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Nacional vs Malvin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 79-53
20-18 24-12 13-13 22-10
Position#2
Record12-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#4
Record13-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game81.1
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nacional v Malvin
23 Mar 2026
NACI88
MALV90
03 Feb 2026
NACI79
MALV53
31 Mar 2025
NACI82
MALV85
04 Nov 2024
NACI84
MALV67
09 Nov 2023
NACI84
MALV79
27 Oct 2022
NACI67
MALV82
14 Feb 2022
NACI80
MALV81
22 Apr 2021
NACI89
MALV81
10 Mar 2020
NACI98
MALV81
28 Jan 2020
NACI98
MALV88
19 Mar 2019
NACI75
MALV73
15 Dec 2018
NACI80
MALV69
23 Mar 2018
NACI68
MALV75
05 Dec 2017
NACI79
MALV81
08 Jan 2013
NACI75
MALV79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
66avg 82
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
67avg 82
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#3
L
94-98
94
98
-4
84avg 82
A21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
99-79
99
79
+20
95avg 82
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
120-91
120
91
+29
116avg 82
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
no box
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#5
W
97-73
97
73
+24
91avg 82
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
94-97
94
97
-3
83avg 82
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
81-102
81
102
-21
60avg 82
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
16-13
23-11
22-23
17-18
20-21
15-19
23-13
24-28
23-25
14-20
33-25
21-15
21-23
24-22
33-19
28-14
34-29
25-28
33-20
29-20
27-15
17-18
17-21
34-22
25-17
14-14
22-23
31-18
35-15
24-18
7-22
25-24
16-26
25-26
28-21
20-20
24-31
16-23
21-28
174.4Avg total
92.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.984.8177.7+8.167%
Season at home (9)91.276.8168.0+14.489%
Season away (9)94.692.9187.4+1.744%
Last 10 (10)92.082.4174.4+9.670%
Last 5 (5)91.484.4175.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.584.5150.0-19.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.582.7174.2+8.875%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
52-61
52
61
-9
33avg 75
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
78-72
78
72
+6
67avg 75
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
91-77
91
77
+14
82avg 75
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
50avg 75
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
89-99
89
99
-10
90avg 75
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
89-72
89
72
+17
76avg 75
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
79avg 75
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
96-102
96
102
-6
86avg 75
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
86-64
86
64
+22
78avg 75
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
14-14
12-13
9-14
16-12
22-20
15-14
25-26
27-20
19-23
16-18
29-16
19-24
11-25
19-27
18-13
18-20
26-26
23-24
22-29
32-20
17-15
12-17
28-20
23-21
20-20
19-16
24-26
27-25
22-13
18-28
18-10
32-25
27-21
14-32
23-24
22-16
24-20
24-12
16-16
161.4Avg total
81.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.481.1164.4+2.368%
Season at home (10)81.577.8159.3+3.780%
Season away (9)85.484.7170.1+0.856%
Last 10 (10)81.979.5161.4+2.460%
Last 5 (5)88.479.4167.8+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)84.187.9172.0-3.845%
vs Similar (10)82.577.3159.8+5.280%
vs Weaker (9)87.781.0168.7+6.767%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
NacionalMalvin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#7
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#5
W
66-33
66
33
+33
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
89.4Avg total
48.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.542.388.8+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.539.284.7+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)47.445.592.9+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)48.441.089.4+7.460%-
Last 5 (5)53.241.694.8+11.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.041.572.5-10.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.642.490.0+5.268%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
83.5Avg total
43.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.285.6+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.541.985.5+1.660%-
Last 30 away (15)43.142.585.7+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.083.5+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)49.239.288.4+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)43.542.385.8+1.355%-
vs Similar (10)40.740.381.0+0.460%-
vs Weaker (9)46.044.390.3+1.744%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.424.3
52.4%
53.3%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.5
32.1%
33.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.716.6
67.2%
70.9%16.6
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.0
52.9%
53.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.7
32.0%
33.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.312.0
65.6%
70.9%12.0
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
LLWWWWWLWW
Malvin
WLWWWLLWWL
#2
League position
#4
+7.4
Net rating
+4.4
103.0
Offensive rating
104.0
95.6
Defensive rating
99.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.1%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.1%
3-point %
32.0%
62.5%
Assist %
56.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 104.0Defence95.6 · 99.6Shooting50.8% · 50.7%3-point %32.1% · 32.0%Ball care14.9% · 14.1%Off. rebounds30.9% · 30.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Nacional   ■ Malvin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nacional wins
6
Malvin wins
DateGameScore
14/11/25Malvin v Nacional82-75
31/03/25Nacional v Malvin82-85
14/01/25Malvin v Nacional67-88
05/11/24Nacional v Malvin84-67
05/01/24Malvin v Nacional83-84
10/11/23Nacional v Malvin84-79
04/01/23Malvin v Nacional79-73 OT
27/10/22Nacional v Malvin67-82
15/02/22Nacional v Malvin80-81
04/12/21Malvin v Nacional90-88
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26AHebraica y Macabi81-102
27/01/26AUrunday94-97
23/01/26HBigua97-73
19/01/26AFlamengo95-76
18/01/26AObras Sanitarias90-74
13/01/26HWelcome120-91
07/01/26HGoes99-79
21/12/25AAguada94-98
16/12/25HObras Sanitarias75-71
14/12/25HFlamengo75-63
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HUrunday86-64
26/01/26ABigua96-102
20/01/26HDefensor85-76
15/01/26AGoes86-83
08/01/26HAguada89-72
19/12/25AWelcome89-99
16/12/25HPenarol67-89
09/12/25ACordon91-77
06/12/25AUnion Atletica78-72
18/11/25HHebraica y Macabi52-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%89%44%
Points / game92.991.294.6
Allowed / game84.876.892.9
Point differential+8.1+14.4+1.7
Avg total177.7168.0187.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%78%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeLLWWW80%
AwayWWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game83.481.585.4
Allowed / game81.177.884.7
Point differential+2.3+3.7+0.8
Avg total164.4159.3170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1916384%86.972.2+14.7
2 Malvin1913668%83.481.1+2.3
3 Nacional1812667%92.984.8+8.1
4 Aguada1812667%93.688.1+5.5
5 Hebraica y Macabi1912763%84.081.0+3.0
6 Bigua1910953%87.889.5-1.6
7 Union Atletica189950%83.782.7+1.0
8 Defensor189950%86.185.8+0.3
9 Urunday1981142%89.086.4+2.6
10 Goes1951426%82.591.2-8.7
11 Cordon1931616%81.592.3-10.8
12 Welcome1931616%81.797.2-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2024132279
Malvin1812131053
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