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Mercer vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-70 (OT)
29-26 36-39 4-5
Position#261
Record12-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game67.7
vs
Samford 🏆
USA
Position#78
Record16-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Mercer v Samford
13 Jan 2027
MERC v SAMF
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
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SAMF86
15 Jan 2025
MERC74
SAMF75
17 Feb 2024
MERC88
SAMF84
08 Feb 2023
MERC69
SAMF70
05 Jan 2022
MERC83
SAMF80
05 Mar 2021
MERC87
SAMF59
08 Feb 2021
MERC89
SAMF82
19 Feb 2020
MERC106
SAMF66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#195
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
45-73
45
73
-28
A07/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H12/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A14/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A20/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A21/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
71-67 OT
71
67
+4
H26/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A28/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H03/02
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-28
25-25
23-31
22-42
32-52
34-32
31-28
37-27
30-30
39-31
24-29
24-30
27-32
32-27
30-29
44-36
21-41
28-28
39-26
41-28
126.2Avg total
62.2Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)69.867.7137.5+2.148%
Season at home (12)72.264.8136.9+7.458%
Season away (13)67.670.5138.1-2.838%
Last 10 (10)62.264.0126.2-1.850%
Last 5 (5)64.462.8127.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)63.472.7136.1-9.314%
vs Similar (14)64.665.2129.8-0.650%
vs Weaker (9)82.466.0148.4+16.467%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#356
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H05/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A07/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H12/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H14/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A19/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
84-91 OT
84
91
-7
A26/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A28/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A02/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-39
41-39
34-31
36-37
43-27
40-31
31-45
44-29
35-33
34-26
32-24
42-41
34-38
42-38
32-48
45-37
42-33
43-44
39-29
34-33
149.4Avg total
77.7Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.370.8149.2+7.564%
Season at home (13)81.866.5148.4+15.385%
Season away (12)74.575.5150.0-1.042%
Last 10 (10)77.771.7149.4+6.080%
Last 5 (5)78.676.0154.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.372.0141.3-2.733%
vs Similar (10)72.174.7146.8-2.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.168.4149.5+12.871%
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +4.6+4.6
MercerSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#195
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A07/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H12/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A14/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A20/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A21/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H03/02
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H04/02
NCAA
61.0Avg total
28.4Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.432.265.6+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.933.268.1+1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)31.931.263.1+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)28.432.661.0-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)28.231.459.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.636.066.6-5.429%-
vs Similar (14)30.130.560.6-0.436%-
vs Weaker (9)40.831.972.7+8.967%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#356
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H05/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A07/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H12/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H14/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A19/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H21/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A28/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A02/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H04/02
NCAA
71.5Avg total
36.8Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.533.170.5+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.231.071.2+9.281%-
Last 30 away (14)34.435.469.8-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.771.5+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.470.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.331.764.0+0.767%-
vs Similar (10)34.333.868.1+0.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.232.973.1+7.476%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mercer wins
2
Samford wins
DateGameScore
29/12/22Samford v Mercer78-69
27/01/22Samford v Mercer75-61
06/01/22Mercer v Samford83-80
06/03/21Mercer v Samford87-59
11/02/21Samford v Mercer70-77 OT
09/02/21Mercer v Samford89-82 OT
20/02/20Mercer v Samford106-66
18/01/20Samford v Mercer75-90
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HVMI80-54
03/02/23HNC Greensboro49-69
28/01/23ACitadel74-65
26/01/23HEast Tennessee St71-67 OT
21/01/23ANC Greensboro48-59
20/01/23AVMI69-61
14/01/23AEast Tennessee St68-55
12/01/23HFurman66-84
07/01/23AWestern Carolina45-73
05/01/23HWofford52-53
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HEast Tennessee St73-62
02/02/23AWestern Carolina85-77
28/01/23AWofford77-85
26/01/23AFurman84-91 OT
21/01/23HWestern Carolina74-65
19/01/23AEast Tennessee St69-59
14/01/23HChattanooga Mocs75-74
12/01/23HWofford83-58
07/01/23ANC Greensboro70-68
05/01/23HVMI87-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW48%
HomeLLWLW58%
AwayLWWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %48%58%38%
Points / game69.872.267.6
Allowed / game67.764.870.5
Point differential+2.1+7.4-2.8
Avg total137.5136.9138.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Samford
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%85%42%
Points / game78.381.874.5
Allowed / game70.866.575.5
Point differential+7.5+15.3-1.0
Avg total149.2148.4150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%54%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman2519676%82.071.5+10.4
2 NC Greensboro2617965%71.062.8+8.2
3 Samford2516964%78.370.8+7.5
4 Western Carolina25131252%75.169.8+5.3
5 Wofford25131252%73.870.6+3.3
6 Chattanooga Mocs25121348%76.871.5+5.2
7 Mercer25121348%69.867.7+2.1
8 Citadel2591636%69.174.5-5.4
9 East Tennessee St2691735%69.268.9+0.3
10 VMI2561924%69.974.4-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Mercer2936469
Samford2639570
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