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Murcia vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-75
22-19 17-27 27-13 14-16
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game69.8
Murcia 🏆
vs
Position#30
Record2-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game85.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
European cup2025
Meetings · Murcia v Lublin
19 Nov 2025
MUR80
LUB75
20 Sep 2025
MUR100
LUB84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
77-63
77
63
+14
70avg 76
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#8
L
80-96
80
96
-16
66avg 76
A18/10
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
L
72-87
72
87
-15
60avg 76
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
89-84
89
84
+5
81avg 76
H26/10
ACB
Lublin
#30
W
102-75
102
75
+27
103avg 76
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
82avg 76
A02/11
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
89-61
89
61
+28
86avg 76
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#10
W
84-65
84
65
+19
66avg 76
H08/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
W
87-63
87
63
+24
90avg 76
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
83-96
83
96
-13
66avg 76
H16/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-9
10-19
21-21
27-14
22-26
10-21
25-27
23-22
17-22
21-26
14-21
20-18
26-21
23-17
19-24
21-22
21-26
24-22
25-12
32-15
34-16
22-26
17-19
8-17
23-20
22-23
19-9
25-9
20-18
24-14
17-21
23-12
21-16
22-17
29-10
15-20
15-25
23-23
19-22
26-26
161.2Avg total
84.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.469.8155.2+15.680%
Season at home (2)82.063.0145.0+19.0100%
Season away (3)87.774.3162.0+13.367%
Last 10 (10)84.476.8161.2+7.670%
Last 5 (5)84.872.6157.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.071.0157.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (12)82.882.3165.1+0.458%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.474.9159.2+9.562%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#4
W
90-80
90
80
+10
81avg 76
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
83avg 76
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Rilski Sportist
#37
L
92-95
92
95
-3
83avg 76
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
72-98
72
98
-26
55avg 76
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Murcia
#2
L
75-102
75
102
-27
62avg 76
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
76-91
76
91
-15
68avg 76
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
KK Bosna
#4
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 76
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
81-90
81
90
-9
66avg 76
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
76-73
76
73
+3
66avg 76
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Zielona Gora
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
64avg 76
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
21-23
23-18
29-22
18-17
17-26
22-13
21-22
24-25
18-22
19-18
31-30
15-27
23-24
21-18
13-29
26-21
22-24
12-25
15-32
20-25
14-26
20-17
22-23
15-19
9-18
20-18
26-24
19-26
20-24
23-21
19-19
25-18
17-8
15-25
19-22
15-23
22-31
18-25
22-12
168.3Avg total
79.9Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.685.8166.4-5.240%
Season at home (3)80.385.0165.3-4.767%
Season away (2)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)79.988.4168.3-8.530%
Last 5 (5)76.084.8160.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.789.4168.1-10.627%
vs Similar (14)84.485.2169.6-0.850%
vs Weaker (3)83.381.7165.0+1.767%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
MurciaLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/10
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H26/10
ACB
Lublin
#30
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A02/11
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H08/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H16/11
ACB
82.6Avg total
41.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.678.5+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.439.280.6+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.137.976.0+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.782.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.239.684.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.033.074.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (12)41.238.880.1+2.458%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.338.576.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Rilski Sportist
#37
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Murcia
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
KK Bosna
#4
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Zielona Gora
#5
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga
82.1Avg total
37.7Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.885.1-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.243.385.5-1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)40.444.384.8-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)37.744.482.1-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.678.8-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.944.882.7-6.918%-
vs Similar (14)44.444.188.5+0.257%-
vs Weaker (3)38.739.778.3-1.033%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.3
55.3%
52.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.0
32.0%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.613.6
69.4%
73.4%13.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.5
51.5%
52.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.0
32.0%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.714.3
69.1%
73.4%14.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWWWWWWLLW
Lublin
LWLLLLLLWW
#2
League position
#30
+9.8
Net rating
-10.2
110.4
Offensive rating
100.3
100.6
Defensive rating
110.5
52.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.3%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.0%
3-point %
32.0%
55.8%
Assist %
48.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 100.3Defence100.6 · 110.5Shooting52.3% · 50.2%3-point %32.0% · 32.0%Ball care17.4% · 17.3%Off. rebounds35.8% · 24.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Murcia   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murcia wins
0
Lublin wins
DateGameScore
29/10/25Lublin v Murcia75-102
20/09/25Murcia v Lublin100-84
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HBreogan83-96
11/11/25HKK Bosna87-63
08/11/25HManresa84-65
04/11/25ARilski Sportist89-61
02/11/25ABarcelona81-78
29/10/25ALublin102-75
26/10/25HBaskonia89-84
21/10/25AKK Bosna72-87
18/10/25ATenerife80-96
15/10/25HRilski Sportist77-63
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HZielona Gora77-91
12/11/25HRilski Sportist76-73
08/11/25AAnwil Wloclawek81-90
05/11/25AKK Bosna70-79
02/11/25HOstrow Wielkopolski76-91
29/10/25HMurcia75-102
25/10/25ACzarni Slupsk72-98
22/10/25ARilski Sportist92-95
18/10/25HTorun90-85 OT
15/10/25HKK Bosna90-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game85.482.087.7
Allowed / game69.863.074.3
Point differential+15.6+19.0+13.3
Avg total155.2145.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lublin
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game80.680.381.0
Allowed / game85.885.087.0
Point differential-5.2-4.7-6.0
Avg total166.4165.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao65183%102.869.2+33.7
2 Basket Zaragoza65183%95.274.8+20.3
3 Peristeri65183%87.572.5+15.0
4 Rostock65183%89.276.2+13.0
5 Cedevita Junior65183%88.578.0+10.5
6 CSM Oradea65183%84.277.7+6.5
7 PAOK65183%87.885.5+2.3
8 Murcia54180%85.469.8+15.6
9 Petkim Spor64267%86.073.2+12.8
10 Sassari64267%89.276.8+12.3
11 Trefl Sopot64267%92.081.3+10.7
12 Szombathely64267%85.779.5+6.2
13 Basketball Braunschweig64267%83.781.3+2.3
14 BC Prievidza85362%90.479.5+10.9
15 KK Bosna85362%78.672.2+6.4
16 Vechta85362%86.080.2+5.8
17 Sporting CP53260%82.880.0+2.8
18 Reggiana63350%82.374.8+7.5
19 Anwil Wloclawek84450%91.484.6+6.8
20 Antwerp Giants63350%84.079.3+4.7
21 Dijon63350%83.583.3+0.2
22 Neftchi IK63350%87.088.7-1.7
23 Cibona84450%81.083.1-2.1
24 AEK Larnaca63350%81.084.7-3.7
25 Bashkimi84450%78.584.1-5.6
26 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%82.589.8-7.3
27 Lublin52340%80.685.8-5.2
28 Absheron Lions83538%86.287.6-1.4
29 Brno83538%77.585.5-8.0
30 Bakken Bears62433%85.786.5-0.8
31 Tartu Ulikool62433%82.890.7-7.8
32 FC Porto62433%76.085.8-9.8
33 Keravnos62433%78.090.2-12.2
34 Corona Brasov82625%78.284.4-6.1
35 Anorthosis82625%72.091.1-19.1
36 Valcea51420%72.294.4-22.2
37 Pelister61517%80.393.3-13.0
38 Rilski Sportist61517%68.781.7-13.0
39 Kutaisi61517%63.798.3-34.7
40 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
41 Trepca6060%75.786.5-10.8
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2217271480
Lublin1927131675
← all games of the day
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