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Valencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 71-86
9-21 24-20 23-21 15-24
Position#2
Record19-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game98.3
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Murcia 🏆
Spain
Position#10
Record11-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game81.5
SpainACBRound 26· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Valencia v Murcia
18 Oct 2026
VAL116
MUR93
08 Mar 2026
VAL110
MUR84
05 Apr 2025
VAL71
MUR86
25 May 2024
VAL77
MUR84
18 May 2024
VAL86
MUR96
24 Mar 2024
VAL83
MUR82
16 Oct 2022
VAL74
MUR75
18 Feb 2022
VAL83
MUR86
26 Sep 2021
VAL86
MUR91
20 Dec 2020
VAL89
MUR78
10 Mar 2019
VAL89
MUR65
01 Apr 2018
VAL73
MUR84
14 May 2017
VAL67
MUR70
22 Dec 2015
VAL65
MUR54
24 Jan 2015
VAL81
MUR63
14 Dec 2013
VAL88
MUR86
26 Jan 2013
VAL94
MUR96
24 Mar 2012
VAL87
MUR80
29 Dec 2009
VAL72
MUR67
26 Apr 2009
VAL83
MUR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
115-71
115
71
+44
123avg 91
A01/03
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
89-70
89
70
+19
93avg 91
H08/03
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
98-74
98
74
+24
101avg 91
H12/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
104-89
104
89
+15
103avg 91
A15/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
127-81
127
81
+46
140avg 91
H22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 91
H25/03
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
87avg 91
A28/03
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
97-69
97
69
+28
101avg 91
A30/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
92-94
92
94
-2
84avg 91
H02/04
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
16-21
20-25
14-14
29-20
34-20
26-19
26-12
19-14
23-23
21-17
26-16
30-15
23-21
17-16
28-22
21-26
29-18
29-19
25-26
26-17
27-27
42-19
32-18
20-24
22-24
23-11
26-23
21-23
28-31
22-22
20-20
21-21
23-5
23-26
30-17
22-15
23-29
22-19
25-31
177.4Avg total
96.9Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)98.385.4183.6+12.976%
Season at home (12)100.383.8184.2+16.592%
Season away (13)96.486.8183.2+9.662%
Last 10 (10)96.980.5177.4+16.470%
Last 5 (5)99.684.4184.0+15.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)85.084.0169.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)98.185.3183.5+12.871%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
77-78
77
78
-1
65avg 71
H08/02
ACB
Granada
#17
W
88-82
88
82
+6
80avg 71
A01/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
W
104-90 OT
104
90
+14
101avg 71
A05/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 71
A09/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
W
85-63
85
63
+22
80avg 71
H12/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 71
H15/03
ACB
Nanterre
#12
L
71-76
71
76
-5
63avg 71
A19/03
Champions League
Breogan
#13
W
86-70
86
70
+16
78avg 71
A22/03
ACB
Nymburk
#3
L
60-76
60
76
-16
46avg 71
H26/03
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 71
H29/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
22-20
21-20
14-17
18-22
22-19
24-21
24-20
22-19
24-19
12-17
17-20
28-23
15-14
16-21
16-22
14-17
20-17
27-14
24-15
19-22
14-15
15-16
16-23
20-16
9-21
17-27
25-12
29-26
11-11
23-21
23-12
19-12
11-22
14-27
16-15
14-19
22-29
25-19
18-18
156.5Avg total
78.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.581.5162.0-1.044%
Season at home (13)79.282.2161.5-3.038%
Season away (12)81.980.8162.7+1.250%
Last 10 (10)78.977.6156.5+1.340%
Last 5 (5)72.076.6148.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.288.4167.6-9.20%
vs Similar (10)74.580.8155.3-6.320%
vs Weaker (15)83.776.3160.1+7.487%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
ValenciaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
63-40
63
40
+23
A01/03
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/03
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H12/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A15/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H25/03
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A28/03
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A30/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H02/04
Eurocup
88.5Avg total
47.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.642.390.0+5.373%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.742.593.2+8.281%-
Last 30 away (14)44.142.186.3+2.064%-
