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Belmont vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 60-82
35-48 25-34
Position#24
Record13-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#4
Record13-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Belmont v Murray State
31 Jan 2026
BELM103
MURR86
02 Mar 2025
BELM70
MURR60
07 Feb 2024
BELM69
MURR64
17 Jan 2023
BELM80
MURR65
15 Jan 2022
BELM60
MURR82
30 Dec 2020
BELM68
MURR55
07 Mar 2020
BELM76
MURR75
06 Feb 2020
BELM71
MURR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#25
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#63
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H28/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H03/12
NCAA
Samford
#91
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A05/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A08/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H15/12
NCAA
Bethel (IN)
#463
W
115-86
115
86
+29
H18/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
102-62
102
62
+40
H07/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
81-55
81
55
+26
A08/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-36
34-29
27-31
34-32
47-26
47-39
46-25
39-48
26-32
38-27
39-23
37-45
51-44
64-42
57-33
45-29
42-31
39-24
50-28
42-49
151.5Avg total
84.2Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.670.4153.1+12.281%
Season at home (9)87.668.7156.2+18.989%
Season away (7)76.372.7149.0+3.671%
Last 10 (10)84.267.3151.5+16.990%
Last 5 (5)93.269.6162.8+23.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (11)73.374.0147.3-0.764%
vs Weaker (18)85.566.8152.3+18.789%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#178
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#511
W
98-61
98
61
+37
H30/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H05/12
NCAA
Memphis
#78
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#620
W
118-48
118
48
+70
H16/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H19/12
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A22/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
106-81
106
81
+25
H31/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
67-44
67
44
+23
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-30
49-32
49-29
49-32
44-40
49-47
26-40
48-32
53-25
65-23
34-37
53-39
27-37
31-34
59-40
47-41
42-27
32-42
35-16
32-28
152.0Avg total
84.9Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.465.4148.8+18.087%
Season at home (10)88.866.1154.9+22.790%
Season away (5)72.664.0136.6+8.680%
Last 10 (10)84.967.1152.0+17.890%
Last 5 (5)78.468.2146.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)73.675.2148.8-1.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)77.463.4140.8+14.078%
This opponent (Belmont) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.4+11.41st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +10.5+10.5
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.4+11.41st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +10.5+10.5
BelmontMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#25
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#63
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H28/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H03/12
NCAA
Samford
#91
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A05/12
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A08/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H15/12
NCAA
Bethel (IN)
#463
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H18/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H07/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A08/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H14/01
NCAA
73.2Avg total
42.3Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.531.771.2+7.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.429.771.1+11.682%-
Last 30 away (13)37.034.371.3+2.746%-
Last 10 (10)42.330.973.2+11.480%-
Last 5 (5)47.831.879.6+16.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (11)34.735.169.8-0.445%-
vs Weaker (18)41.728.970.7+12.878%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#178
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H24/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#511
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H30/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H05/12
NCAA
Memphis
#78
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A11/12
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#620
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H16/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H19/12
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A22/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H31/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A08/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
35-16
35
16
+19
H14/01
NCAA
71.5Avg total
39.4Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.930.368.2+7.670%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.630.269.7+9.472%-
Last 30 away (12)35.430.666.0+4.867%-
Last 10 (10)39.432.171.5+7.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.470.8+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)34.634.469.0+0.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)37.428.966.3+8.570%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Belmont wins
1
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
31/01/21Murray State v Belmont71-72
31/12/20Belmont v Murray State68-55
08/03/20Belmont v Murray State76-75
07/02/20Belmont v Murray State71-64
24/01/20Murray State v Belmont85-75
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/22HTennessee Tech92-77
08/01/22AUT Martin81-55
07/01/22HSoutheast Missouri State102-62
18/12/21HBethel (IN)115-86
15/12/21HChattanooga Mocs76-68
08/12/21ASt. Louis Billikens64-59
05/12/21ASamford85-73
03/12/21HLipscomb94-65
28/11/21HDayton61-63
26/11/21HIona72-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/22HTennessee State67-44
08/01/22ASiu Edwardsville74-69
31/12/21HSoutheast Missouri State106-81
22/12/21AAuburn58-71
19/12/21HChattanooga Mocs87-76
16/12/21HWesleyan Univ.118-48
11/12/21AMemphis74-72
05/12/21HMiddle Tenn. St.93-87
30/11/21HCampbellsville98-61
24/11/21HJames Madison74-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %81%89%71%
Points / game82.687.676.3
Allowed / game70.468.772.7
Point differential+12.2+18.9+3.6
Avg total153.1156.2149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW87%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %87%90%80%
Points / game83.488.872.6
Allowed / game65.466.164.0
Point differential+18.0+22.7+8.6
Avg total148.8154.9136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1513287%83.465.4+18.0
2 Belmont1613381%82.670.4+12.2
3 Drake1712571%75.264.6+10.6
4 Southern Illinois159660%65.760.8+4.9
5 Northern Iowa158753%75.069.5+5.5
6 Indiana State158753%75.771.0+4.7
7 Illinois State168850%80.178.4+1.6
8 Bradley178947%72.166.7+5.4
9 Valparaiso178947%73.269.2+4.0
10 Illinois (Chi.)146843%68.970.9-1.9
11 Evansville1541127%60.567.4-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont352560
Murray State483482
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