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Southern Illinois vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-68
41-29 31-39
Position#131
Record17-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#296
Record11-16
FormWLWWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game69.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Southern Illinois v Murray State
12 Jan 2027
SOUT v MURR
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
SOUT81
MURR91
22 Jan 2025
SOUT64
MURR74
21 Feb 2024
SOUT72
MURR68
24 Jan 2023
SOUT68
MURR64
11 Dec 2020
SOUT70
MURR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A21/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
75-76 OT
75
76
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A03/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-24
24-46
30-29
27-32
29-34
46-35
30-38
30-20
42-31
21-32
31-35
43-36
37-38
45-44
42-25
27-41
31-37
37-45
31-37
43-32
142.3Avg total
70.9Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.967.0140.0+5.963%
Season at home (17)75.165.5140.6+9.671%
Season away (10)69.269.6138.8-0.450%
Last 10 (10)70.971.4142.3-0.550%
Last 5 (5)74.676.0150.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.076.8142.8-10.817%
vs Similar (7)66.465.7132.1+0.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)75.462.9138.4+12.588%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
71-43
71
43
+28
A03/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-31
40-27
28-25
35-47
34-44
29-27
38-30
20-30
26-24
33-37
35-18
36-25
33-34
31-35
32-27
41-43
35-37
47-35
29-48
43-47
134.9Avg total
67.8Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.869.1139.9+1.741%
Season at home (15)70.769.3140.1+1.447%
Season away (12)70.868.8139.6+2.133%
Last 10 (10)67.867.1134.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)72.469.8142.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.078.1147.1-9.18%
vs Similar (15)70.462.9133.3+7.560%
vs Weaker (3)81.361.3142.7+20.0100%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +0.2+0.2
Southern IllinoisMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A21/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A27/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A03/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H11/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H18/02
NCAA
67.6Avg total
34.8Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.630.565.0+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.729.165.7+7.667%-
Last 30 away (12)31.432.664.0-1.242%-
Last 10 (10)34.832.867.6+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.468.8+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.238.067.2-8.80%-
vs Similar (7)35.330.465.7+4.971%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)36.227.864.0+8.471%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
35-18
35
18
+17
A03/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A18/02
NCAA
64.1Avg total
32.3Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.532.667.1+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.231.766.9+3.571%-
Last 30 away (13)33.533.767.2-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)32.331.864.1+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)32.832.865.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.538.873.2-4.233%-
vs Similar (15)33.128.161.2+4.967%-
vs Weaker (3)41.730.071.7+11.7100%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Southern Illinois wins
0
Murray State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24HIndiana State74-69
15/02/24ABelmont68-82
11/02/24HIllinois State69-66
08/02/24ADrake88-92 OT
03/02/24AIllinois (Chi.)74-71
01/02/24HMissouri State75-76 OT
27/01/24AMurray State60-58
25/01/24HValparaiso75-69
21/01/24ANorthern Iowa57-61
18/01/24HBradley69-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24ADrake72-95
15/02/24HMissouri State82-72
10/02/24HEvansville73-70
08/02/24ABelmont64-69
03/02/24ANorthern Iowa71-43
31/01/24HIllinois State59-61
27/01/24HSouthern Illinois58-60
25/01/24ABradley63-71
21/01/24HIndiana State63-72
18/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)73-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW63%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %63%71%50%
Points / game72.975.169.2
Allowed / game67.065.569.6
Point differential+5.9+9.6-0.4
Avg total140.0140.6138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %7%6%10%
Murray State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL41%
HomeLLLWW47%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %41%47%33%
Points / game70.870.770.8
Allowed / game69.169.368.8
Point differential+1.7+1.4+2.1
Avg total139.9140.1139.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%27%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)25% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2722581%84.372.3+12.0
2 Drake2722581%80.068.9+11.0
3 Bradley2718967%75.368.3+7.0
4 Southern Illinois27171063%72.967.0+5.9
5 Belmont27161159%77.676.9+0.7
6 Northern Iowa27151256%72.770.7+2.1
7 Evansville27151256%73.373.1+0.1
8 Illinois State27131448%66.768.0-1.3
9 Murray State27111641%70.869.1+1.7
10 Illinois (Chi.)27101737%69.069.0+0.0
11 Valparaiso2762122%68.275.1-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Illinois413172
Murray State293968
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