Last 10 (10)47.241.388.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.643.289.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)48.542.991.4+5.675%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H08/02
ACB
Granada
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A01/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A05/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/03
ACB
Nanterre
#12
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A19/03
Champions League
Breogan
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A22/03
ACB
Nymburk
#3
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/03
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H29/03
ACB
75.7Avg total
37.3Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.376.5-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.839.176.9-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)38.637.476.0+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.475.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.638.672.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.443.281.6-4.820%-
vs Similar (10)36.638.575.1-1.940%-
vs Weaker (15)39.236.575.7+2.760%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 98.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.421.0
62.9%
54.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.014.0
41.2%
35.6%42.0
🏀 Free throws18.714.2
75.9%
76.4%14.2
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.7
49.4%
54.0%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.6
30.6%
35.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws25.718.7
72.8%
76.4%18.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWLWWWWWWL
Murcia
LLWLLWLWWL
#2
League position
#10
+21.5
Net rating
+1.4
127.1
Offensive rating
101.3
105.6
Defensive rating
99.9
62.3%
Effective FG%
47.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.0%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.42
41.2%
3-point %
30.6%
69.1%
Assist %
60.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence127.1 · 101.3Defence105.6 · 99.9Shooting62.3% · 47.8%3-point %41.2% · 30.6%Ball care17.0% · 18.0%Off. rebounds34.4% · 29.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Valencia   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
5
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Murcia v Valencia88-96
25/05/24Valencia v Murcia77-84
22/05/24Murcia v Valencia72-83
18/05/24Valencia v Murcia86-96
24/03/24Valencia v Murcia83-82
10/12/23Murcia v Valencia77-85 OT
19/04/23Murcia v Valencia90-82
16/10/22Valencia v Murcia74-75
27/03/22Murcia v Valencia71-72
18/02/22Valencia v Murcia83-86
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv92-94
30/03/25AGranada97-69
28/03/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv91-96
25/03/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv91-82
22/03/25HLeyma Coruna127-81
15/03/25AJoventut Badalona104-89
12/03/25HCluj-Napoca98-74
08/03/25HBilbao89-70
01/03/25ABasket Zaragoza115-71
14/02/25AGran Canaria65-79
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HMoraBanc Andorra79-85
26/03/25HNymburk60-76
22/03/25ABreogan86-70
19/03/25ANanterre71-76
15/03/25HBasquet Girona64-76
12/03/25HSzombathely85-63
09/03/25AReal Madrid75-80
05/03/25ASzombathely104-90 OT
01/03/25AGranada88-82
08/02/25HTenerife77-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %76%92%62%
Points / game98.3100.396.4
Allowed / game85.483.886.8
Point differential+12.9+16.5+9.6
Avg total183.6184.2183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%38%50%
Points / game80.579.281.9
Allowed / game81.582.280.8
Point differential-1.0-3.0+1.2
Avg total162.0161.5162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%15%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2521484%87.877.5+10.3
2 Tenerife2520580%87.482.2+5.2
3 Valencia2519676%98.385.4+12.9
4 Unicaja2517868%88.984.1+4.8
5 Barcelona25151060%91.886.8+4.9
6 Joventut Badalona26151158%85.684.0+1.5
7 Gran Canaria25141156%83.482.6+0.7
8 Manresa25131252%88.085.1+2.8
9 Baskonia25121348%86.086.8-0.8
10 Basket Zaragoza25111444%89.889.9-0.1
11 Murcia25111444%80.581.5-1.0
12 Breogan26111542%79.386.1-6.8
13 Forca Lleida26101638%84.587.5-3.0
14 Bilbao2591636%80.883.3-2.5
15 Basquet Girona2591636%81.187.5-6.4
16 MoraBanc Andorra2691735%86.591.6-5.1
17 Granada2561924%80.086.9-6.9
18 Leyma Coruna2552020%85.495.5-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia924231571
Murcia2120212486
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