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Mt Gambier vs Frankston Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 105-68
29-16 36-21 21-13 19-18
Position#2
Record15-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#12
Record9-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game90.2
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Frankston
18 Jul 2025
MT G105
FRAN68
13 Apr 2024
MT G93
FRAN87
30 Apr 2022
MT G100
FRAN91
19 May 2017
MT G99
FRAN70
20 May 2016
MT G98
FRAN81
29 May 2015
MT G103
FRAN59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frankston winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
100-70
100
70
+30
A25/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
96-98
96
98
-2
H30/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
100-99
100
99
+1
A14/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
A15/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
84-95
84
95
-11
H20/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H27/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A04/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
107-74
107
74
+33
A05/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
89-51
89
51
+38
H11/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H12/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
31-12
19-24
23-15
35-24
16-27
27-20
18-27
29-25
21-17
33-32
17-25
20-20
20-26
27-30
22-13
24-16
19-25
19-40
22-14
24-20
23-21
26-16
23-19
19-19
23-20
31-17
14-21
36-21
24-19
26-14
21-20
26-15
23-16
23-7
17-13
23-27
21-20
25-22
23-17
178.8Avg total
95.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)96.183.1179.2+13.071%
Season at home (10)91.479.2170.6+12.270%
Season away (11)100.486.6187.0+13.773%
Last 10 (10)95.683.2178.8+12.470%
Last 5 (5)94.272.8167.0+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)78.083.7161.7-5.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)96.182.0178.1+14.174%
This opponent (Frankston) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankstonAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A23/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
107-73
107
73
+34
A25/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A31/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
101-113
101
113
-12
H14/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H15/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A21/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
103-104
103
104
-1
A29/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A05/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H11/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
118-119 OT
118
119
-1
H12/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
30-26
18-33
18-19
25-17
24-20
27-16
31-20
25-27
18-14
21-20
18-15
33-23
20-29
28-34
20-27
31-22
16-20
19-27
22-22
34-16
18-26
16-24
16-20
27-35
18-17
24-18
34-34
21-18
24-28
21-20
20-17
19-27
27-24
23-20
20-27
22-24
22-22
30-33
31-26
188.8Avg total
94.8Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)93.190.2183.3+2.845%
Season at home (11)96.694.1190.7+2.545%
Season away (9)88.885.6174.3+3.244%
Last 10 (10)94.894.0188.8+0.830%
Last 5 (5)96.098.0194.0-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)102.792.3195.0+10.367%
vs Similar (12)89.886.8176.7+3.042%
vs Weaker (15)94.381.4175.7+12.973%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
Mt GambierFrankston
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A25/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H30/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A14/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A15/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H27/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A04/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
60-40
60
40
+20
A05/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H11/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H12/07
NBL1 South
89.3Avg total
48.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.640.789.4+7.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.440.886.2+4.756%-
Last 30 away (14)52.340.793.0+11.679%-
Last 10 (10)48.440.989.3+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)48.439.688.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)35.038.373.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)50.141.091.1+9.170%-
This opponent (Frankston) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankstonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A23/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A25/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A31/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H14/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H15/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A21/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A29/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A05/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H11/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H12/07
NBL1 South
93.2Avg total
47.8Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.542.389.8+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.543.290.8+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)47.441.388.7+6.171%-
Last 10 (10)47.845.493.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.493.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)56.345.3101.7+11.0100%-
vs Similar (12)44.543.688.1+0.958%-
vs Weaker (15)48.140.788.8+7.367%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Mt Gambier wins
1
Frankston wins
DateGameScore
04/05/25Frankston v Mt Gambier115-100
13/04/24Mt Gambier v Frankston93-87
22/07/23Frankston v Mt Gambier96-97 OT
16/04/23Frankston v Mt Gambier94-103
04/06/22Frankston v Mt Gambier91-109
30/04/22Mt Gambier v Frankston100-91
19/05/17Mt Gambier v Frankston99-70
24/07/16Frankston v Mt Gambier76-88
20/05/16Mt Gambier v Frankston98-81
12/06/15Frankston v Mt Gambier69-87
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/25HNunawading92-86
11/07/25HBendigo Braves89-51
05/07/25ANW Tasmania107-74
04/07/25AHobart Chargers87-77
27/06/25HDiamond Valley96-76
20/06/25HMelbourne Tigers84-95
15/06/25AKnox105-106 OT
14/06/25AKilsyth100-99
30/05/25HDandenong96-98
25/05/25ABendigo Braves100-70
Frankstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/25HHobart Chargers118-119 OT
11/07/25HEltham89-98
05/07/25AGeelong86-83
29/06/25ADandenong103-104
21/06/25ABallarat84-86
15/06/25HRingwood88-91
14/06/25HWaverley101-113
31/05/25ANunawading82-76
25/05/25AKilsyth107-73
23/05/25AKnox90-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLLWWW70%
AwayWWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%70%73%
Points / game96.191.4100.4
Allowed / game83.179.286.6
Point differential+13.0+12.2+13.7
Avg total179.2170.6187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%40%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Frankston
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeLLLLL45%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %45%45%44%
Points / game93.196.688.8
Allowed / game90.294.185.6
Point differential+2.9+2.5+3.2
Avg total183.3190.7174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2117481%91.783.9+7.9
2 Mt Gambier2115671%96.183.1+13.0
3 Sandringham Sabres2013765%93.590.0+3.5
4 Kilsyth2113862%89.085.6+3.4
5 Melbourne Tigers2012860%86.580.7+5.8
6 Eltham2012860%89.586.2+3.3
7 Ballarat2012860%88.089.5-1.6
8 Hobart Chargers2112957%88.786.5+2.1
9 Casey Cavaliers2011955%88.286.2+2.0
10 Ringwood22111150%95.190.8+4.3
11 Frankston2091145%93.190.2+2.9
12 Nunawading2091145%86.587.2-0.8
13 Waverley2091145%93.396.3-3.0
14 Bendigo Braves2181338%82.094.0-12.0
15 Geelong2071335%83.088.8-5.8
16 Keilor Thunder2071335%82.588.4-6.0
17 Dandenong2171433%90.195.1-5.0
18 NW Tasmania2051525%85.791.5-5.8
19 Diamond Valley2051525%84.593.8-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier29362119105
Frankston1621131868
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