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Murcia vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 82-91
20-28 18-15 20-24 24-24
Position#10
Record12-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#7
Record13-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game86.3
SpainACBRound 27· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Murcia v Baskonia
14 Mar 2027
MUR v BAS
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
MUR89
BAS84
12 Apr 2025
MUR82
BAS91
27 Sep 2023
MUR88
BAS76
29 Jan 2023
MUR80
BAS87
24 Oct 2021
MUR80
BAS79
11 Apr 2021
MUR92
BAS87
07 Apr 2019
MUR75
BAS86
31 Dec 2017
MUR78
BAS67
22 Jan 2017
MUR71
BAS92
31 Jan 2016
MUR68
BAS66
21 Dec 2014
MUR93
BAS88
06 Apr 2014
MUR89
BAS80
05 May 2013
MUR95
BAS98
11 Dec 2011
MUR67
BAS75
11 Oct 2009
MUR66
BAS88
29 Mar 2009
MUR85
BAS94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
88-82
88
82
+6
80avg 72
A01/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
W
104-90 OT
104
90
+14
101avg 72
A05/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 72
A09/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
W
85-63
85
63
+22
80avg 72
H12/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 72
H15/03
ACB
Nanterre
#12
L
71-76
71
76
-5
63avg 72
A19/03
Champions League
Breogan
#13
W
86-70
86
70
+16
78avg 72
A22/03
ACB
Nymburk
#3
L
60-76
60
76
-16
46avg 72
H26/03
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 72
H29/03
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
86-71
86
71
+15
84avg 72
A05/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
22-19
24-21
24-20
22-19
24-19
12-17
17-20
28-23
15-14
16-21
16-22
14-17
20-17
27-14
24-15
19-22
14-15
15-16
16-23
20-16
9-21
17-27
25-12
29-26
11-11
23-21
23-12
19-12
11-22
14-27
16-15
14-19
22-29
25-19
18-18
21-9
20-24
21-23
24-15
156.7Avg total
79.8Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.781.1161.8-0.446%
Season at home (13)79.282.2161.5-3.038%
Season away (13)82.280.0162.2+2.254%
Last 10 (10)79.876.9156.7+2.950%
Last 5 (5)76.475.6152.0+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.385.5165.8-5.217%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.580.8155.3-6.320%
vs Weaker (14)83.976.4160.3+7.486%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
L
90-97
90
97
-7
91avg 78
A13/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
68avg 78
A16/03
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
112-89
112
89
+23
105avg 78
H20/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
90-84
90
84
+6
83avg 78
H22/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
76-92
76
92
-16
74avg 78
A26/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 78
A28/03
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 78
A30/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
111-75
111
75
+36
113avg 78
H04/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
92-76
92
76
+16
89avg 78
H06/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
89-111
89
111
-22
82avg 78
A10/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
22-24
23-25
21-22
20-21
20-18
13-17
25-27
25-21
25-27
33-23
29-18
21-20
20-29
28-15
21-20
22-28
22-21
15-18
17-25
13-19
19-27
27-26
18-10
13-34
21-23
23-17
25-14
30-14
32-20
30-19
19-22
22-11
24-24
27-23
19-18
18-31
17-31
26-20
28-29
177.4Avg total
89.7Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)86.286.3172.6-0.150%
Season at home (13)92.887.8180.6+4.962%
Season away (13)79.784.8164.5-5.238%
Last 10 (10)89.787.7177.4+2.040%
Last 5 (5)90.286.4176.6+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.988.9171.8-6.012%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.383.7170.0+2.657%
vs Weaker (8)90.483.8174.1+6.662%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
MurciaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A01/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A05/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/03
ACB
Nanterre
#12
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A19/03
Champions League
Breogan
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A22/03
ACB
Nymburk
#3
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/03
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H29/03
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A05/04
ACB
74.8Avg total
37.2Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.376.5-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.839.176.9-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)38.737.476.1+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.237.674.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.237.873.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.841.580.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.638.575.1-1.940%-
