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Mt Gambier vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 96-98
35-24 16-27 27-20 18-27
Position#2
Record9-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#14
Record2-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game95.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Dandenong
30 May 2025
MT G96
DAND98
02 Jul 2023
MT G90
DAND71
02 Sep 2017
MT G92
DAND85
21 Apr 2017
MT G86
DAND79
03 Jul 2015
MT G98
DAND90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H04/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H11/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H12/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
105-73
105
73
+32
H25/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
88-118
88
118
-30
A03/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
100-115
100
115
-15
A04/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
93-91
93
91
+2
A10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H18/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
116-69
116
69
+47
A24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
100-70
100
70
+30
A25/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
13-20
19-21
22-18
17-11
26-25
21-19
25-9
25-20
26-19
21-21
17-20
17-16
30-16
27-23
31-18
20-34
30-27
9-26
29-31
25-34
27-27
26-25
22-29
23-23
28-22
30-21
12-25
37-25
16-31
17-18
24-14
42-11
31-18
20-19
23-21
27-19
31-12
19-24
23-15
180.3Avg total
95.4Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)96.881.9178.8+14.975%
Season at home (5)91.477.2168.6+14.280%
Season away (7)100.785.3186.0+15.471%
Last 10 (10)95.484.9180.3+10.570%
Last 5 (5)100.686.6187.2+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)84.283.8168.0+0.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.979.4173.3+14.580%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#19
L
100-105
100
105
-5
H30/03
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
72-94
72
94
-22
H05/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
111-103
111
103
+8
H11/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A13/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
89-100
89
100
-11
A03/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H17/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A18/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
91-106
91
106
-15
H24/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
19-29
29-23
24-34
30-25
7-18
21-31
14-20
22-24
31-26
30-25
28-28
15-16
24-20
21-19
21-34
17-31
20-25
15-22
34-19
23-20
20-31
25-28
21-21
24-24
14-22
11-16
27-26
18-15
20-21
24-23
10-30
20-22
16-17
24-23
36-29
20-16
27-28
27-27
17-35
183.6Avg total
87.4Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.795.4182.1-8.618%
Season at home (5)89.299.4188.6-10.220%
Season away (6)84.792.0176.7-7.317%
Last 10 (10)87.496.2183.6-8.820%
Last 5 (5)84.894.8179.6-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.690.9173.5-8.333%
vs Similar (9)82.888.6171.3-5.833%
vs Weaker (9)89.486.7176.1+2.867%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
Mt GambierDandenong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H04/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H11/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H12/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H25/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A03/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A04/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H18/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
73-29
73
29
+44
A24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A25/05
NBL1 South
94.9Avg total
51.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.239.587.7+8.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.940.985.9+4.050%-
Last 30 away (16)51.038.389.3+12.781%-
Last 10 (10)51.743.294.9+8.560%-
Last 5 (5)57.444.4101.8+13.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)40.638.679.2+2.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)49.739.789.4+10.072%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#19
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H30/03
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H11/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A13/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H24/05
NBL1 South
86.4Avg total
41.5Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.843.986.7-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.942.887.7+2.269%-
Last 30 away (14)40.445.185.6-4.714%-
Last 10 (10)41.544.986.4-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.283.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.245.686.8-4.333%-
vs Similar (9)41.843.685.3-1.844%-
vs Weaker (9)46.041.987.9+4.156%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Mt Gambier wins
2
Dandenong wins
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/25ABendigo Braves100-70
24/05/25ABallarat116-69
18/05/25HGeelong94-88
10/05/25ACasey Cavaliers93-91
04/05/25AFrankston100-115
03/05/25ARingwood88-118
25/04/25HWaverley105-73
12/04/25HEltham89-80
11/04/25HSandringham Sabres89-64
04/04/25HCasey Cavaliers80-81
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25HWaverley91-106
18/05/25ARingwood96-91
17/05/25HKnox72-89
10/05/25AGeelong76-88
03/05/25ABendigo Braves89-100
24/04/25AFrankston86-97
13/04/25AMelbourne Tigers81-89
11/04/25HKeilor Thunder111-103
05/04/25HEltham72-94
30/03/25HDiamond Valley100-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %75%80%71%
Points / game96.891.4100.7
Allowed / game81.977.285.3
Point differential+14.9+14.2+15.4
Avg total178.8168.6186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dandenong
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%20%17%
Points / game86.789.284.7
Allowed / game95.499.492.0
Point differential-8.6-10.2-7.3
Avg total182.1188.6176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1211192%92.777.6+15.1
2 Mt Gambier129375%96.881.9+14.9
3 Casey Cavaliers117464%87.081.9+5.1
4 Melbourne Tigers106460%86.078.7+7.3
5 Frankston127558%92.686.2+6.3
6 Hobart Chargers127558%85.681.7+3.9
7 Kilsyth127558%85.184.3+0.8
8 Eltham116555%85.585.8-0.4
9 Nunawading116555%86.988.6-1.7
10 Ballarat116555%86.093.7-7.7
11 Bendigo Braves137654%86.193.2-7.2
12 Waverley125742%89.494.2-4.8
13 Geelong114736%80.986.1-5.2
14 Sandringham Sabres114736%86.091.2-5.2
15 Diamond Valley114736%86.692.9-6.3
16 Keilor Thunder114736%81.790.5-8.8
17 Ringwood124833%91.889.1+2.8
18 NW Tasmania123925%85.987.6-1.7
19 Dandenong112918%86.795.4-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier3516271896
Dandenong2427202798
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