PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mornar Bar vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 102-113
24-18 29-33 25-25 24-37
Position#14
Record4-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game90.6
Mornar Bar
vs
FMP Beograd 🏆
Position#5
Record9-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game83.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 13
Domestic2022
Meetings · Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd
08 Dec 2024
MBA76
FBE81
23 Dec 2023
MBA75
FBE77
03 Jan 2023
MBA102
FBE113
22 Jan 2022
MBA82
FBE78
20 Dec 2020
MBA84
FBE74
10 Mar 2019
MBA79
FBE69
14 Oct 2017
MBA73
FBE81
14 Oct 2016
MBA82
FBE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#11
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 71
A14/10
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
62-83
62
83
-21
54avg 71
H24/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
H30/10
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
94-77
94
77
+17
92avg 71
A04/11
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
L
85-101
85
101
-16
no box
H20/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
87-90
87
90
-3
68avg 71
A26/11
ABA League
Split
#10
W
104-88
104
88
+16
97avg 71
H05/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
77-93
77
93
-16
61avg 71
A10/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
74avg 71
H18/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
79-100
79
100
-21
64avg 71
A27/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
21-22
22-25
19-26
17-24
10-22
22-18
13-19
16-24
26-16
13-19
20-27
22-27
22-20
23-10
27-20
24-31
21-19
18-27
22-24
33-21
18-26
19-25
17-18
24-22
28-26
25-19
27-21
22-25
14-27
26-19
15-22
13-37
23-18
23-29
28-20
17-28
21-19
24-30
17-23
175.1Avg total
83.8Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.890.6176.3-4.833%
Season at home (6)85.592.2177.7-6.733%
Season away (6)86.089.0175.0-3.033%
Last 10 (10)83.891.3175.1-7.520%
Last 5 (5)86.895.0181.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)84.793.9178.6-9.230%
vs Similar (18)80.679.8160.4+0.850%
vs Weaker (2)70.570.5141.0+0.050%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Split
#10
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 74
H17/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A24/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
96-91
96
91
+5
92avg 74
H29/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 74
A06/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
101-97
101
97
+4
104avg 74
H18/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
89-77
89
77
+12
86avg 74
H27/11
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
97-103
97
103
-6
no box
A02/12
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
111-75
111
75
+36
no box
H12/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
86avg 74
A19/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
90-73
90
73
+17
82avg 74
H24/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
25-16
26-17
18-17
25-24
15-27
22-17
15-15
21-31
32-15
18-16
25-29
20-24
23-16
27-19
20-26
33-24
22-29
24-13
22-31
24-15
17-30
23-16
25-16
20-20
33-27
14-28
30-28
35-19
28-22
21-18
27-16
17-21
18-24
12-28
39-17
22-21
18-9
31-24
19-19
177.4Avg total
92.7Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.883.9175.8+7.975%
Season at home (7)95.380.3175.6+15.0100%
Season away (5)87.089.0176.0-2.040%
Last 10 (10)92.784.7177.4+8.070%
Last 5 (5)94.683.6178.2+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.484.8161.2-8.50%
vs Similar (4)89.887.5177.2+2.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.679.6170.2+11.083%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
Mornar BarFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A14/10
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H24/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H30/10
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A04/11
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H20/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A26/11
ABA League
Split
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H05/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H18/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/12
ABA League
89.0Avg total
41.8Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.285.0-3.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.344.986.1-3.650%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.784.1-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)41.847.289.0-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.649.892.4-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.248.287.4-9.020%-
vs Similar (18)42.441.884.2+0.661%-
vs Weaker (2)34.546.581.0-12.00%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A24/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H29/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A06/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H18/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H27/11
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A02/12
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H12/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A19/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H24/12
ABA League
90.6Avg total
46.9Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.483.3+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.440.082.4+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)41.343.084.3-1.743%-
Last 10 (10)46.943.790.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.688.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.944.682.5-6.718%-
vs Similar (4)46.243.890.0+2.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.139.684.7+5.567%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.820.0
59.2%
55.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.1
29.7%
35.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.815.7
75.5%
75.8%15.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.9
54.1%
55.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.210.7
46.1%
35.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws26.320.2
76.8%
75.8%20.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLWLLWLLL
FMP Beograd
WLWLWWWWLW
#14
League position
#5
-9.8
Net rating
+11.0
108.5
Offensive rating
122.5
118.3
Defensive rating
111.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
59.9%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.7%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.44
29.7%
3-point %
46.1%
54.3%
Assist %
67.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 122.5Defence118.3 · 111.4Shooting52.3% · 59.9%3-point %29.7% · 46.1%Ball care17.8% · 17.7%Off. rebounds33.3% · 35.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mornar Bar wins
4
FMP Beograd wins
DateGameScore
22/01/22Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd82-78
17/10/21FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar83-81
05/04/21FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar94-92
20/12/20Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd84-74
10/03/19Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd79-69
08/12/18FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar82-84
05/01/18FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar79-84
14/10/17Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd73-81
15/01/17FMP Beograd v Mornar Bar92-85
14/10/16Mornar Bar v FMP Beograd82-66
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/22ACedevita Olimpija79-100
18/12/22HBuducnost87-104
10/12/22ACrvena zvezda77-93
05/12/22HSplit104-88
26/11/22ABorac Mozzart87-90
20/11/22HMega Basket85-101
04/11/22AMZT Skopje94-77
30/10/22HStudentski Centar75-86
24/10/22HPartizan62-83
14/10/22ACibona88-91
FMP Beogradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/22HStudentski Centar90-73
19/12/22APartizan86-90
12/12/22HCibona111-75
02/12/22AZadar97-103
27/11/22HIgokea89-77
18/11/22HMZT Skopje101-97
06/11/22ACedevita Olimpija90-85
29/10/22HBuducnost96-91
24/10/22ACrvena zvezda77-83
17/10/22HSplit90-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game85.885.586.0
Allowed / game90.692.289.0
Point differential-4.8-6.7-3.0
Avg total176.3177.7175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%100%40%
Points / game91.895.387.0
Allowed / game83.980.389.0
Point differential+7.9+15.0-2.0
Avg total175.8175.6176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1211192%85.769.6+16.1
2 Partizan1311285%90.876.8+14.0
3 Cedevita Olimpija1210283%91.278.2+13.0
4 FMP Beograd129375%91.883.9+7.9
5 Buducnost139469%90.581.5+9.0
6 Zadar137654%89.289.8-0.5
7 Cibona136746%79.889.9-10.1
8 Igokea135838%83.485.8-2.4
9 Studentski Centar135838%81.889.5-7.8
10 Mornar Bar124833%85.890.6-4.8
11 Split134931%76.284.5-8.3
12 Mega Basket1331023%81.787.1-5.4
13 Borac Mozzart1331023%79.788.9-9.2
14 MZT Skopje1321115%80.589.5-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar24292524102
FMP Beograd18332537113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.