vs Weaker (14)39.136.775.9+2.457%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A13/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/03
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H20/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H22/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A26/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A28/03
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A30/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H04/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H06/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A10/04
Euroleague
89.9Avg total
43.0Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.083.3-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.039.784.7+5.360%-
Last 30 away (15)35.746.381.9-10.620%-
Last 10 (10)43.046.989.9-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.846.888.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.144.283.4-5.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.143.483.4-3.343%-
vs Weaker (8)42.041.183.1+0.938%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.1
49.1%
54.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.5
30.5%
35.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws25.218.9
75.0%
76.4%18.9
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.5
56.8%
54.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.8
39.3%
35.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.215.0
74.3%
76.4%15.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLLWLLWLWW
Baskonia
LWWLLLWWLL
#10
League position
#7
+3.0
Net rating
+2.0
102.0
Offensive rating
117.8
99.0
Defensive rating
115.8
47.6%
Effective FG%
57.7%
44.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.5%
3-point %
39.3%
60.5%
Assist %
68.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 117.8Defence99.0 · 115.8Shooting47.6% · 57.7%3-point %30.5% · 39.3%Ball care17.5% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Murcia   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murcia wins
6
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Baskonia v Murcia95-92 OT
10/05/24Baskonia v Murcia94-79
27/09/23Murcia v Baskonia88-76
29/01/23Murcia v Baskonia80-87
04/12/22Baskonia v Murcia102-73
13/04/22Baskonia v Murcia93-83
24/10/21Murcia v Baskonia80-79
11/04/21Murcia v Baskonia92-87 OT
04/10/20Baskonia v Murcia75-83
07/04/19Murcia v Baskonia75-86
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25AValencia86-71
29/03/25HMoraBanc Andorra79-85
26/03/25HNymburk60-76
22/03/25ABreogan86-70
19/03/25ANanterre71-76
15/03/25HBasquet Girona64-76
12/03/25HSzombathely85-63
09/03/25AReal Madrid75-80
05/03/25ASzombathely104-90 OT
01/03/25AGranada88-82
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/25AOlimpia Milano89-111
06/04/25HBasquet Girona92-76
04/04/25HLyon-Villeurbanne111-75
30/03/25ABreogan82-88
28/03/25AFenerbahce77-82
26/03/25AAnadolu Efes76-92
22/03/25HManresa90-84
20/03/25HBayern112-89
16/03/25AReal Madrid78-83
13/03/25AAlba Berlin90-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW46%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayWWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%38%54%
Points / game80.779.282.2
Allowed / game81.182.280.0
Point differential-0.4-3.0+2.2
Avg total161.8161.5162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%15%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %12%15%8%
Baskonia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game86.292.879.7
Allowed / game86.387.884.8
Point differential-0.1+4.9-5.2
Avg total172.6180.6164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)50% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2622485%87.977.9+10.0
2 Tenerife2621581%87.782.3+5.3
3 Valencia2619773%97.285.4+11.8
4 Unicaja2618869%89.884.9+4.9
5 Barcelona26151158%91.787.0+4.7
6 Joventut Badalona26151158%85.684.0+1.5
7 Manresa26141254%88.285.0+3.2
8 Gran Canaria26141254%83.283.2+0.0
9 Baskonia26131350%86.286.3-0.1
10 Murcia26121446%80.781.1-0.4
11 Basket Zaragoza26111542%89.590.1-0.6
12 Breogan27111641%79.586.3-6.7
13 Forca Lleida26101638%84.587.5-3.0
14 Bilbao27101737%81.483.1-1.8
15 MoraBanc Andorra27101737%86.491.2-4.8
16 Basquet Girona27101737%81.387.6-6.3
17 Granada2662023%80.287.2-7.0
18 Leyma Coruna2652119%86.296.2-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2018202482
Baskonia2815242491
← all games of the day
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