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Missouri State vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-69
46-34 38-35
Position#177
Record14-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game65.1
Allowed / game63.5
vs
Position#182
Record15-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game72.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Missouri State v Murray State
01 Feb 2025
MISS77
MURR56
10 Jan 2024
MISS53
MURR77
21 Feb 2023
MISS84
MURR69
03 Dec 2019
MISS71
MURR69
19 Mar 2014
MISS63
MURR66
15 Mar 2011
MISS89
MURR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#24
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
76-67 OT
76
67
+9
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-34
35-22
25-30
32-31
29-30
34-29
35-37
36-37
28-35
37-30
32-36
21-37
35-33
26-26
30-27
36-33
26-37
28-27
38-33
28-36
128.0Avg total
63.2Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)65.163.5128.6+1.650%
Season at home (13)66.259.0125.2+7.269%
Season away (15)64.167.5131.6-3.333%
Last 10 (10)63.264.8128.0-1.650%
Last 5 (5)60.065.0125.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)56.963.0119.9-6.143%
vs Similar ◀ (12)63.866.2130.0-2.325%
vs Weaker (9)71.661.7133.2+9.989%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
56-99
56
99
-43
A04/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
68-92
68
92
-24
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
48-83
48
83
-35
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
35-46
36-36
46-37
30-34
34-34
37-35
37-36
49-43
34-39
28-40
28-59
39-55
29-37
21-30
27-53
40-35
36-40
27-24
47-34
147.1Avg total
69.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)70.372.2142.5-1.954%
Season at home (13)73.067.5140.5+5.577%
Season away (15)67.976.3144.2-8.333%
Last 10 (10)69.078.1147.1-9.150%
Last 5 (5)64.481.4145.8-17.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.478.4145.8-11.031%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.571.0141.5-0.560%
vs Weaker (7)77.064.1141.1+12.986%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -6.2-6.2
Missouri StateMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#24
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H18/02
NCAA
63.1Avg total
29.9Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.931.564.4+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.928.662.5+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)32.134.066.1-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)29.933.263.1-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)32.233.265.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)26.131.757.9-5.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.232.266.5+2.042%-
vs Weaker (9)33.429.362.8+4.167%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#79
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H28/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H08/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
21-30
21
30
-9
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H18/02
NCAA
70.3Avg total
33.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.833.466.2-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.533.467.9+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)31.033.564.5-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)33.736.670.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)31.036.867.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.136.268.3-4.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.133.465.5-1.350%-
vs Weaker (7)35.028.363.3+6.757%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Missouri State wins
2
Murray State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HNorthern Iowa66-69
16/02/23ABradley54-64
12/02/23AEvansville66-60
09/02/23HBelmont61-59
05/02/23ASouthern Illinois53-73
02/02/23HValparaiso76-67 OT
28/01/23AMurray State71-74
25/01/23HIllinois (Chi.)63-59
21/01/23HSouthern Illinois57-61
19/01/23ADrake65-62 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HEvansville74-58
16/02/23AIllinois State76-75
11/02/23ABradley48-83
08/02/23HDrake68-92
04/02/23AIndiana State56-99
02/02/23HBelmont83-82
28/01/23HMissouri State74-71
25/01/23ASouthern Illinois64-68
21/01/23HIndiana State82-73
18/01/23ABelmont65-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWWL69%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %50%69%33%
Points / game65.166.264.1
Allowed / game63.559.067.5
Point differential+1.6+7.2-3.3
Avg total128.6125.2131.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%31%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)57% (7)20% (5)
Overtime %11%8%13%
Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeWWWLW77%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %54%77%33%
Points / game70.373.067.9
Allowed / game72.267.576.3
Point differential-1.9+5.5-8.3
Avg total142.5140.5144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%23%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %7%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.2620677%74.859.2+15.6
2 Liberty2922776%75.159.9+15.2
3 Kennesaw State2921872%75.769.6+6.1
4 Middle Tenn. St.28171161%71.668.3+3.2
5 Western Kentucky27141352%73.770.9+2.7
6 Missouri State28141450%65.163.5+1.6
7 Delaware29141548%69.670.6-1.0
8 Louisiana Tech27131448%73.869.6+4.2
9 Florida International27131448%71.373.4-2.1
10 UTEP27121544%68.367.6+0.7
11 Jacksonville State29111838%68.069.8-1.8
12 New Mexico State2791833%65.565.9-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2923679%75.965.0+11.0
2 Bradley2921872%71.361.2+10.1
3 Indiana State2920969%78.968.3+10.6
4 Southern Illinois2920969%65.861.4+4.4
5 Belmont29191066%75.370.4+4.9
6 Murray State28151354%70.372.2-1.9
7 Northern Iowa28131546%70.269.1+1.1
8 Valparaiso29111838%69.473.2-3.8
9 Illinois (Chi.)29111838%67.171.5-4.4
10 Illinois State29101934%67.070.5-3.6
11 Evansville2952417%62.475.2-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State463884
Murray State343569
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