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Murray State vs Western Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 81-86
34-43 47-43
Position#296
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#84
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#24
L
68-92
68
92
-24
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
48-83
48
83
-35
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
78-50
78
50
+28
H03/03
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
91-58
91
58
+33
H07/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-55
29-37
21-30
27-53
40-35
36-40
27-24
47-34
34-46
35-38
33-32
32-33
38-25
40-25
31-33
31-41
54-33
37-25
36-26
42-46
144.3Avg total
72.1Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.565.0149.5+19.5100%
Season at home (2)84.565.0149.5+19.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.172.2144.3-0.160%
Last 5 (5)77.266.0143.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)65.276.9142.1-11.825%
vs Similar (12)71.770.8142.4+0.967%
vs Weaker (6)77.761.5139.2+16.2100%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#149
L
64-68 OT
64
68
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H24/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
60-72
60
72
-12
H26/02
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A03/03
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
33-67
33
67
-34
A04/03
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
51-75
51
75
-24
A09/03
NCAA
Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers
#459
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H07/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-35
34-27
27-43
50-40
41-29
35-37
29-33
31-39
34-27
39-41
18-38
15-29
28-34
45-33
20-30
31-45
37-31
53-33
29-27
32-44
135.9Avg total
65.8Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.567.5143.0+8.050%
Season at home (1)90.064.0154.0+26.0100%
Season away (1)61.071.0132.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)65.870.1135.9-4.340%
Last 5 (5)61.668.8130.4-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)59.971.0130.9-11.125%
vs Similar (14)73.172.7145.8+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)74.672.3146.9+2.357%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -0.3-0.3
Murray StateWestern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#24
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
21-30
21
30
-9
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H18/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H03/03
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A04/03
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H11/11
NCAA
69.2Avg total
35.3Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.333.266.6+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.632.568.1+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)31.133.965.0-2.927%-
Last 10 (10)35.333.969.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.429.868.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.036.068.0-4.025%-
vs Similar (12)32.533.766.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (6)37.726.864.5+10.883%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#149
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A17/02
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H24/02
NCAA
UAB
#44
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H26/02
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A03/03
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
18-38
18
38
-20
A04/03
NCAA
UTEP
#250
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H08/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A09/03
NCAA
Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers
#459
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H07/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A10/11
NCAA
61.8Avg total
29.1Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.765.1-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.932.967.8+1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)30.232.562.8-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)29.132.761.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)26.432.058.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)26.632.659.2-6.012%-
vs Similar (14)33.632.866.4+0.857%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)36.032.968.9+3.143%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
Western Kentucky wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HTennessee Tech78-72
07/11/23HMidway91-58
04/03/23ADrake62-74
03/03/23HValparaiso78-50
26/02/23HValparaiso77-76 OT
22/02/23AMissouri State69-84
18/02/23HEvansville74-58
16/02/23AIllinois State76-75
11/02/23ABradley48-83
08/02/23HDrake68-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23AWichita State61-71
07/11/23HKentucky Wesleyan Panthers90-64
09/03/23AFlorida Atlantic51-75
08/03/23HUTEP73-67
04/03/23ANorth Texas33-67
03/03/23AUTEP73-68
26/02/23HUAB60-72
24/02/23HLouisiana Tech76-66
19/02/23ARice77-83
17/02/23ACharlotte64-68 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.584.5-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+19.5+19.5-
Avg total149.5149.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Western Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.590.061.0
Allowed / game67.564.071.0
Point differential+8.0+26.0-10.0
Avg total143.0154.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Evansville220100%94.055.0+39.0
2 Southern Illinois220100%89.562.5+27.0
3 Murray State220100%84.565.0+19.5
4 Drake110100%85.070.0+15.0
5 Bradley220100%72.568.5+4.0
6 Indiana State32167%88.773.0+15.7
7 Belmont32167%86.081.7+4.3
8 Valparaiso21150%78.063.5+14.5
9 Illinois State21150%73.068.0+5.0
10 Illinois (Chi.)21150%72.070.0+2.0
11 Northern Iowa1010%77.083.0-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UTEP330100%110.773.0+37.7
2 Liberty220100%87.051.0+36.0
3 Delaware330100%81.360.7+20.7
4 Middle Tenn. St.32167%68.361.7+6.7
5 Louisiana Tech21150%86.562.0+24.5
6 Kennesaw State21150%80.070.0+10.0
7 Western Kentucky21150%75.567.5+8.0
8 Missouri State21150%71.568.0+3.5
9 Jacksonville State31233%75.764.0+11.7
10 Sam Houston St.31233%69.073.7-4.7
11 New Mexico State31233%68.075.3-7.3
12 Florida International3030%69.084.3-15.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State344781
Western Kentucky434386
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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