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FMP Beograd vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 79-84
22-19 28-14 16-25 13-26
Position#8
Record7-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#4
Record7-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 15
Domestic2017
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar
04 Apr 2025
FBE87
MBA72
06 Apr 2024
FBE111
MBA94
15 Apr 2023
FBE101
MBA76
17 Oct 2021
FBE83
MBA81
05 Apr 2021
FBE94
MBA92
08 Dec 2018
FBE82
MBA84
05 Jan 2018
FBE79
MBA84
15 Jan 2017
FBE92
MBA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H23/10
ABA League
Igokea
#10
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A29/10
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H04/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A12/11
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H17/11
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A03/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
76-93
76
93
-17
H09/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H17/12
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#12
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A22/12
ABA League
Partizan
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H30/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
23-31
17-20
33-13
16-23
17-17
14-18
18-17
26-19
29-21
18-25
26-14
18-19
17-17
20-26
22-22
19-22
33-27
23-18
21-21
18-19
15-17
16-15
15-22
18-30
25-21
19-20
14-22
13-18
19-15
12-16
27-31
19-18
11-21
19-13
23-15
17-17
24-24
27-21
15-9
158.0Avg total
79.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.478.0158.4+2.450%
Season at home (7)88.079.9167.9+8.171%
Season away (7)72.976.1149.0-3.329%
Last 10 (10)79.478.6158.0+0.850%
Last 5 (5)73.276.8150.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.985.0154.9-15.10%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.879.3158.1-0.650%
vs Weaker (9)88.166.2154.3+21.9100%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H13/11
ABA League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#44
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cedevita
#3
L
74-99
74
99
-25
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H03/12
ABA League
Kataja
#39
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H17/12
ABA League
Szolnoki Olaj
#17
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Partizan
#5
W
98-93
98
93
+5
A23/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H30/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
18-21
24-18
20-27
19-19
14-6
26-15
15-18
19-23
17-23
22-32
16-21
23-19
16-27
23-15
16-21
16-11
20-31
19-16
21-13
13-19
18-19
17-25
24-6
29-19
15-28
12-19
18-16
19-17
13-23
22-19
19-9
7-25
30-25
31-19
30-24
18-25
27-23
24-19
18-16
158.1Avg total
79.3Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.981.8159.6-3.950%
Season at home (7)80.380.3160.6+0.057%
Season away (7)75.483.3158.7-7.943%
Last 10 (10)79.378.8158.1+0.570%
Last 5 (5)80.879.0159.8+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.682.0152.6-11.412%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.176.9153.1-0.859%
vs Weaker (4)74.869.5144.2+5.275%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
FMP BeogradMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H23/10
ABA League
Igokea
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A29/10
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H04/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A12/11
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H17/11
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A03/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H09/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/12
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#12
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A22/12
ABA League
Partizan
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H30/12
ABA League
80.3Avg total
39.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.478.5-0.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.439.983.3+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)35.239.074.2-3.812%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.880.3-1.320%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.075.8-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.442.075.4-8.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.041.280.2-2.225%-
vs Weaker (9)44.834.679.3+10.278%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H13/11
ABA League
Kapfenberg Bulls
#44
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cedevita
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/12
ABA League
Kataja
#39
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#12
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H17/12
ABA League
Szolnoki Olaj
#17
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Partizan
#5
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A23/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H30/12
ABA League
79.6Avg total
37.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.139.976.0-3.834%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.139.278.3-0.153%-
Last 30 away (14)32.940.673.6-7.714%-
Last 10 (10)37.642.079.6-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.844.682.4-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.644.577.1-11.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.438.375.8-0.950%-
vs Weaker (4)36.535.271.8+1.250%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.6
49.6%
52.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.4
31.2%
34.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws26.019.4
74.6%
74.4%19.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
52.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.2
34.5%
34.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.914.9
71.3%
74.4%14.9
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WWLLLWLWLW
Mornar Bar
WWWLWWLLWW
#8
League position
#4
+1.9
Net rating
-2.3
104.8
Offensive rating
107.6
102.9
Defensive rating
109.9
48.5%
Effective FG%
52.5%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.2%
3-point %
34.5%
70.0%
Assist %
54.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 107.6Defence102.9 · 109.9Shooting48.5% · 52.5%3-point %31.2% · 34.5%Ball care18.5% · 16.7%Off. rebounds34.4% · 29.1%Free throws0.42 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
FMP Beograd wins
1
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
14/10/17Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd73-81
15/01/17FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar92-85
14/10/16Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd82-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/17HPartizan83-71
22/12/17AMZT Skopje72-67
17/12/17HCedevita71-80
09/12/17HBuducnost76-93
03/12/17APetrol Olimpija64-73
17/11/17HMega Bemax96-88
12/11/17ACrvena zvezda77-84
04/11/17HCibona99-79
29/10/17AIgokea65-75
23/10/17HZadar91-76
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/17HMega Bemax87-83
23/12/17APartizan98-93
20/12/17HSzolnoki Olaj73-68
17/12/17HCrvena zvezda74-82
10/12/17AMZT Skopje72-69
06/12/17HKataja76-71
03/12/17HCibona78-82
18/11/17ACedevita74-99
15/11/17HKapfenberg Bulls74-58
13/11/17HIgokea87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game80.488.072.9
Allowed / game78.079.976.1
Point differential+2.4+8.1-3.3
Avg total158.4167.9149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game77.980.375.4
Allowed / game81.880.383.3
Point differential-3.9+0.0-7.9
Avg total159.6160.6158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1412286%87.478.6+8.8
2 Buducnost1412286%83.174.5+8.6
3 Cedevita1411379%83.075.6+7.4
4 FMP Beograd147750%80.478.0+2.4
5 Mornar Bar147750%77.981.8-3.9
6 Partizan157847%90.989.4+1.5
7 Zadar157847%84.584.7-0.1
8 Cibona146843%82.084.9-2.9
9 Igokea156940%81.383.6-2.3
10 Mega Bemax1551033%83.384.6-1.3
11 Petrol Olimpija1551033%77.782.1-4.5
12 MZT Skopje1521313%78.490.8-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2228161379
Mornar Bar1914252684
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