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Tennessee State vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 64-71
31-41 33-30
Position#241
Record6-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#76
Record11-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game63.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Tennessee State v Morehead State
16 Jan 2027
TENN v MORE
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
TENN93
MORE67
15 Jan 2026
TENN105
MORE100
27 Feb 2025
TENN64
MORE55
01 Feb 2024
TENN49
MORE68
29 Dec 2022
TENN75
MORE83
15 Jan 2022
TENN64
MORE71
11 Feb 2021
TENN66
MORE79
04 Mar 2020
TENN74
MORE67
16 Jan 2020
TENN64
MORE48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#165
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H28/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A04/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
70-44
70
44
+26
H11/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A12/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#350
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A17/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#227
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
A18/12
NCAA
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
#552
W
108-66
108
66
+42
H21/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H07/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H08/01
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
44-67
44
67
-23
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
48-49
20-25
29-34
33-17
37-27
39-28
34-37
34-41
44-34
29-46
46-29
49-29
59-37
34-49
44-45
42-30
53-54
16-35
28-32
148.9Avg total
76.3Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.372.8149.1+3.540%
Season at home (6)90.371.0161.3+19.367%
Season away (9)67.074.0141.0-7.022%
Last 10 (10)76.372.6148.9+3.750%
Last 5 (5)82.680.2162.8+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)63.575.4138.9-11.90%
vs Similar (10)72.374.2146.5-1.930%
vs Weaker (8)72.974.1147.0-1.238%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#120
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H28/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H07/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A11/12
NCAA
Xavier
#155
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A16/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#567
W
87-47
87
47
+40
H18/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
80-52
80
52
+28
A22/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
66-55
66
55
+11
A08/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-25
36-37
27-24
32-27
33-28
38-38
41-39
34-43
19-47
44-39
34-22
53-25
42-23
38-29
23-26
40-24
38-29
28-26
31-28
45-34
132.3Avg total
71.0Scored
61.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.163.0133.1+7.169%
Season at home (8)74.056.8130.8+17.2100%
Season away (8)66.269.2135.5-3.038%
Last 10 (10)71.061.3132.3+9.780%
Last 5 (5)74.453.2127.6+21.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.774.0144.7-3.350%
vs Similar (8)68.569.1137.6-0.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)72.158.3130.4+13.993%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +6.6+6.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +6.6+6.6
Tennessee StateMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#165
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H28/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A04/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H11/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A12/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#350
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#227
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A18/12
NCAA
Campbellsville-Harrodsburg
#552
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H21/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H07/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H08/01
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
16-35
16
35
-19
A14/01
NCAA
66.1Avg total
32.8Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.234.867.0-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.932.269.2+4.762%-
Last 30 away (17)28.636.765.4-8.118%-
Last 10 (10)32.833.366.1-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.037.871.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)27.735.963.6-8.220%-
vs Similar (10)32.134.766.8-2.640%-
vs Weaker (8)32.835.268.0-2.538%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMKC
#120
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H28/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H07/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Xavier
#155
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A16/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#567
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H18/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A22/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A08/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/01
NCAA
61.3Avg total
32.2Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.530.963.4+1.670%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.227.158.3+4.179%-
Last 30 away (16)33.634.267.8-0.762%-
Last 10 (10)32.229.161.3+3.180%-
Last 5 (5)33.625.659.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.738.268.8-7.533%-
vs Similar (8)29.831.561.2-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)34.527.962.3+6.693%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tennessee State wins
3
Morehead State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/22AMurray State44-67
08/01/22HSoutheast Missouri State95-84
07/01/22HUT Martin78-94
21/12/21HCampbellsville-Harrodsburg108-66
18/12/21ASouth Carolina St88-90 OT
17/12/21ACharleston Southern78-75
12/12/21ALipscomb73-65
11/12/21HIUPUI70-44
04/12/21AChicago State49-59
28/11/21HSouthern Univ.80-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/22HUT Martin76-62
08/01/22AAustin Peay66-55
30/12/21HEastern Illinois63-50
22/12/21AIUPUI80-52
18/12/21HAlice Loyd87-47
16/12/21AXavier63-86
11/12/21AEast Tennessee St75-82
07/12/21HPresbyterian71-66
02/12/21HGeorgia Southern59-51
28/11/21HUMKC70-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %40%67%22%
Points / game76.390.367.0
Allowed / game72.871.074.0
Point differential+3.5+19.3-7.0
Avg total149.1161.3141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%11%
Morehead State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%100%38%
Points / game70.174.066.2
Allowed / game63.056.869.2
Point differential+7.1+17.2-3.0
Avg total133.1130.8135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State1611569%70.163.0+7.1
2 Western Illinois1711665%79.974.8+5.1
3 Siu Edwardsville157847%68.965.6+3.3
4 UALR146843%70.972.6-1.8
5 Tennessee State156940%76.372.8+3.5
6 UT Martin1661038%71.674.4-2.8
7 Southeast Missouri State1761135%74.482.1-7.6
8 Tennessee Tech1431121%73.573.9-0.4
9 Eastern Illinois1521313%56.569.8-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee State313364
Morehead State413071
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