PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Murray State vs Nicholls State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 99-79
48-39 51-40
Position#102
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#265
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game57.0
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#107
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A02/03
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H07/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
108-60
108
60
+48
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-37
33-37
33-24
29-36
39-36
36-39
39-40
46-35
22-41
38-29
35-29
39-24
28-27
34-43
34-31
51-46
47-23
61-37
42-49
49-53
150.3Avg total
77.7Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.779.7174.3+15.067%
Season at home (2)96.568.5165.0+28.0100%
Season away (1)91.0102.0193.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)77.772.6150.3+5.150%
Last 5 (5)84.072.4156.4+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)65.066.0131.0-1.033%
vs Similar (16)72.674.2146.8-1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)75.168.4143.5+6.862%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#365
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A18/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H22/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
94-70
94
70
+24
A01/03
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
74-70 OT
74
70
+4
H11/03
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A05/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A08/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
41-35
36-35
57-49
28-36
43-33
46-33
48-37
31-30
22-35
28-27
35-36
33-28
22-30
15-28
36-49
16-25
41-40
19-25
44-43
137.7Avg total
68.9Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)57.070.0127.0-13.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)57.070.0127.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)68.968.8137.7+0.150%
Last 5 (5)60.067.6127.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)66.280.5146.8-14.225%
vs Similar (14)70.470.9141.3-0.450%
vs Weaker (12)79.064.3143.3+14.783%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +0.2+0.2
Murray StateNicholls State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#107
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A02/03
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A12/11
NCAA
69.0Avg total
35.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.332.864.1-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.832.163.9-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)30.833.564.3-2.757%-
Last 10 (10)35.333.769.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.231.869.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.832.562.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (16)31.634.666.2-3.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)31.929.261.1+2.675%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#365
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A18/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H25/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A01/03
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A04/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A12/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
15-28
15
28
-13
A05/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
16-25
16
25
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
19-25
19
25
-6
A13/11
NCAA
58.3Avg total
28.9Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.531.463.9+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.931.566.5+3.477%-
Last 30 away (17)30.631.361.9-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)28.929.458.3-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)22.226.648.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)28.034.562.5-6.525%-
vs Similar (14)29.830.260.0-0.464%-
vs Weaker (12)37.131.868.8+5.367%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
Nicholls State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25ASMU Mustangs91-102
08/11/25HMiss. Valley St.108-60
03/11/25HNebraska O.85-77
08/03/25ABradley62-70
07/03/25HEvansville74-53
02/03/25ABelmont60-70
26/02/25HIndiana State85-75
22/02/25ABradley83-85 OT
20/02/25HSouthern Illinois62-60
18/02/25HNorthern Iowa67-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25AValparaiso63-68
08/11/25AEastern Illinois57-65
05/11/25AKentucky51-77
12/03/25ALamar55-58
11/03/25HIncarnate Word74-70 OT
04/03/25ALamar53-65
01/03/25AStephen F. Austin94-70
25/02/25HTexas A&M-CC71-69
22/02/25HUTRGV93-84
18/02/25ANew Orleans78-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game94.796.591.0
Allowed / game79.768.5102.0
Point differential+15.0+28.0-11.0
Avg total174.3165.0193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %0%-0%
Points / game57.0-57.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential-13.0--13.0
Avg total127.0-127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa330100%73.756.3+17.3
2 Illinois (Chi.)43175%82.266.2+16.0
3 Southern Illinois32167%88.368.7+19.7
4 Murray State32167%94.779.7+15.0
5 Belmont32167%72.380.3-8.0
6 Valparaiso32167%64.377.7-13.3
7 Drake42250%76.066.0+10.0
8 Evansville42250%72.864.0+8.8
9 Indiana State42250%76.580.0-3.5
10 Bradley31233%71.767.0+4.7
11 Illinois State31233%70.374.7-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin440100%87.569.0+18.5
2 McNeese State43175%103.564.0+39.5
3 New Orleans43175%84.075.8+8.2
4 Incarnate Word32167%92.376.0+16.3
5 Houston Christian32167%68.769.7-1.0
6 Lamar21150%79.065.5+13.5
7 Texas A&M-CC41325%66.071.8-5.8
8 Northwestern St.41325%74.885.0-10.2
9 Nicholls State3030%57.070.0-13.0
10 SE Louisiana4040%59.572.8-13.2
11 UTRGV2020%73.090.5-17.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State485199
Nicholls State394079
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.