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Zadar vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 97-77
23-16 30-18 25-15 19-28
Position#9
Record7-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game90.6
Zadar 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record4-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game92.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 15
Domestic2022
Meetings · Zadar v Mornar Bar
22 Apr 2025
ZAD100
MBA69
13 Oct 2023
ZAD92
MBA57
15 Jan 2023
ZAD97
MBA77
12 Dec 2021
ZAD71
MBA76
09 Oct 2020
ZAD66
MBA82
21 Oct 2018
ZAD83
MBA93
22 Jan 2018
ZAD77
MBA93
10 Feb 2017
ZAD80
MBA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Alkar
#12
W
90-66
90
66
+24
no box
H04/12
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
79avg 75
A09/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
A11/12
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#15
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 75
H16/12
ABA League
Bosco
#11
W
109-79
109
79
+30
no box
A18/12
Premijer liga
Alkar
#16
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
A20/12
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#11
L
68-75
68
75
-7
61avg 75
H23/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
77-114
77
114
-37
68avg 75
A02/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
no box
A09/01
ABA League
Skrljevo
#9
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A11/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
20-14
13-17
30-13
16-16
22-29
25-13
21-23
22-23
15-17
25-15
14-22
29-16
28-19
20-20
21-24
25-9
30-29
25-15
29-26
26-17
20-15
27-20
24-18
17-21
24-22
14-21
13-11
25-34
24-29
15-27
13-24
34-35
17-16
16-21
22-17
22-13
22-12
20-24
21-22
169.7Avg total
88.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.090.6180.6-0.650%
Season at home (7)91.184.0175.1+7.157%
Season away (7)88.997.1186.0-8.343%
Last 10 (10)88.481.3169.7+7.160%
Last 5 (5)85.486.2171.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)89.2102.8192.0-13.525%
vs Similar (11)83.681.1164.7+2.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.576.2164.7+12.379%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
L
62-83
62
83
-21
54avg 72
H24/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
H30/10
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
94-77
94
77
+17
92avg 72
A04/11
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
L
85-101
85
101
-16
no box
H20/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
87-90
87
90
-3
68avg 72
A26/11
ABA League
Split
#10
W
104-88
104
88
+16
97avg 72
H05/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
77-93
77
93
-16
61avg 72
A10/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
74avg 72
H18/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
79-100
79
100
-21
64avg 72
A27/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
L
102-113
102
113
-11
90avg 72
H03/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
10-22
22-18
13-19
16-24
26-16
13-19
20-27
22-27
22-20
23-10
27-20
24-31
21-19
18-27
22-24
33-21
18-26
19-25
17-18
24-22
28-26
25-19
27-21
22-25
14-27
26-19
15-22
13-37
23-18
23-29
28-20
17-28
21-19
24-30
17-23
24-18
29-33
25-25
24-37
178.7Avg total
85.2Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.092.3179.3-5.331%
Season at home (7)87.995.1183.0-7.329%
Season away (6)86.089.0175.0-3.033%
Last 10 (10)85.293.5178.7-8.320%
Last 5 (5)89.899.6189.4-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)86.395.6181.9-9.427%
vs Similar (17)80.879.3160.1+1.553%
vs Weaker (2)70.570.5141.0+0.050%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
ZadarMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H04/12
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A09/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A11/12
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#15
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H16/12
ABA League
Bosco
#11
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A18/12
Premijer liga
Alkar
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A20/12
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H23/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A02/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A09/01
ABA League
Skrljevo
#9
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A11/01
Premijer liga
87.3Avg total
46.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.883.4+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.237.982.1+6.371%-
Last 30 away (16)43.141.484.4+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)46.540.887.3+5.750%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.889.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.848.895.5-2.050%-
vs Similar (11)40.441.181.5-0.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.136.781.8+8.479%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H24/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H30/10
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A04/11
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H20/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A26/11
ABA League
Split
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H05/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H18/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H03/01
ABA League
90.7Avg total
42.4Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.785.8-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.145.387.3-3.253%-
Last 30 away (15)40.144.184.3-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)42.448.390.7-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.050.693.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.548.588.9-8.027%-
vs Similar (17)42.342.184.4+0.259%-
vs Weaker (2)34.546.581.0-12.00%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.5
55.7%
55.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.5
33.7%
35.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws26.520.8
78.5%
75.8%20.8
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.520.0
58.0%
55.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.3
30.1%
35.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.7
75.2%
75.8%16.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WLLLWWWLWW
Mornar Bar
LLLLWLLWLL
#9
League position
#14
-3.0
Net rating
-10.2
112.3
Offensive rating
109.6
115.3
Defensive rating
119.8
53.1%
Effective FG%
51.9%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.7%
3-point %
30.1%
67.5%
Assist %
53.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 109.6Defence115.3 · 119.8Shooting53.1% · 51.9%3-point %33.7% · 30.1%Ball care16.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds28.4% · 34.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Zadar   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zadar wins
9
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
09/10/22Mornar Bar v Zadar100-91
27/03/22Mornar Bar v Zadar86-84
12/12/21Zadar v Mornar Bar71-76
04/03/21Mornar Bar v Zadar77-71
09/10/20Zadar v Mornar Bar66-82
13/01/19Mornar Bar v Zadar89-81
21/10/18Zadar v Mornar Bar83-93
22/01/18Zadar v Mornar Bar77-93
27/10/17Mornar Bar v Zadar80-70
10/02/17Zadar v Mornar Bar80-62
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23ASkrljevo85-71
09/01/23AStudentski Centar100-101 OT
02/01/23APartizan77-114
23/12/22HCibona68-75
20/12/22AAlkar97-70
18/12/22ABosco109-79
16/12/22HMZT Skopje98-79
11/12/22AGKK Sibenka76-77
09/12/22AIgokea84-81
04/12/22HAlkar90-66
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/23HFMP Beograd102-113
27/12/22ACedevita Olimpija79-100
18/12/22HBuducnost87-104
10/12/22ACrvena zvezda77-93
05/12/22HSplit104-88
26/11/22ABorac Mozzart87-90
20/11/22HMega Basket85-101
04/11/22AMZT Skopje94-77
30/10/22HStudentski Centar75-86
24/10/22HPartizan62-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game90.091.188.9
Allowed / game90.684.097.1
Point differential-0.6+7.1-8.3
Avg total180.6175.1186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %14%0%29%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL31%
HomeLLWLL29%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game87.087.986.0
Allowed / game92.395.189.0
Point differential-5.3-7.3-3.0
Avg total179.3183.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1312192%85.268.6+16.6
2 Partizan1412286%91.076.2+14.8
3 Cedevita Olimpija1412286%90.978.6+12.3
4 FMP Beograd1511473%92.984.5+8.5
5 Buducnost149564%90.181.9+8.2
6 Zadar147750%90.090.6-0.6
7 Studentski Centar157847%84.190.2-6.1
8 Cibona156940%79.790.7-11.0
9 Igokea145936%85.287.9-2.6
10 Mega Basket1551033%83.687.5-3.9
11 Split1551033%77.785.7-8.0
12 Mornar Bar134931%87.092.3-5.3
13 Borac Mozzart1531220%79.489.3-9.9
14 MZT Skopje1421214%78.988.9-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2330251997
Mornar Bar1618152877
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