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Murcia vs Forca Lleida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 88-81
18-17 23-18 20-25 27-21
Position#10
Record6-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game82.3
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#16
Record5-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game87.9
SpainACBRound 16· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Murcia v Forca Lleida
31 Oct 2026
MUR125
FLL98
29 May 2026
MUR116
FLL95
12 Jan 2025
MUR88
FLL81
02 Mar 2011
MUR82
FLL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forca Lleida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Breogan
#13
W
79-63
79
63
+16
75avg 73
H16/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
63-83
63
83
-20
52avg 73
H01/12
ACB
Manisa
#25
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 73
A04/12
Champions League
Barcelona
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 73
A08/12
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
88-96
88
96
-8
75avg 73
H15/12
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
83-76
83
76
+7
80avg 73
H18/12
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
67avg 73
A21/12
ACB
Granada
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
74avg 73
H28/12
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
74avg 73
H02/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
74-80
74
80
-6
64avg 73
A04/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
23-9
22-17
19-20
13-20
22-21
12-29
16-13
19-15
20-14
21-22
18-21
20-23
20-22
18-20
21-21
25-31
23-24
20-19
20-22
23-17
17-14
22-22
21-23
14-19
19-13
15-25
26-25
15-19
30-17
18-15
21-30
11-27
23-20
21-22
22-20
29-19
13-23
17-20
15-18
158.7Avg total
77.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.582.3161.7-2.840%
Season at home (8)79.081.8160.8-2.850%
Season away (7)80.082.9162.9-2.929%
Last 10 (10)77.980.8158.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)78.481.6160.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.882.5160.4-4.727%
vs Similar (9)79.683.1162.7-3.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.774.9158.6+8.889%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
68avg 76
H03/11
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
99-100
99
100
-1
92avg 76
A10/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
67avg 76
A17/11
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
79avg 76
H01/12
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
84avg 76
A07/12
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 76
H15/12
ACB
Granada
#17
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 76
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
72-92
72
92
-20
56avg 76
A27/12
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
92-107
92
107
-15
83avg 76
A30/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
85-90
85
90
-5
77avg 76
H04/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
20-28
15-14
26-10
21-19
27-28
22-35
29-18
13-28
12-23
34-15
19-19
16-15
22-27
29-25
21-21
25-27
21-23
18-21
24-20
18-20
17-13
23-12
26-21
14-23
32-12
14-23
27-16
16-22
22-28
22-12
12-30
26-26
17-23
22-30
27-28
16-19
19-24
16-22
34-25
174.7Avg total
86.6Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.987.9171.8-4.133%
Season at home (7)84.980.7165.6+4.157%
Season away (8)83.094.2177.2-11.212%
Last 10 (10)86.688.1174.7-1.530%
Last 5 (5)84.085.8169.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.191.9173.0-10.812%
vs Similar (10)84.681.8166.4+2.860%
vs Weaker (12)85.569.8155.2+15.8100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
MurciaForca Lleida
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#13
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H16/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H01/12
ACB
Manisa
#25
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A04/12
Champions League
Barcelona
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A08/12
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H15/12
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A21/12
ACB
Granada
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H28/12
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H02/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/01
ACB
77.8Avg total
39.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.376.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.238.676.8-0.440%-
Last 30 away (15)38.038.076.0+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.477.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.841.578.3-4.618%-
vs Similar (9)37.739.477.1-1.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.233.473.7+6.878%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/11
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A10/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A17/11
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/12
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A07/12
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/12
ACB
Granada
#17
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A27/12
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A30/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H04/01
ACB
83.9Avg total
39.3Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.679.3+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.137.179.2+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.439.979.3-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.683.9-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.081.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.448.086.4-9.612%-
vs Similar (10)40.037.877.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker (12)42.832.975.8+9.983%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.119.5
57.2%
54.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.77.9
27.5%
35.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.6
73.0%
76.4%14.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.8
51.0%
54.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.1
35.4%
35.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.716.7
77.0%
76.4%16.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LLWLWLLWLW
Forca Lleida
LLLWWLLLLW
#10
League position
#16
-4.0
Net rating
-2.2
104.1
Offensive rating
109.4
108.2
Defensive rating
111.6
49.9%
Effective FG%
52.0%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.5%
3-point %
35.4%
62.8%
Assist %
65.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 109.4Defence108.2 · 111.6Shooting49.9% · 52.0%3-point %27.5% · 35.4%Ball care15.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds25.3% · 30.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Murcia   ■ Forca Lleida
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murcia wins
0
Forca Lleida wins
DateGameScore
02/03/11Murcia v Forca Lleida82-66
17/11/10Forca Lleida v Murcia75-82
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AManresa74-80
02/01/25HUnicaja77-89
28/12/24HGranada84-81
21/12/24ATenerife74-82
18/12/24HPeristeri83-76
15/12/24HValencia88-96
08/12/24ABarcelona79-86
04/12/24AManisa78-72
01/12/24HGran Canaria63-83
16/11/24HBreogan79-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HBasquet Girona85-90
30/12/24AValencia92-107
27/12/24AJoventut Badalona72-92
21/12/24HGranada87-74
15/12/24HBilbao84-66
07/12/24ATenerife88-91
01/12/24HLeyma Coruna101-106 OT
17/11/24AReal Madrid78-85
10/11/24ABaskonia99-100
03/11/24HMoraBanc Andorra80-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayWWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%50%29%
Points / game79.579.080.0
Allowed / game82.381.882.9
Point differential-2.8-2.8-2.9
Avg total161.7160.8162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %13%12%14%
Forca Lleida
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%57%12%
Points / game83.984.983.0
Allowed / game87.980.794.2
Point differential-4.1+4.1-11.2
Avg total171.8165.6177.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %13%14%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1613381%97.386.1+11.2
2 Unicaja1613381%87.982.2+5.8
3 Real Madrid1511473%86.776.9+9.8
4 Tenerife1511473%87.682.7+4.9
5 Joventut Badalona1611569%85.081.1+3.9
6 Gran Canaria1510567%83.981.2+2.7
7 Manresa169756%85.181.6+3.5
8 Basket Zaragoza168850%91.189.2+1.9
9 Barcelona157847%89.185.9+3.2
10 Baskonia157847%87.386.9+0.4
11 Murcia156940%79.582.3-2.8
12 Bilbao1661038%81.882.7-0.9
13 Forca Lleida1551033%83.987.9-4.1
14 Breogan1551033%75.385.3-9.9
15 MoraBanc Andorra1651131%86.690.6-3.9
16 Leyma Coruna1541127%83.793.6-9.9
17 Basquet Girona1541127%78.089.1-11.1
18 Granada1641225%78.884.5-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1823202788
Forca Lleida1718252181
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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