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Drake vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 95-72
48-29 47-43
Position#15
Record21-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game68.8
Drake 🏆
USA
vs
Murray State
USA
Position#296
Record11-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Drake v Murray State
24 Jan 2027
DRAK v MURR
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
DRAK101
MURR90
05 Jan 2025
DRAK59
MURR66
18 Feb 2024
DRAK95
MURR72
03 Mar 2023
DRAK74
MURR62
07 Jan 2023
DRAK82
MURR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#131
W
76-58
76
58
+18
A14/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
77-56
77
56
+21
A18/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
97-48
97
48
+49
H20/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H27/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H01/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A03/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A10/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-25
40-33
43-27
34-29
54-20
43-28
42-29
23-36
36-38
41-25
41-30
40-40
36-37
31-38
38-37
44-45
41-30
33-37
37-37
41-38
148.2Avg total
79.9Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.468.8148.2+10.681%
Season at home (15)82.265.0147.2+17.2100%
Season away (11)75.574.0149.5+1.555%
Last 10 (10)79.968.3148.2+11.680%
Last 5 (5)78.475.0153.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)77.664.7142.3+12.986%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)77.568.0145.6+9.577%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#150
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
71-43
71
43
+28
A03/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-25
33-45
33-31
40-27
28-25
35-47
34-44
29-27
38-30
20-30
26-24
33-37
35-18
36-25
33-34
31-35
32-27
41-43
35-37
47-35
131.2Avg total
66.6Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.768.1138.8+2.742%
Season at home (15)70.769.3140.1+1.447%
Season away (11)70.766.4137.1+4.436%
Last 10 (10)66.664.6131.2+2.040%
Last 5 (5)69.863.0132.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)68.776.5145.3-7.89%
vs Similar (16)70.364.2134.6+6.156%
vs Weaker (3)81.361.3142.7+20.0100%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.4+9.41st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -0.6-0.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.4+9.41st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -0.6-0.6
DrakeMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#131
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A14/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A18/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
54-20
54
20
+34
H20/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H01/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A03/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A10/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A14/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
40.4Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.831.469.2+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.630.669.2+7.976%-
Last 30 away (13)36.832.369.1+4.562%-
Last 10 (10)40.431.071.4+9.470%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.272.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)38.332.470.7+5.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)37.631.068.6+6.773%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#150
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
35-18
35
18
+17
A03/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/02
NCAA
61.6Avg total
32.1Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.732.567.2+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.231.766.9+3.571%-
Last 30 away (13)33.933.567.5+0.438%-
Last 10 (10)32.129.561.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)32.228.060.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.037.972.9-2.936%-
vs Similar (16)33.129.262.4+3.962%-
vs Weaker (3)41.730.071.7+11.7100%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Drake wins
0
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Drake v Murray State74-62
08/02/23Murray State v Drake68-92
07/01/23Drake v Murray State82-64
27/11/19Murray State v Drake53-63
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24AEvansville78-75
10/02/24ABradley74-67
08/02/24HSouthern Illinois92-88 OT
03/02/24AIndiana State67-75
01/02/24HValparaiso81-70
27/01/24HNorthern Iowa77-63
25/01/24AMissouri State80-83 OT
20/01/24HEvansville97-48
18/01/24AIllinois State77-56
14/01/24ASouthern Illinois76-58
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HMissouri State82-72
10/02/24HEvansville73-70
08/02/24ABelmont64-69
03/02/24ANorthern Iowa71-43
31/01/24HIllinois State59-61
27/01/24HSouthern Illinois58-60
25/01/24ABradley63-71
21/01/24HIndiana State63-72
18/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)73-58
14/01/24HNorthern Iowa60-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %81%100%55%
Points / game79.482.275.5
Allowed / game68.865.074.0
Point differential+10.6+17.2+1.5
Avg total148.2147.2149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%80%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %12%7%18%
Murray State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW42%
HomeLLLWW47%
AwayWWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %42%47%36%
Points / game70.770.770.7
Allowed / game68.169.366.4
Point differential+2.7+1.4+4.4
Avg total138.8140.1137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%27%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)25% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2722581%84.372.3+12.0
2 Drake2621581%79.468.8+10.6
3 Bradley2618869%75.868.1+7.7
4 Southern Illinois27171063%72.967.0+5.9
5 Evansville26151158%73.072.7+0.4
6 Belmont26151158%77.777.5+0.1
7 Northern Iowa26141254%72.771.0+1.7
8 Illinois State26121446%66.067.6-1.6
9 Murray State26111542%70.768.1+2.7
10 Illinois (Chi.)26101638%69.368.7+0.6
11 Valparaiso2762122%68.275.1-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake484795
Murray State294372
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