Mt Gambier vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jun 2017

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 85-70

27-22 17-12 23-24 18-12

Position#1

Record10-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game89.6

Allowed / game79.3

Mt Gambier 🏆

Southern Sabres

Position#10

Record6-6

FormLWLWW

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game82.2

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Mt Gambier v Southern Sabres

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Southern Sabres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

80-66

+14

H31/03

SEABL

Canberra

#14

106-88

106

+18

H07/04

SEABL

Dandenong

86-79

H21/04

SEABL

Ballarat

91-79

+12

A22/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

111-87

111

+24

H28/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

89-81

A06/05

SEABL

Nunawading

84-81

A07/05

SEABL

Bendigo

71-92

-21

A13/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

99-70

+29

H19/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

82-66

+16

H26/05

SEABL

26-20

15-19

21-14

18-13

37-17

28-26

29-17

12-28

23-19

19-16

19-20

25-24

33-14

13-22

29-22

16-21

31-14

30-20

24-22

26-31

23-19

19-15

31-30

16-17

16-21

26-22

21-24

21-14

12-30

16-34

17-11

26-17

22-23

28-13

26-24

23-10

22-10

15-16

22-29

23-11

168.8Avg total

89.9Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	89.6	79.3	168.9	+10.4	91%
Season at home (6)	94.0	76.0	170.0	+18.0	100%
Season away (5)	84.4	83.2	167.6	+1.2	80%
Last 10 (10)	89.9	78.9	168.8	+11.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	78.0	163.0	+7.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	76.6	74.2	150.8	+2.4	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	92.0	77.3	169.3	+14.8	88%

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

63-78

-15

H07/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

82-107

107

-25

A08/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

69-93

-24

A21/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

70-63

A22/04

SEABL

Geelong

84-80

H29/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

81-89

-8

H06/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

89-72

+17

H13/05

SEABL

Nunawading

80-107

107

-27

A20/05

SEABL

Dandenong

84-83

A27/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

97-67

+30

H28/05

SEABL

17-19

11-26

19-20

16-13

15-30

20-25

26-36

21-16

17-19

18-29

17-26

11-13

26-15

11-15

22-20

22-21

18-22

19-15

25-22

19-23

15-19

30-31

17-16

30-19

23-17

20-19

16-17

17-29

25-28

25-26

13-24

27-26

22-17

19-20

16-20

24-13

17-20

27-20

29-14

163.8Avg total

79.9Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	80.1	82.2	162.2	-2.1	50%
Season at home (5)	82.8	77.2	160.0	+5.6	60%
Season away (7)	78.1	85.7	163.9	-7.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	83.9	163.8	-4.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	83.6	169.8	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	78.6	92.8	171.4	-14.2	31%
vs Similar (10)	80.4	79.8	160.2	+0.6	60%
vs Weaker (4)	87.5	72.8	160.2	+14.8	75%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mt GambierSouthern Sabres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.6	18.7	43.3	+5.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.7	16.4	42.1	+9.3	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.4	21.1	44.5	+2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	18.7	43.2	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	25.2	18.7	43.9	+6.6	76%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.3	42.9	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.0	45.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.1	23.8	43.9	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	16.0	37.2	+5.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.0	39.9	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	18.7	41.4	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.8	15.6	33.4	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.7	40.3	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	22.1	42.1	-2.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.3	38.5	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.9	21.8	41.7	-1.9	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	25%	-

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

41-39

H31/03

SEABL

Canberra

#14

65-43

+22

H07/04

SEABL

Dandenong

42-35

H21/04

SEABL

Ballarat

46-36

+10

A22/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

61-34

+27

H28/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

42-34

A06/05

SEABL

Nunawading

42-43

-1

A07/05

SEABL

Bendigo

28-64

-36

A13/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

50-36

+14

H19/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

37-26

+11

H26/05

SEABL

84.4Avg total

45.4Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	37.7	83.2	+7.8	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.5	35.1	83.5	+13.4	100%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.6	40.3	82.9	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	39.0	84.4	+6.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	40.6	80.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	39.0	34.6	73.6	+4.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	46.8	38.3	85.2	+8.5	88%	-

