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Nacional vs Malvin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 84-67
27-18 17-15 26-15 14-19
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game72.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nacional v Malvin
23 Mar 2026
NACI88
MALV90
03 Feb 2026
NACI79
MALV53
31 Mar 2025
NACI82
MALV85
04 Nov 2024
NACI84
MALV67
09 Nov 2023
NACI84
MALV79
27 Oct 2022
NACI67
MALV82
14 Feb 2022
NACI80
MALV81
22 Apr 2021
NACI89
MALV81
10 Mar 2020
NACI98
MALV81
28 Jan 2020
NACI98
MALV88
19 Mar 2019
NACI75
MALV73
15 Dec 2018
NACI80
MALV69
23 Mar 2018
NACI68
MALV75
05 Dec 2017
NACI79
MALV81
08 Jan 2013
NACI75
MALV79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
60avg 79
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
60-73
60
73
-13
41avg 79
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
72-66
72
66
+6
65avg 79
A03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
74avg 79
H06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
78-66 OT
78
66
+12
74avg 79
A10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
101-115
101
115
-14
94avg 79
A15/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 79
H18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 79
A21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
71avg 79
H25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
115-64
115
64
+51
120avg 79
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
16-16
16-19
18-14
11-29
16-21
12-7
21-16
22-18
19-17
12-17
19-14
26-22
23-25
18-11
14-10
11-12
24-21
16-14
12-16
25-26
20-29
19-32
37-28
27-26
22-22
25-22
24-19
15-25
29-26
16-22
27-19
28-26
18-25
17-26
19-20
34-14
32-14
20-23
29-13
163.4Avg total
84.1Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)115.064.0179.0+51.0100%
Season at home (1)115.064.0179.0+51.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.179.3163.4+4.860%
Last 5 (5)96.691.4188.0+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.885.8168.6-3.040%
vs Similar (13)83.985.2169.2-1.338%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)77.173.0150.1+4.158%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Larre Borges
#13
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A03/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
80avg 76
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
74-99
74
99
-25
68avg 76
A19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
77-68
77
68
+9
68avg 76
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
57avg 76
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
79avg 76
H02/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
95-100
95
100
-5
88avg 76
A08/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
77avg 76
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
85-71
85
71
+14
84avg 76
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
21-20
20-21
22-20
19-21
21-31
20-20
23-20
10-28
24-19
18-11
13-19
22-19
25-17
13-28
18-29
11-17
21-21
15-19
27-24
18-19
27-31
15-32
29-18
24-19
24-13
20-15
20-28
22-17
26-16
26-8
14-21
19-26
136.4Avg total
69.3Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.572.0157.5+13.5100%
Season at home (1)85.071.0156.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)86.073.0159.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.367.1136.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)82.883.6166.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.688.6164.2-13.00%
vs Similar (7)85.084.7169.7+0.343%
vs Weaker (18)76.868.1144.9+8.883%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
NacionalMalvin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A15/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
66-28
66
28
+38
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
86.3Avg total
43.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.682.4-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.642.483.9-0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)40.040.680.6-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.886.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)50.046.696.6+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.043.481.4-5.40%-
vs Similar (13)42.343.886.1-1.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.438.478.8+2.067%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H02/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A08/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
82.2Avg total
42.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.840.983.7+1.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.838.683.4+6.250%-
Last 30 away (14)40.743.384.0-2.636%-
Last 10 (8)42.040.282.2+1.838%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.082.4+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.851.291.0-11.40%-
vs Similar (7)42.743.686.3-0.929%-
vs Weaker (16)43.736.680.2+7.162%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.8
49.5%
51.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.8
36.4%
33.0%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.311.3
69.3%
71.7%11.3
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.5
57.3%
51.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
33.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
71.7%13.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WLLWLWWWLW
Malvin
WWLLLWLWWW
#1
League position
#4
+5.4
Net rating
+0.8
106.1
Offensive rating
111.7
100.8
Defensive rating
110.9
51.6%
Effective FG%
54.8%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
13.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.4%
3-point %
34.0%
61.1%
Assist %
56.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 111.7Defence100.8 · 110.9Shooting51.6% · 54.8%3-point %36.4% · 34.0%Ball care13.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds23.9% · 28.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Nacional   ■ Malvin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nacional wins
5
Malvin wins
DateGameScore
05/01/24Malvin v Nacional83-84
10/11/23Nacional v Malvin84-79
04/01/23Malvin v Nacional79-73 OT
27/10/22Nacional v Malvin67-82
15/02/22Nacional v Malvin80-81
04/12/21Malvin v Nacional90-88
23/04/21Nacional v Malvin89-81
10/03/20Nacional v Malvin98-81
28/01/20Nacional v Malvin98-88
16/11/19Malvin v Nacional91-86 OT
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24HWelcome115-64
25/05/24HAguada82-97
21/05/24AAguada87-92
18/05/24HAguada98-89
15/05/24AAguada101-115
10/05/24ACordon78-66 OT
06/05/24HCordon81-68
03/05/24ACordon72-66
30/04/24HCordon60-73
23/04/24APenarol67-63
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24HTrouville85-71
24/10/24ABigua86-73
08/05/24AAguada95-100
02/05/24HAguada81-83
30/04/24AAguada67-91
21/04/24HUrupan77-68
19/04/24AUrupan74-99
17/04/24HUrupan88-86 OT
06/04/24HGoes20-0
03/04/24ALarre Borges20-0

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game115.0115.0-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+51.0+51.0-
Avg total179.0179.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.585.086.0
Allowed / game72.071.073.0
Point differential+13.5+14.0+13.0
Avg total157.5156.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional110100%115.064.0+51.0
2 Malvin220100%85.572.0+13.5
3 Hebraica y Macabi220100%84.579.5+5.0
4 Cordon32167%85.072.3+12.7
5 Bigua32167%82.376.0+6.3
6 Penarol32167%78.076.0+2.0
7 Urunday21150%76.575.5+1.0
8 Trouville31233%76.080.7-4.7
9 Urupan31233%72.077.7-5.7
10 Defensor1010%82.084.0-2.0
11 Aguada2020%74.083.5-9.5
12 Welcome3030%69.3103.0-33.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2717261484
Malvin1815151967
← all games of the day
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