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Murcia vs Granada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 84-81
15-19 30-17 18-15 21-30
Position#10
Record5-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game82.0
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#17
Record4-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game80.6
SpainACBRound 13· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Murcia v Granada
12 Apr 2026
MUR107
GRA91
28 Dec 2024
MUR84
GRA81
11 Feb 2024
MUR91
GRA78
09 Oct 2022
MUR82
GRA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Granada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
64-85
64
85
-21
47avg 73
H03/11
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
W
83-78
83
78
+5
85avg 73
A06/11
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
60avg 73
A09/11
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
79-63
79
63
+16
75avg 73
H16/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
63-83
63
83
-20
52avg 73
H01/12
ACB
Manisa
#25
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 73
A04/12
Champions League
Barcelona
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 73
A08/12
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
88-96
88
96
-8
75avg 73
H15/12
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
83-76
83
76
+7
80avg 73
H18/12
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
67avg 73
A21/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
20-18
17-26
16-19
21-22
12-21
24-17
26-18
20-15
15-16
28-24
20-16
15-17
23-9
22-17
19-20
13-20
22-21
12-29
16-13
19-15
20-14
21-22
18-21
20-23
20-22
18-20
21-21
25-31
23-24
20-19
20-22
23-17
17-14
22-22
21-23
14-19
19-13
15-25
26-25
156.6Avg total
77.4Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.882.0161.8-2.242%
Season at home (6)78.580.7159.2-2.250%
Season away (6)81.083.3164.3-2.333%
Last 10 (10)77.479.2156.6-1.850%
Last 5 (5)80.482.4162.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.882.5160.4-4.727%
vs Similar (10)81.782.5164.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.674.1157.8+9.588%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
82-52
82
52
+30
80avg 68
A12/10
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 68
H20/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
71-87
71
87
-16
60avg 68
A26/10
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 68
H02/11
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
86-93
86
93
-7
66avg 68
A09/11
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
80-77
80
77
+3
72avg 68
H16/11
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
92-74
92
74
+18
90avg 68
A30/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 68
H08/12
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
73-75
73
75
-2
69avg 68
H15/12
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
74-87
74
87
-13
57avg 68
A21/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-10
19-15
27-13
22-14
16-16
15-20
20-17
24-33
12-18
14-26
27-21
18-22
18-22
10-17
20-27
24-18
27-25
19-26
20-22
20-20
21-19
20-24
15-17
24-17
23-16
25-24
21-22
23-12
26-20
19-19
15-16
27-22
20-18
16-16
14-26
23-15
23-14
12-32
23-14
16-27
158.4Avg total
79.2Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.180.6157.7-3.533%
Season at home (6)75.880.5156.3-4.733%
Season away (6)78.380.7159.0-2.333%
Last 10 (10)79.279.2158.4+0.040%
Last 5 (5)81.278.0159.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.087.8163.8-11.812%
vs Similar (14)80.079.1159.1+0.957%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
MurciaGranada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/11
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A06/11
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/11
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H16/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H01/12
ACB
Manisa
#25
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A04/12
Champions League
Barcelona
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A08/12
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H15/12
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A21/12
ACB
74.5Avg total
37.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.376.6+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.938.576.4-0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)38.738.176.8+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)37.237.374.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.478.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.841.578.3-4.618%-
vs Similar (10)39.039.178.1-0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.633.172.8+6.575%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A12/10
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H20/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A26/10
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H02/11
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A09/11
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H16/11
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A30/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/12
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H15/12
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/12
ACB
76.6Avg total
36.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.140.877.9-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.138.575.5-1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)37.143.280.3-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.776.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.481.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.842.177.9-6.325%-
vs Similar (14)38.539.477.9-0.943%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.0
53.6%
54.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.1
30.8%
35.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.113.1
76.6%
76.4%13.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.1
50.5%
54.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.7
33.5%
35.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.214.1
73.4%
76.4%14.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWLLWLWWWL
Granada
LLWWWLLLLW
#10
League position
#17
-3.4
Net rating
+0.0
104.7
Offensive rating
104.0
108.2
Defensive rating
104.0
50.2%
Effective FG%
50.4%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
14.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.8%
3-point %
33.5%
64.9%
Assist %
60.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 104.0Defence108.2 · 104.0Shooting50.2% · 50.4%3-point %30.8% · 33.5%Ball care14.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds23.3% · 27.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Murcia   ■ Granada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murcia wins
2
Granada wins
DateGameScore
11/02/24Murcia v Granada91-78
23/09/23Granada v Murcia101-104 OT
25/03/23Granada v Murcia88-67
09/10/22Murcia v Granada82-89
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ATenerife74-82
18/12/24HPeristeri83-76
15/12/24HValencia88-96
08/12/24ABarcelona79-86
04/12/24AManisa78-72
01/12/24HGran Canaria63-83
16/11/24HBreogan79-63
09/11/24AMoraBanc Andorra83-71
06/11/24AFMP Beograd83-78
03/11/24HReal Madrid64-85
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AForca Lleida74-87
15/12/24HBaskonia73-75
08/12/24HJoventut Badalona87-77
30/11/24ABreogan92-74
16/11/24HLeyma Coruna80-77
09/11/24AManresa86-93
02/11/24HBilbao72-84
26/10/24AMoraBanc Andorra71-87
20/10/24HTenerife75-86
12/10/24ABasquet Girona82-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL42%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game79.878.581.0
Allowed / game82.080.783.3
Point differential-2.2-2.2-2.3
Avg total161.8159.2164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%17%17%
Granada
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL33%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game77.175.878.3
Allowed / game80.680.580.7
Point differential-3.5-4.7-2.3
Avg total157.7156.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1310377%94.784.7+10.0
2 Unicaja1310377%88.283.5+4.7
3 Gran Canaria139469%83.480.5+2.8
4 Real Madrid128467%87.976.8+11.1
5 Tenerife128467%85.882.1+3.8
6 Joventut Badalona138562%83.680.2+3.4
7 Barcelona127558%90.486.1+4.3
8 Basket Zaragoza127558%91.889.6+2.2
9 Manresa126650%85.081.5+3.5
10 Murcia125742%79.882.0-2.2
11 MoraBanc Andorra125742%87.590.1-2.6
12 Baskonia125742%86.089.1-3.1
13 Bilbao135838%82.382.8-0.5
14 Forca Lleida135838%83.286.3-3.2
15 Granada124833%77.180.6-3.5
16 Leyma Coruna134931%84.591.6-7.1
17 Breogan134931%73.184.5-11.4
18 Basquet Girona1221017%76.888.8-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1530182184
Granada1917153081
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