PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mt Gambier vs Sandringham Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 87-95
28-20 16-28 16-30 27-17
Position#2
Record17-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#3
Record16-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game89.6
AustraliaNBL1 SouthNBL1 South - Semi-finals
Other2025
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Sandringham Sabres
09 Aug 2025
MT G87
SAND95
11 Apr 2025
MT G89
SAND64
20 Jul 2024
MT G59
SAND75
19 May 2023
MT G84
SAND95
28 Aug 2022
MT G88
SAND62
10 Jul 2021
MT G109
SAND91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sandringham Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#7
W
100-99
100
99
+1
A14/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
A15/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
84-95
84
95
-11
H20/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H27/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A04/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
107-74
107
74
+33
A05/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
89-51
89
51
+38
H11/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H12/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
105-68
105
68
+37
H18/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
97-61
97
61
+36
H26/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
21-17
33-32
17-25
20-20
20-26
27-30
22-13
24-16
19-25
19-40
22-14
24-20
23-21
26-16
23-19
19-19
23-20
31-17
14-21
36-21
24-19
26-14
21-20
26-15
23-16
23-7
17-13
23-27
21-20
25-22
23-17
29-16
36-21
21-13
19-18
27-14
29-14
23-12
18-21
175.5Avg total
96.2Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)96.581.5178.0+15.074%
Season at home (12)93.076.8169.8+16.275%
Season away (11)100.486.6187.0+13.773%
Last 10 (10)96.279.3175.5+16.980%
Last 5 (5)98.068.0166.0+30.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)78.083.7161.7-5.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)96.581.2177.7+15.374%
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sandringham SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#14
W
112-105
112
105
+7
A21/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
118-97
118
97
+21
A28/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H05/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H08/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
128-102
128
102
+26
A11/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
100-98
100
98
+2
H12/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
98-104
98
104
-6
A18/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H20/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
111-98
111
98
+13
H26/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A02/08
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
25-27
22-27
35-27
34-24
23-23
36-27
25-23
22-17
27-16
22-18
21-20
25-21
23-17
10-17
12-14
33-30
29-16
28-33
38-23
32-25
28-22
21-19
19-32
17-21
30-16
30-31
21-36
28-20
31-20
26-9
16-25
31-25
27-20
26-28
27-25
25-15
27-14
19-15
22-31
191.6Avg total
102.3Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)94.789.6184.3+5.167%
Season at home (12)92.485.4177.8+7.067%
Season away (12)97.093.8190.8+3.267%
Last 10 (10)102.389.3191.6+13.090%
Last 5 (5)100.689.8190.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)64.089.0153.0-25.00%
vs Similar (9)87.386.3173.7+1.056%
vs Weaker (20)97.588.7186.2+8.870%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +7.9+7.9Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +7.9+7.9Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
Mt GambierSandringham Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#7
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A14/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A15/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H27/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A04/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
60-40
60
40
+20
A05/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H11/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H12/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
65-37
65
37
+28
H18/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
56-28
56
28
+28
H26/07
NBL1 South
88.8Avg total
49.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.140.489.5+8.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.839.786.5+7.159%-
Last 30 away (13)52.241.293.4+10.977%-
Last 10 (10)49.639.288.8+10.480%-
Last 5 (5)54.836.691.4+18.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)35.038.373.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)50.740.691.3+10.170%-
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sandringham SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#14
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A21/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A28/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H05/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H08/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A11/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H12/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A18/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H20/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H26/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A02/08
NBL1 South
96.0Avg total
54.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.243.490.6+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.442.189.4+5.362%-
Last 30 away (14)47.044.991.9+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)54.741.396.0+13.4100%-
Last 5 (5)55.239.694.8+15.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (9)44.041.385.3+2.756%-
vs Weaker (20)49.244.393.5+4.970%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mt Gambier wins
3
Sandringham Sabres wins
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/25HKilsyth97-61
18/07/25HFrankston105-68
12/07/25HNunawading92-86
11/07/25HBendigo Braves89-51
05/07/25ANW Tasmania107-74
04/07/25AHobart Chargers87-77
27/06/25HDiamond Valley96-76
20/06/25HMelbourne Tigers84-95
15/06/25AKnox105-106 OT
14/06/25AKilsyth100-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/25AEltham93-75
26/07/25HHobart Chargers111-98
20/07/25HBendigo Braves101-74
18/07/25AEltham98-104
12/07/25HNW Tasmania100-98
11/07/25AWaverley128-102
08/07/25HKeilor Thunder70-69
05/07/25HMelbourne Tigers92-71
28/06/25ABallarat118-97
21/06/25ADandenong112-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %74%75%73%
Points / game96.593.0100.4
Allowed / game81.576.886.6
Point differential+15.0+16.2+13.7
Avg total178.0169.8187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%50%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Sandringham Sabres
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game94.792.497.0
Allowed / game89.685.493.8
Point differential+5.1+7.0+3.2
Avg total184.3177.8190.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2318578%90.983.6+7.3
2 Mt Gambier2317674%96.581.5+15.0
3 Melbourne Tigers2416867%87.582.0+5.6
4 Sandringham Sabres2416867%94.789.6+5.1
5 Ballarat2314961%87.488.9-1.5
6 Eltham24141058%88.385.3+3.0
7 Kilsyth24141058%87.886.4+1.5
8 Hobart Chargers22121055%89.187.6+1.5
9 Ringwood22111150%95.190.8+4.3
10 Casey Cavaliers22111150%87.886.4+1.4
11 Nunawading22111150%87.486.4+1.0
12 Frankston22101245%92.691.0+1.7
13 Waverley2291341%93.796.5-2.9
14 Dandenong2281436%91.195.5-4.4
15 Keilor Thunder2281436%82.488.0-5.7
16 Bendigo Braves2281436%81.794.3-12.6
17 Geelong2271532%81.988.5-6.5
18 NW Tasmania2151624%86.592.4-5.9
19 Diamond Valley2251723%84.595.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier2816162787
Sandringham Sabres2028301795
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.