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Bilbao vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-83 (OT)
16-17 16-20 10-23 34-16 4-7
Position#15
Record10-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Murcia 🏆
Spain
Position#10
Record13-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game81.5
SpainACBRound 29· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bilbao v Murcia
15 Nov 2026
BIL v MUR
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
BIL96
MUR82
27 Apr 2025
BIL80
MUR83
08 Oct 2023
BIL77
MUR68
21 Mar 2023
BIL67
MUR71
08 Jan 2023
BIL99
MUR81
23 Apr 2022
BIL78
MUR77
15 Nov 2020
BIL63
MUR73
20 May 2018
BIL73
MUR82
19 Mar 2017
BIL71
MUR82
07 Feb 2016
BIL90
MUR79
19 Oct 2014
BIL82
MUR74
21 Apr 2014
BIL82
MUR69
19 Dec 2012
BIL98
MUR75
30 Oct 2011
BIL95
MUR80
14 Mar 2010
BIL58
MUR57
16 Apr 2009
BIL91
MUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
55avg 74
H16/03
ACB
Granada
#17
W
91-88
91
88
+3
81avg 74
H23/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
L
58-77
58
77
-19
48avg 74
A26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
53avg 74
A30/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
W
97-68
97
68
+29
95avg 74
H02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
66avg 74
H05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
81-84
81
84
-3
74avg 74
A12/04
ACB
PAOK
#9
W
72-65
72
65
+7
60avg 74
H16/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
L
79-96
79
96
-17
74avg 74
A19/04
ACB
PAOK
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
77avg 74
A23/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
19-21
19-19
14-15
18-22
28-24
26-13
19-29
21-14
15-20
9-23
13-20
17-22
17-12
18-29
18-25
20-12
15-18
21-22
41-16
26-30
23-12
20-16
27-20
23-21
18-18
20-25
20-20
22-12
16-19
14-19
20-15
17-29
13-16
23-18
26-33
24-24
25-15
12-24
21-21
159.4Avg total
79.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.383.6164.9-2.336%
Season at home (13)85.280.8165.9+4.462%
Season away (15)77.986.1164.0-8.113%
Last 10 (10)79.180.3159.4-1.240%
Last 5 (5)82.081.4163.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.286.6162.8-10.311%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.080.5164.5+3.560%
vs Weaker (11)80.574.7155.3+5.864%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 72
A09/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
W
85-63
85
63
+22
80avg 72
H12/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 72
H15/03
ACB
Nanterre
#12
L
71-76
71
76
-5
63avg 72
A19/03
Champions League
Breogan
#13
W
86-70
86
70
+16
78avg 72
A22/03
ACB
Nymburk
#3
L
60-76
60
76
-16
46avg 72
H26/03
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 72
H29/03
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
86-71
86
71
+15
84avg 72
A05/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
63avg 72
H12/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
100-83
100
83
+17
105avg 72
H19/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
15-14
16-21
16-22
14-17
20-17
27-14
24-15
19-22
14-15
15-16
16-23
20-16
9-21
17-27
25-12
29-26
11-11
23-21
23-12
19-12
11-22
14-27
16-15
14-19
22-29
25-19
18-18
21-9
20-24
21-23
24-15
20-28
18-15
20-24
24-24
17-20
30-26
31-19
22-18
155.9Avg total
78.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.581.5163.0-0.146%
Season at home (15)80.882.9163.7-2.140%
Season away (13)82.280.0162.2+2.254%
Last 10 (10)78.877.1155.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)81.481.2162.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.685.6169.2-2.020%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.281.8159.1-4.625%
vs Weaker (13)83.976.3160.2+7.685%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
BilbaoMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H16/03
ACB
Granada
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H23/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Real Madrid
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/03
ACB
Dijon
#5
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H02/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A12/04
ACB
PAOK
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H16/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A19/04
ACB
PAOK
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A23/04
FIBA Europe Cup
77.1Avg total
39.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.378.5+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.038.180.1+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.338.676.9-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.177.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.280.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.941.278.1-4.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.040.882.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker (11)41.133.774.8+7.491%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/03
