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Mornar Bar vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 101-81
18-23 33-18 25-21 25-19
Position#4
Record8-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#7
Record5-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game82.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 16
Domestic2017
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Petrol Olimpija
23 Dec 2018
MBA80
POL75
13 Jan 2018
MBA101
POL81
08 Jan 2017
MBA93
POL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#3
L
74-99
74
99
-25
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H03/12
ABA League
Kataja
#39
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H17/12
ABA League
Szolnoki Olaj
#17
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Partizan
#5
W
98-93
98
93
+5
A23/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H30/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A05/01
ABA League
Bakken Bears
#15
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
17-23
22-32
16-21
23-19
16-27
23-15
16-21
16-11
20-31
19-16
21-13
13-19
18-19
17-25
24-6
29-19
15-28
12-19
18-16
19-17
13-23
22-19
19-9
7-25
30-25
31-19
30-24
18-25
27-23
24-19
18-16
19-22
14-28
25-16
26-13
29-26
19-20
16-19
18-17
162.7Avg total
80.8Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.381.6159.9-3.353%
Season at home (7)80.380.3160.6+0.057%
Season away (8)76.582.8159.2-6.250%
Last 10 (10)80.881.9162.7-1.160%
Last 5 (5)86.883.2170.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.682.0152.6-11.412%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.478.8157.2-0.459%
vs Weaker (4)74.869.5144.2+5.275%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Banvit
#7
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H19/12
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H21/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cibona
#11
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H23/12
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#3
L
96-97
96
97
-1
A28/12
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H29/12
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A02/01
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#3
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H04/01
Slovenian Cup
Mega Bemax
#9
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H05/01
ABA League
Polzela
#7
W
104-98 OT
104
98
+6
A07/01
Liga Nova KBM
Bayreuth
#17
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A10/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
15-12
16-14
16-14
18-18
19-17
19-21
25-29
20-20
15-18
29-19
14-23
29-31
18-27
25-24
24-15
31-21
16-24
14-21
20-20
18-16
19-24
19-22
20-18
21-9
28-25
16-25
21-6
18-15
18-15
18-19
15-27
21-27
25-20
23-23
20-19
23-17
22-20
14-16
20-25
161.7Avg total
80.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.782.1159.8-4.533%
Season at home (8)78.179.4157.5-1.238%
Season away (7)77.185.3162.4-8.129%
Last 10 (10)80.781.0161.7-0.330%
Last 5 (5)82.879.4162.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.880.2156.1-4.438%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.981.2162.1-0.450%
vs Weaker (9)84.078.6162.6+5.444%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
Mornar BarPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/12
ABA League
Kataja
#39
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#12
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H17/12
ABA League
Szolnoki Olaj
#17
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H20/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Partizan
#5
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A23/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H30/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#8
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A05/01
ABA League
Bakken Bears
#15
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
83.4Avg total
38.1Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.640.977.5-4.334%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.439.979.3-0.450%-
Last 30 away (15)34.041.975.9-7.920%-
Last 10 (10)38.145.383.4-7.210%-
Last 5 (5)39.046.885.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.644.577.1-11.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.340.178.4-1.850%-
vs Weaker (4)36.535.271.8+1.250%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Banvit
#7
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H19/12
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H21/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cibona
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/12
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A28/12
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H29/12
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A02/01
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#3
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H04/01
Slovenian Cup
Mega Bemax
#9
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H05/01
ABA League
Polzela
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A07/01
Liga Nova KBM
Bayreuth
#17
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A10/01
Champions League
80.5Avg total
40.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.479.7-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.737.877.5+1.962%-
Last 30 away (14)39.043.382.3-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.180.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.680.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.241.279.5-3.031%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.239.475.6-3.138%-
vs Weaker (9)43.840.083.8+3.878%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.0
52.1%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.5
36.0%
34.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.316.1
69.1%
74.4%16.1
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.1
48.1%
52.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.2
37.3%
34.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.412.4
75.6%
74.4%12.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWWWWLWWLL
Petrol Olimpija
WWLWLLLLLL
#4
League position
#7
-2.1
Net rating
-7.3
109.0
Offensive rating
99.8
111.1
Defensive rating
107.1
52.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.3%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.0%
3-point %
37.3%
56.7%
Assist %
66.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 99.8Defence111.1 · 107.1Shooting52.8% · 50.9%3-point %36.0% · 37.3%Ball care16.0% · 18.3%Off. rebounds29.2% · 23.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Petrol Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mornar Bar wins
1
Petrol Olimpija wins
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/18ABakken Bears92-93 OT
05/01/18AFMP Beograd84-79
30/12/17HMega Bemax87-83
23/12/17APartizan98-93
20/12/17HSzolnoki Olaj73-68
17/12/17HCrvena zvezda74-82
10/12/17AMZT Skopje72-69
06/12/17HKataja76-71
03/12/17HCibona78-82
18/11/17ACedevita74-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/18ABayreuth79-78
07/01/18APolzela104-98 OT
05/01/18HMega Bemax69-76
04/01/18HHelios Domzale86-65
02/01/18ACrvena zvezda76-80
29/12/17HPerspektiva Ilirija81-86
28/12/17AHelios Domzale96-97
23/12/17HCibona78-80
21/12/17HKK Krka Novo mesto81-85
19/12/17HBanvit57-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW53%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game78.380.376.5
Allowed / game81.680.382.8
Point differential-3.3+0.0-6.2
Avg total159.9160.6159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)75% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2017
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLWWLL38%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game77.778.177.1
Allowed / game82.179.485.3
Point differential-4.5-1.2-8.1
Avg total159.8157.5162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost1614288%84.375.8+8.6
2 Cedevita1512380%83.575.1+8.5
3 Crvena zvezda1512380%87.379.5+7.8
4 Mornar Bar158753%78.381.6-3.3
5 FMP Beograd157847%80.378.4+1.9
6 Partizan157847%90.989.4+1.5
7 Zadar157847%84.584.7-0.1
8 Igokea156940%81.383.6-2.3
9 Cibona156940%81.185.3-4.2
10 Petrol Olimpija1551033%77.782.1-4.5
11 Mega Bemax1651131%83.385.2-1.9
12 MZT Skopje1521313%78.490.8-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar18332525101
Petrol Olimpija2318211981
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