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Mornar Bar vs Borac Mozzart Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-78
27-23 30-20 9-20 14-15
Position#13
Record5-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#10
Record9-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game84.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 25· Topolica Sport Hall
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Borac Mozzart
19 Oct 2024
MBA90
BOR98
30 Mar 2024
MBA80
BOR78
12 Mar 2023
MBA104
BOR99
09 Oct 2021
MBA85
BOR90
30 Jan 2021
MBA86
BOR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Borac Mozzart winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 64
H13/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 64
H20/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
72-79
72
79
-7
63avg 64
A27/01
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 64
H05/02
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
76avg 64
A11/02
ABA League
Podgorica
#4
L
92-94
92
94
-2
no box
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
66-102
66
102
-36
44avg 64
H03/03
ABA League
Split
#8
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 64
A08/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 64
H15/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
89-105
89
105
-16
79avg 64
A23/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
19-21
18-14
24-22
26-22
36-21
13-23
16-20
15-21
22-17
22-18
13-23
21-17
25-23
20-19
22-26
27-26
21-24
17-22
22-29
18-19
15-30
21-15
38-30
23-21
13-26
14-31
16-24
19-24
24-26
11-17
21-20
20-17
19-17
18-28
29-22
28-30
18-17
15-28
28-30
173.3Avg total
83.2Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.090.0167.0-13.021%
Season at home (12)77.588.2165.7-10.742%
Season away (12)76.691.8168.4-15.20%
Last 10 (10)83.290.1173.3-6.940%
Last 5 (5)81.694.4176.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)75.788.9164.6-13.219%
vs Similar (2)79.081.0160.0-2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMozzart
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
65avg 70
A14/01
ABA League
Split
#8
W
93-83
93
83
+10
77avg 70
H19/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
62-78
62
78
-16
50avg 70
A27/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
65-74
65
74
-9
56avg 70
H03/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
84-86
84
86
-2
71avg 70
A11/02
ABA League
Cacak 94
#4
L
64-73
64
73
-9
52avg 70
H14/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#11
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 70
A02/03
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
77-84
77
84
-7
65avg 70
H11/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
79-100
79
100
-21
68avg 70
A16/03
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
89-81
89
81
+8
78avg 70
H22/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-35
26-16
18-22
12-17
29-28
19-19
18-19
27-17
17-23
13-14
18-17
14-24
16-21
16-18
16-13
17-22
21-16
24-26
19-24
20-20
21-15
17-20
11-26
15-12
19-26
22-19
18-28
13-13
26-26
15-23
16-12
20-23
20-23
17-21
17-32
25-24
25-22
17-21
27-17
20-21
159.4Avg total
75.9Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.584.1162.6-5.538%
Season at home (12)80.780.5161.2+0.250%
Season away (12)76.487.7164.1-11.225%
Last 10 (10)75.983.5159.4-7.620%
Last 5 (5)76.284.8161.0-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.787.8164.4-11.125%
vs Similar (12)80.981.6162.5-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)83.077.8160.8+5.260%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
Mornar BarBorac Mozzart
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H13/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H20/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/01
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/02
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A11/02
ABA League
Podgorica
#4
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H03/03
ABA League
Split
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A08/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A23/03
ABA League
87.4Avg total
43.4Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.343.282.6-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.242.583.7-1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)37.543.981.4-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.087.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.484.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.643.082.5-3.437%-
vs Similar (2)39.544.083.5-4.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A14/01
ABA League
Split
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H19/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A27/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H03/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/02
ABA League
Cacak 94
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H14/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A02/03
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H11/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A16/03
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H22/03
ABA League
83.0Avg total
39.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.982.4-1.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.039.880.8+1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)40.144.084.1-3.920%-
Last 10 (10)39.843.283.0-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.283.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.645.183.7-6.58%-
vs Similar (12)41.740.382.0+1.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.039.482.4+3.660%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.9
52.6%
54.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.2
35.9%
34.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.415.6
69.6%
73.8%15.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Borac Mozzarttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Borac Mozzart: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.3
53.8%
54.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.1
27.5%
34.1%18.3
🏀 Free throws19.914.6
73.4%
73.8%14.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWLLLLWLWW
Borac Mozzart
WLLLLLLLWL
#13
League position
#10
-9.3
Net rating
-9.4
107.6
Offensive rating
103.1
116.9
Defensive rating
112.5
53.2%
Effective FG%
49.3%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.2%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.9%
3-point %
27.5%
56.0%
Assist %
48.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 103.1Defence116.9 · 112.5Shooting53.2% · 49.3%3-point %35.9% · 27.5%Ball care13.7% · 14.2%Off. rebounds21.0% · 24.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Borac Mozzart
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mornar Bar wins
4
Borac Mozzart wins
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24ACedevita Olimpija89-105
15/03/24HIgokea86-84
08/03/24ASplit75-87
03/03/24HCrvena zvezda66-102
13/02/24APodgorica92-94
11/02/24AMega Basket87-101
05/02/24HCibona88-85
27/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto72-79
20/01/24HStudentski Centar91-86
13/01/24HZadar86-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24HZadar89-81
16/03/24ABuducnost79-100
11/03/24HPartizan77-84
02/03/24AFMP Beograd72-86
14/02/24HCacak 9464-73
11/02/24AStudentski Centar84-86
03/02/24HCedevita Olimpija65-74
27/01/24AIgokea62-78
19/01/24HSplit93-83
14/01/24ACrvena zvezda74-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL21%
HomeWWWLW42%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%42%0%
Points / game77.077.576.6
Allowed / game90.088.291.8
Point differential-13.0-10.7-15.2
Avg total167.0165.7168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)80% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Borac Mozzart
ABA League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game78.580.776.4
Allowed / game84.180.587.7
Point differential-5.5+0.2-11.2
Avg total162.6161.2164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2420483%88.572.0+16.5
2 Partizan2418675%92.575.4+17.2
3 Buducnost2418675%84.676.4+8.2
4 Cedevita Olimpija25151060%85.584.5+1.0
5 Mega Basket24141058%85.982.7+3.2
6 Zadar25141156%79.075.8+3.2
7 Igokea24121250%78.581.5-2.9
8 Studentski Centar24111346%85.485.6-0.2
9 Split24111346%76.579.5-3.0
10 Cibona2491538%78.884.0-5.2
11 Borac Mozzart2491538%78.584.1-5.5
12 FMP Beograd2591636%76.884.0-7.2
13 Mornar Bar2451921%77.090.0-13.0
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2552020%75.186.9-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar273091480
Borac Mozzart2320201578
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