ACB
Nanterre
#12
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A19/03
Champions League
Breogan
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A22/03
ACB
Nymburk
#3
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/03
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H29/03
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A05/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H12/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H19/04
ACB
75.7Avg total
37.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.577.4+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.839.878.6-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)39.137.076.1+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.675.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.879.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.441.882.2-1.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.639.577.1-1.942%-
vs Weaker (13)39.636.275.8+3.462%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.3
50.6%
54.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
35.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.816.6
79.8%
76.4%16.6
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.4
49.3%
54.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.8
32.5%
35.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.916.8
73.4%
76.4%16.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LLWLWWLLWL
Murcia
WLWLLWLLWL
#15
League position
#10
-1.2
Net rating
+2.5
106.3
Offensive rating
103.0
107.5
Defensive rating
100.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
49.0%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.1%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.0%
3-point %
32.5%
59.5%
Assist %
59.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 103.0Defence107.5 · 100.5Shooting50.7% · 49.0%3-point %34.0% · 32.5%Ball care16.2% · 18.1%Off. rebounds24.2% · 30.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Bilbao   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bilbao wins
6
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24Murcia v Bilbao89-83 OT
03/02/24Murcia v Bilbao96-76
08/10/23Bilbao v Murcia77-68
14/05/23Murcia v Bilbao67-55
21/03/23Bilbao v Murcia67-71
31/01/23Murcia v Bilbao90-72
08/01/23Bilbao v Murcia99-81
23/04/22Bilbao v Murcia78-77
10/10/21Murcia v Bilbao92-87
28/03/21Murcia v Bilbao82-90 OT
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25APAOK82-84
19/04/25AUnicaja79-96
16/04/25HPAOK72-65
12/04/25AMoraBanc Andorra81-84
05/04/25HGran Canaria96-78
02/04/25HDijon97-68
30/03/25AReal Madrid70-88
26/03/25ADijon58-77
23/03/25HGranada91-88
16/03/25HTenerife65-75
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25HJoventut Badalona100-83
12/04/25HBaskonia82-91
05/04/25AValencia86-71
29/03/25HMoraBanc Andorra79-85
26/03/25HNymburk60-76
22/03/25ABreogan86-70
19/03/25ANanterre71-76
15/03/25HBasquet Girona64-76
12/03/25HSzombathely85-63
09/03/25AReal Madrid75-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL36%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %36%62%13%
Points / game81.385.277.9
Allowed / game83.680.886.1
Point differential-2.3+4.4-8.1
Avg total164.9165.9164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)40% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Murcia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW46%
HomeLLLLW40%
AwayWWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %46%40%54%
Points / game81.580.882.2
Allowed / game81.582.980.0
Point differential-0.1-2.1+2.2
Avg total163.0163.7162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %11%13%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2925486%87.778.0+9.7
2 Tenerife2923679%87.382.5+4.9
3 Valencia2921872%97.085.9+11.1
4 Unicaja2819968%89.584.7+4.9
5 Barcelona28171161%92.187.1+5.1
6 Manresa29161355%88.385.0+3.3
7 Joventut Badalona29161355%85.384.2+1.1
8 Gran Canaria28151354%83.984.0-0.1
9 Baskonia29151452%87.987.8+0.2
10 Murcia28131546%81.581.5-0.1
11 Breogan29121741%79.486.1-6.7
12 Basket Zaragoza28111739%89.290.3-1.1
13 Forca Lleida27101737%83.887.1-3.3
14 Bilbao28101836%81.383.6-2.3
15 MoraBanc Andorra28101836%86.891.5-4.6
16 Basquet Girona29101934%81.087.6-6.6
17 Granada2972224%80.987.3-6.4
18 Leyma Coruna2862221%86.395.8-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bilbao16161034480
Murcia17202316783
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