7
11 Evansville1641225%59.868.0-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State443983
Belmont334174
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