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Mt Gambier vs Hobart Chargers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 96-70
26-25 27-17 20-14 23-14
Position#1
Record12-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#9
Record9-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game80.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Hobart Chargers
21 Jun 2024
MT G96
HOBA70
25 Jun 2022
MT G82
HOBA92
28 Jul 2017
MT G99
HOBA89
02 Sep 2016
MT G97
HOBA72
15 Apr 2016
MT G84
HOBA94
24 Apr 2015
MT G77
HOBA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hobart Chargers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#11
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A04/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A05/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
98-77
98
77
+21
A18/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A19/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H24/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A07/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A15/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
A16/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
19-28
36-23
20-20
23-19
18-15
23-17
26-24
20-21
25-24
24-18
27-15
32-13
19-17
22-31
25-16
26-14
23-16
13-26
20-14
26-27
21-21
22-21
20-22
19-20
25-19
12-20
21-25
27-18
21-18
19-18
13-10
23-18
27-24
21-22
19-17
24-20
30-14
23-18
19-29
167.3Avg total
89.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)88.581.0169.5+7.575%
Season at home (7)89.089.3178.3-0.343%
Season away (9)88.174.6162.7+13.6100%
Last 10 (10)89.178.2167.3+10.980%
Last 5 (5)86.480.2166.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.072.5135.5-9.50%
vs Similar (7)94.687.9182.4+6.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.480.9170.2+8.581%
This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hobart ChargersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H26/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H27/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H03/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H10/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A18/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A19/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
99-98 OT
99
98
+1
A25/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A26/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H31/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H14/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
17-23
19-24
28-16
14-19
23-21
25-23
17-25
18-22
25-16
19-22
26-20
17-15
20-18
25-22
19-8
21-15
19-19
18-25
11-18
19-12
21-25
17-31
23-23
17-25
24-25
28-17
21-23
16-24
23-21
24-11
22-18
20-16
22-17
22-24
24-16
19-22
12-27
20-22
12-15
162.9Avg total
82.0Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.180.4161.5+0.760%
Season at home (8)82.179.4161.5+2.862%
Season away (7)79.981.6161.4-1.757%
Last 10 (10)82.080.9162.9+1.160%
Last 5 (5)83.084.4167.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)83.186.6169.8-3.550%
vs Similar (12)82.284.4166.6-2.233%
vs Weaker (10)85.078.7163.7+6.390%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
Mt GambierHobart Chargers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A05/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A18/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A19/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H24/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A07/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A15/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A16/06
NBL1 South
84.2Avg total
46.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.641.588.1+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.442.488.7+4.064%-
Last 30 away (16)46.840.787.5+6.162%-
Last 10 (10)46.637.684.2+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)48.639.888.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.035.567.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (7)48.744.793.4+4.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.341.088.2+6.371%-
This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hobart ChargersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H26/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H27/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H10/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A18/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A19/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A25/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A26/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H31/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H14/06
NBL1 South
78.9Avg total
39.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.883.4+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.140.682.6+1.562%-
Last 30 away (14)43.241.084.2+2.264%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.878.9-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.881.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.544.987.4-2.450%-
vs Similar (12)43.940.184.0+3.867%-
vs Weaker (10)41.138.379.4+2.870%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mt Gambier wins
7
Hobart Chargers wins
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/06/24ADiamond Valley96-81
15/06/24AKilsyth90-81
07/06/24AKeilor Thunder80-64
31/05/24HGeelong77-84
24/05/24HEltham89-91
19/05/24ACasey Cavaliers82-70
18/05/24AKnox98-77
10/05/24HNunawading96-78
05/05/24ABendigo Braves90-75
04/05/24AGeelong93-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/24HSandringham Sabres63-86
31/05/24HNW Tasmania88-73
26/05/24AEltham85-74
25/05/24ACasey Cavaliers99-98 OT
19/05/24AKnox80-91
18/05/24AKeilor Thunder69-77
10/05/24HMelbourne Tigers81-63
03/05/24HFrankston88-80
27/04/24HBallarat79-88
26/04/24HCasey Cavaliers88-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW75%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %75%43%100%
Points / game88.589.088.1
Allowed / game81.089.374.6
Point differential+7.5-0.3+13.6
Avg total169.5178.3162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%14%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hobart Chargers
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game81.182.179.9
Allowed / game80.479.481.6
Point differential+0.7+2.8-1.7
Avg total161.5161.5161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sandringham Sabres1612475%93.779.9+13.8
2 Mt Gambier1612475%88.581.0+7.5
3 Ballarat1511473%92.584.4+8.1
4 Dandenong1611569%86.982.6+4.3
5 Waverley1610662%93.687.9+5.8
6 Keilor Thunder1610662%87.990.9-3.0
7 Hobart Chargers159660%81.180.4+0.7
8 Knox169756%94.584.1+10.4
9 Eltham158753%89.182.3+6.9
10 Frankston158753%91.385.6+5.7
11 Nunawading158753%87.385.1+2.1
12 Melbourne Tigers167944%77.282.0-4.8
13 Geelong156940%79.085.3-6.3
14 NW Tasmania156940%82.190.7-8.5
15 Bendigo Braves1661038%79.086.2-7.2
16 Ringwood1761135%84.788.8-4.1
17 Diamond Valley1541127%86.095.7-9.7
18 Kilsyth1531220%78.889.3-10.5
19 Casey Cavaliers1621412%78.189.6-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier2627202396
Hobart Chargers2517141470
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