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Mornar Bar vs Cibona Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-81
26-15 16-21 22-20 19-25
Position#14
Record4-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game92.6
vs
Position#11
Record6-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game90.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 16
Domestic2022
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Cibona
04 Nov 2024
MBA92
CIB85
05 Feb 2024
MBA88
CIB85
20 Jan 2023
MBA83
CIB81
24 Sep 2021
MBA77
CIB87
12 Oct 2020
MBA109
CIB68
28 Jan 2019
MBA91
CIB78
03 Dec 2017
MBA78
CIB82
03 Jan 2017
MBA81
CIB92
27 Dec 2016
MBA92
CIB57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cibona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#8
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
H30/10
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
94-77
94
77
+17
92avg 71
A04/11
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
L
85-101
85
101
-16
no box
H20/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
87-90
87
90
-3
68avg 71
A26/11
ABA League
Split
#10
W
104-88
104
88
+16
97avg 71
H05/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
77-93
77
93
-16
61avg 71
A10/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
74avg 71
H18/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
79-100
79
100
-21
64avg 71
A27/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
L
102-113
102
113
-11
90avg 71
H03/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
77-97
77
97
-20
51avg 71
A15/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
26-16
13-19
20-27
22-27
22-20
23-10
27-20
24-31
21-19
18-27
22-24
33-21
18-26
19-25
17-18
24-22
28-26
25-19
27-21
22-25
14-27
26-19
15-22
13-37
23-18
23-29
28-20
17-28
21-19
24-30
17-23
24-18
29-33
25-25
24-37
16-23
18-30
15-25
28-19
181.6Avg total
86.7Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.392.6178.9-6.429%
Season at home (7)87.995.1183.0-7.329%
Season away (7)84.790.1174.9-5.429%
Last 10 (10)86.794.9181.6-8.220%
Last 5 (5)84.4101.4185.8-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)86.195.3181.4-9.227%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.879.3160.1+1.553%
vs Weaker (2)70.570.5141.0+0.050%
This opponent (Cibona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CibonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCibona
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#9
W
82-57
82
57
+25
no box
H09/12
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#5
L
75-111
75
111
-36
no box
A12/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
77-76
77
76
+1
69avg 73
H17/12
ABA League
Split
#2
W
102-84
102
84
+18
no box
H19/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
67avg 73
A23/12
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
H30/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
68-93
68
93
-25
no box
A08/01
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
no box
H11/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#8
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
no box
H14/01
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
A15/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
24-17
21-14
13-14
19-35
22-28
18-21
16-27
13-18
20-23
23-15
21-20
25-20
30-18
22-28
25-18
21-17
22-24
21-14
11-13
22-19
19-26
15-18
19-12
19-17
19-32
19-25
11-19
16-25
19-21
27-18
16-16
25-27
19-12
17-18
16-20
15-16
16-24
17-13
23-24
163.3Avg total
80.4Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.790.7170.3-11.040%
Season at home (7)84.389.6173.9-5.357%
Season away (8)75.691.6167.2-16.025%
Last 10 (10)80.482.9163.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)78.686.6165.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.291.3169.5-13.131%
vs Similar ◀ (5)88.482.8171.2+5.680%
vs Weaker (11)85.773.0158.7+12.782%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
Mornar BarCibona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H30/10
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A04/11
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H20/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A26/11
ABA League
Split
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H05/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H18/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H03/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A15/01
ABA League
92.1Avg total
43.1Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.985.6-4.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.945.187.0-3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.844.784.4-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)43.149.092.1-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.451.691.0-12.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.548.988.5-9.427%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.342.184.4+0.259%-
vs Weaker (2)34.546.581.0-12.00%-
This opponent (Cibona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CibonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#9
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H09/12
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#5
L
41-63
41
63
-22
A12/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H17/12
ABA League
Split
#2
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H19/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/12
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H30/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A08/01
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/01
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A15/01
Premijer liga
84.0Avg total
40.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.984.2+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.741.183.7+1.653%-
Last 30 away (15)41.942.784.7-0.860%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.184.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.881.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.946.287.1-5.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.840.683.4+2.260%-
vs Weaker (11)43.337.480.6+5.973%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.1
57.6%
55.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.79.8
30.9%
35.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.716.3
75.1%
75.8%16.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cibonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cibona: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.0
51.9%
55.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.9
31.0%
35.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.515.5
75.6%
75.8%15.5
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLLLWLLWL
Cibona
LLLLWWWWLW
#14
League position
#11
-10.6
Net rating
-18.8
111.0
Offensive rating
103.3
121.6
Defensive rating
122.2
52.3%
Effective FG%
49.6%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
61.5%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.9%
3-point %
31.0%
52.5%
Assist %
68.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 103.3Defence121.6 · 122.2Shooting52.3% · 49.6%3-point %30.9% · 31.0%Ball care16.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds34.6% · 26.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Cibona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mornar Bar wins
5
Cibona wins
DateGameScore
14/10/22Cibona v Mornar Bar91-88
03/01/22Cibona v Mornar Bar65-82
24/09/21Mornar Bar v Cibona77-87
16/01/21Cibona v Mornar Bar78-92
12/10/20Mornar Bar v Cibona109-68
28/01/19Mornar Bar v Cibona91-78
04/11/18Cibona v Mornar Bar84-73
04/03/18Cibona v Mornar Bar79-82
03/12/17Mornar Bar v Cibona78-82
03/01/17Mornar Bar v Cibona81-92
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23AZadar77-97
03/01/23HFMP Beograd102-113
27/12/22ACedevita Olimpija79-100
18/12/22HBuducnost87-104
10/12/22ACrvena zvezda77-93
05/12/22HSplit104-88
26/11/22ABorac Mozzart87-90
20/11/22HMega Basket85-101
04/11/22AMZT Skopje94-77
30/10/22HStudentski Centar75-86
Cibonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23ADinamo Zagreb71-77
14/01/23HStudentski Centar89-98 OT
11/01/23HCedevita Junior78-80
08/01/23APartizan68-93
30/12/22HMZT Skopje87-85 OT
23/12/22AZadar75-68
19/12/22HSplit102-84
17/12/22HIgokea77-76
12/12/22AFMP Beograd75-111
09/12/22HSkrljevo82-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLWLL29%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game86.387.984.7
Allowed / game92.695.190.1
Point differential-6.4-7.3-5.4
Avg total178.9183.0174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cibona
ABA League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%57%25%
Points / game79.784.375.6
Allowed / game90.789.691.6
Point differential-11.0-5.3-16.0
Avg total170.3173.9167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (4)-
Overtime %27%29%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1413193%84.667.7+16.9
2 Partizan1513287%92.975.6+17.3
3 Cedevita Olimpija1412286%90.978.6+12.3
4 FMP Beograd1612475%93.184.9+8.2
5 Buducnost159660%87.981.5+6.3
6 Zadar158753%90.589.7+0.8
7 Studentski Centar157847%84.190.2-6.1
8 Cibona156940%79.790.7-11.0
9 Igokea145936%85.287.9-2.6
10 Mega Basket1551033%83.687.5-3.9
11 Split1651131%78.686.3-7.8
12 Mornar Bar1441029%86.392.6-6.4
13 Borac Mozzart1531220%79.489.3-9.9
14 MZT Skopje1521313%78.190.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2616221983
Cibona1521202581
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