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

28-45

-17

H07/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

35-55

-20

A08/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

34-38

-4

A21/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

37-28

A22/04

SEABL

Geelong

40-43

-3

H29/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

34-42

-8

H06/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

53-36

+17

H13/05

SEABL

Nunawading

42-57

-15

A20/05

SEABL

Dandenong

49-43

A27/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

41-33

H28/05

SEABL

81.3Avg total

39.3Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	41.7	81.5	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	43.4	85.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	40.0	78.1	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	42.0	81.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	42.2	86.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	39.9	45.6	85.6	-5.7	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.9	38.6	78.5	+1.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.2	33.8	73.0	+5.5	75%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.3	43.2	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	20.9	44.2	+2.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	21.3	45.2	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	23.6	47.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	23.6	20.5	44.2	+3.1	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.7	43.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	22.5	44.6	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	22.9	42.1	-3.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	23.1	44.5	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	23.2	47.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.6	24.6	45.1	-4.0	31%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	19.1	41.9	+3.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.5	37.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	13.8	35.6	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.1	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.4	41.3	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	22.1	41.3	-2.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.2	36.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.1	22.6	40.7	-4.6	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.2	18.8	44.0	+6.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	39.1	83.0	+4.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.1	40.0	86.1	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.8	38.1	79.9	+3.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	39.9	84.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	37.4	82.6	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	37.6	39.6	77.2	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	45.2	39.0	84.2	+6.2	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	44.1	84.6	-3.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	43.3	85.8	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	44.9	83.5	-6.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	41.9	82.5	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	41.4	83.8	+1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	38.6	47.2	85.8	-8.6	19%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.5	41.2	81.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	48.2	39.0	87.2	+9.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mt Gambier wins

Southern Sabres wins

Date	Game	Score
06/05/17	Southern Sabres v Mt Gambier	81-89
22/07/16	Mt Gambier v Southern Sabres	106-57
15/05/16	Southern Sabres v Mt Gambier	77-109
17/07/15	Mt Gambier v Southern Sabres	101-85
03/05/15	Southern Sabres v Mt Gambier	75-104

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/05/17	H	Kilsyth	82-66
19/05/17	H	Frankston	99-70
13/05/17	A	Bendigo	71-92
07/05/17	A	Nunawading	84-81
06/05/17	A	Southern Sabres	89-81
28/04/17	H	NW Tasmania	111-87
22/04/17	A	Ballarat	91-79
21/04/17	H	Dandenong	86-79
07/04/17	H	Canberra	106-88
31/03/17	H	Bendigo	80-66

Southern Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/05/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	97-67
27/05/17	A	Dandenong	84-83
20/05/17	A	Nunawading	80-107
13/05/17	H	Kilsyth	89-72
06/05/17	H	Mt Gambier	81-89
29/04/17	H	Geelong	84-80
22/04/17	A	NW Tasmania	70-63
21/04/17	A	Hobart Chargers	69-93
08/04/17	A	Albury	82-107
07/04/17	H	Bendigo	63-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier

SEABL 2017

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	91%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	91%	100%	80%
Points / game	89.6	94.0	84.4
Allowed / game	79.3	76.0	83.2
Point differential	+10.4	+18.0	+1.2
Avg total	168.9	170.0	167.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	83%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Southern Sabres

SEABL 2017

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	50%
Home	LWLWW	60%
Away	LLWLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	50%	60%	43%
Points / game	80.1	82.8	78.1
Allowed / game	82.2	77.2	85.7
Point differential	-2.1	+5.6	-7.6
Avg total	162.2	160.0	163.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	40%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	11	10	1	91%	89.6	79.3	+10.4
2	Nunawading	14	12	2	86%	91.1	80.9	+10.3
3	Hobart Chargers	11	8	3	73%	98.9	80.5	+18.4
4	Geelong	12	8	4	67%	87.9	78.6	+9.3
5	Ballarat	12	8	4	67%	86.1	81.9	+4.2
6	Dandenong	13	7	6	54%	79.5	80.9	-1.4
7	Bendigo	14	7	7	50%	84.6	82.6	+2.1
8	Albury	12	6	6	50%	92.4	92.2	+0.2
9	Southern Sabres	12	6	6	50%	80.1	82.2	-2.1
10	Kilsyth	13	5	8	38%	76.6	80.7	-4.1
11	NW Tasmania	13	5	8	38%	79.6	84.2	-4.6
12	Melbourne Tigers	12	3	9	25%	75.6	89.8	-14.2
13	Frankston	13	3	10	23%	79.2	90.2	-11.0
14	BA CoE	9	2	7	22%	79.2	90.3	-11.1
15	Canberra	11	1	10	9%	81.3	88.9	-7.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mt Gambier	27	17	23	18	85
Southern Sabres	22	12	24	12	70

← all games of the day

Mt Gambier vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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