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Mt Gambier vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 90-71
25-13 24-22 25-12 16-24
Position#4
Record12-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.1
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#18
Record3-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game91.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Dandenong
30 May 2025
MT G96
DAND98
02 Jul 2023
MT G90
DAND71
02 Sep 2017
MT G92
DAND85
21 Apr 2017
MT G86
DAND79
03 Jul 2015
MT G98
DAND90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
76-100
76
100
-24
A07/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H12/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
84-95
84
95
-11
H19/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H27/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
102-80
102
80
+22
H02/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H09/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
105-98
105
98
+7
A17/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
105-85
105
85
+20
A18/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H23/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H30/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
24-25
14-28
20-19
17-19
22-17
18-25
14-16
20-36
25-27
20-18
19-14
17-18
13-20
14-14
19-25
24-23
28-18
23-22
27-17
22-22
30-13
22-21
17-21
18-23
32-27
30-20
25-28
24-26
30-19
28-16
23-24
28-19
23-30
20-23
29-18
29-19
22-9
17-24
26-13
173.5Avg total
89.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)95.186.4181.5+8.871%
Season at home (10)90.080.2170.2+9.870%
Season away (7)102.495.1197.6+7.371%
Last 10 (10)89.184.4173.5+4.760%
Last 5 (5)99.083.0182.0+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.077.0140.0-14.00%
vs Similar (7)96.792.3189.0+4.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.982.4173.3+8.573%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#5
L
76-99
76
99
-23
A07/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A13/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A14/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
L
92-95
92
95
-3
H20/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H21/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
107-73
107
73
+34
H27/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A03/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
73-89
73
89
-16
A17/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H24/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
96-98
96
98
-2
A25/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-28
19-28
21-29
26-14
16-29
28-17
24-15
17-28
17-22
19-21
26-20
17-24
19-22
20-30
18-25
35-18
24-31
30-16
13-28
22-28
31-31
28-17
27-13
21-12
16-21
20-25
16-14
29-24
18-17
20-23
17-24
18-25
18-18
29-27
9-30
34-20
25-33
27-26
25-26
19-13
178.0Avg total
86.8Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.491.4177.8-5.117%
Season at home (9)91.990.0181.9+1.933%
Season away (9)80.992.9173.8-12.00%
Last 10 (10)86.891.2178.0-4.410%
Last 5 (5)89.487.8177.2+1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)83.494.2177.7-10.817%
vs Similar (6)81.888.0169.8-6.20%
vs Weaker (1)97.072.0169.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
Mt GambierDandenong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A07/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H12/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
45-63
45
63
-18
H19/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H27/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H02/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H09/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A17/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A18/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H23/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H30/06
NBL1 South
90.4Avg total
46.6Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.943.389.2+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.140.987.0+5.171%-
Last 30 away (13)45.646.492.0-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)46.643.890.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)51.641.493.0+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.038.068.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (7)48.749.998.6-1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.741.587.1+4.264%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#5
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A07/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A13/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A14/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H20/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H21/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H27/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A17/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A25/06
NBL1 South
91.6Avg total
43.4Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.045.987.9-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.145.491.5+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)37.846.484.2-8.620%-
Last 10 (10)43.448.291.6-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.694.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)42.046.488.4-4.339%-
vs Similar (6)39.545.785.2-6.217%-
vs Weaker (1)55.036.091.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mt Gambier wins
2
Dandenong wins
DateGameScore
08/05/22Dandenong v Mt Gambier89-99
08/05/21Dandenong v Mt Gambier91-97
02/09/17Mt Gambier v Dandenong92-85
18/06/17Dandenong v Mt Gambier91-77
21/04/17Mt Gambier v Dandenong86-79
23/04/16Dandenong v Mt Gambier80-93
03/07/15Mt Gambier v Dandenong98-90 OT
02/05/15Dandenong v Mt Gambier93-88
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/23HBendigo Braves94-65
23/06/23HGeelong100-90
18/06/23ABallarat105-85
17/06/23ARingwood105-98
09/06/23HDiamond Valley91-77
02/06/23HKilsyth102-80
27/05/23HKnox63-77
19/05/23HSandringham Sabres84-95
12/05/23HWaverley71-77
07/05/23AMelbourne Tigers76-100
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/06/23ARingwood96-98
24/06/23HFrankston90-95
17/06/23AGeelong73-89
03/06/23AKeilor Thunder81-84
27/05/23HKilsyth107-73
21/05/23HNunawading89-103
20/05/23HNW Tasmania92-95
14/05/23AWaverley79-87
13/05/23ABendigo Braves85-89
07/05/23AEltham76-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayWLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %71%70%71%
Points / game95.190.0102.4
Allowed / game86.480.295.1
Point differential+8.8+9.8+7.3
Avg total181.5170.2197.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%70%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dandenong
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game86.491.980.9
Allowed / game91.490.092.9
Point differential-5.1+1.9-12.0
Avg total177.8181.9173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1814478%88.175.8+12.3
2 Frankston1813572%93.384.6+8.7
3 Sandringham Sabres1813572%92.685.2+7.4
4 Mt Gambier1712571%95.186.4+8.8
5 Nunawading1912763%91.584.8+6.6
6 Diamond Valley1912763%88.486.8+1.5
7 Waverley1710759%86.585.2+1.4
8 Eltham1911858%88.784.1+4.6
9 Geelong189950%88.888.2+0.6
10 Melbourne Tigers189950%83.586.2-2.7
11 Ballarat1991047%92.593.7-1.3
12 Hobart Chargers1881044%84.386.5-2.2
13 Bendigo Braves1881044%87.093.2-6.2
14 Kilsyth1871139%87.689.6-2.1
15 Keilor Thunder1871139%87.193.9-6.8
16 NW Tasmania1971237%81.789.3-7.6
17 Ringwood1961332%90.294.9-4.7
18 Dandenong1831517%86.491.4-5.1
19 Casey Cavaliers1831517%74.687.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier2524251690
Dandenong1322122471
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