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Nacional vs Malvin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 88-90
27-20 16-27 22-24 23-19
Position#2
Record15-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Malvin 🏆
Uruguay
Position#4
Record16-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game81.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nacional v Malvin
23 Mar 2026
NACI88
MALV90
03 Feb 2026
NACI79
MALV53
31 Mar 2025
NACI82
MALV85
04 Nov 2024
NACI84
MALV67
09 Nov 2023
NACI84
MALV79
27 Oct 2022
NACI67
MALV82
14 Feb 2022
NACI80
MALV81
22 Apr 2021
NACI89
MALV81
10 Mar 2020
NACI98
MALV81
28 Jan 2020
NACI98
MALV88
19 Mar 2019
NACI75
MALV73
15 Dec 2018
NACI80
MALV69
23 Mar 2018
NACI68
MALV75
05 Dec 2017
NACI79
MALV81
08 Jan 2013
NACI75
MALV79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malvin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
81-102
81
102
-21
60avg 82
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
79-53
79
53
+26
74avg 82
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
66avg 82
A07/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 82
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
60avg 82
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
70avg 82
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
126-75
126
75
+51
120avg 82
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Paisas
#8
W
97-94
97
94
+3
86avg 82
A07/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
96-75
96
75
+21
97avg 82
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
111-80
111
80
+31
113avg 82
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
24-31
16-23
21-28
20-18
24-12
13-13
22-10
15-16
17-24
21-19
24-14
21-27
24-18
33-24
11-10
24-38
14-15
18-16
17-13
19-31
22-17
22-20
18-23
29-22
37-27
36-10
24-16
25-25
28-26
26-23
18-20
22-17
22-19
30-17
22-22
34-13
27-23
28-29
22-15
171.4Avg total
91.0Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)93.183.0176.1+10.265%
Season at home (11)93.374.5167.7+18.891%
Season away (12)93.090.8183.8+2.242%
Last 10 (10)91.080.4171.4+10.670%
Last 5 (5)102.283.0185.2+19.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.082.0151.0-13.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)93.380.8174.1+12.479%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Goes
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
79avg 74
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
96-102
96
102
-6
86avg 74
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
86-64
86
64
+22
78avg 74
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
53-79
53
79
-26
41avg 74
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 74
A11/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 74
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
93avg 74
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
76avg 74
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
67-96
67
96
-29
58avg 74
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
20-20
19-16
24-26
27-25
22-13
18-28
18-10
32-25
27-21
14-32
23-24
22-16
24-20
24-12
16-16
18-20
12-24
13-13
10-22
30-24
23-19
15-13
15-31
22-30
15-13
20-16
22-14
26-17
17-23
33-9
14-27
22-18
24-19
21-30
18-16
17-19
15-25
20-26
15-26
162.9Avg total
81.0Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.681.4163.0+0.364%
Season at home (14)81.179.0160.1+2.179%
Season away (11)82.384.4166.6-2.145%
Last 10 (10)81.081.9162.9-0.960%
Last 5 (5)80.883.0163.8-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.088.3168.3-8.333%
vs Similar (14)83.078.0161.0+5.079%
vs Weaker (4)90.087.0177.0+3.075%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
NacionalMalvin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A07/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Paisas
#8
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A07/03
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
61-36
61
36
+25
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
90.7Avg total
46.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.842.590.2+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.938.786.6+9.179%-
Last 30 away (16)47.745.893.4+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)46.843.990.7+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)53.044.097.0+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.040.072.0-8.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)48.342.690.9+5.866%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A11/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
85.0Avg total
43.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.284.3+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.841.483.2+0.356%-
Last 30 away (14)42.643.085.6-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.285.0+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.483.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.542.883.2-2.242%-
vs Similar (14)41.940.482.3+1.464%-
vs Weaker (4)48.246.594.8+1.850%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.0
54.8%
53.3%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.8
32.8%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.816.8
70.6%
70.9%16.8
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.2
55.2%
53.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.6
36.6%
33.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.511.1
67.3%
70.9%11.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWWWLLWWWL
Malvin
LWWWLLWLWW
#2
League position
#4
+11.8
Net rating
+1.3
99.7
Offensive rating
98.2
87.9
Defensive rating
96.8
52.7%
Effective FG%
55.0%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
13.0%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.8%
3-point %
36.6%
52.4%
Assist %
58.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 98.2Defence87.9 · 96.8Shooting52.7% · 55.0%3-point %32.8% · 36.6%Ball care13.0% · 14.8%Off. rebounds- · 37.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Nacional   ■ Malvin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nacional wins
5
Malvin wins
DateGameScore
03/02/26Nacional v Malvin79-53
14/11/25Malvin v Nacional82-75
31/03/25Nacional v Malvin82-85
14/01/25Malvin v Nacional67-88
05/11/24Nacional v Malvin84-67
05/01/24Malvin v Nacional83-84
10/11/23Nacional v Malvin84-79
04/01/23Malvin v Nacional79-73 OT
27/10/22Nacional v Malvin67-82
15/02/22Nacional v Malvin80-81
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26AHebraica y Macabi111-80
14/03/26HPaisas96-75
07/03/26APaisas97-94
19/02/26HCordon126-75
16/02/26AUnion Atletica81-91
12/02/26ADefensor73-82
08/02/26HFlamengo89-79
07/02/26AObras Sanitarias77-73
03/02/26HMalvin79-53
30/01/26AHebraica y Macabi81-102
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26HPenarol67-96
17/03/26HDefensor85-83
12/03/26HHebraica y Macabi90-76
19/02/26HUnion Atletica79-73
11/02/26AHebraica y Macabi83-87
03/02/26ANacional53-79
30/01/26HUrunday86-64
26/01/26ABigua96-102
20/01/26HDefensor85-76
15/01/26AGoes86-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW65%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%91%42%
Points / game93.193.393.0
Allowed / game83.074.590.8
Point differential+10.2+18.8+2.2
Avg total176.1167.7183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%82%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL64%
HomeWWWWL79%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %64%79%45%
Points / game81.681.182.3
Allowed / game81.479.084.4
Point differential+0.3+2.1-2.1
Avg total163.0160.1166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%21%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2521484%87.973.8+14.1
2 Aguada2518772%92.185.7+6.4
3 Nacional2315865%93.183.0+10.2
4 Malvin2516964%81.681.4+0.3
5 Hebraica y Macabi26151158%84.084.0+0.0
6 Bigua28161257%89.087.2+1.7
7 Union Atletica28141450%83.582.6+0.9
8 Urunday27131448%89.385.3+4.0
9 Defensor26121446%85.985.8+0.1
10 Goes2791833%83.789.1-5.4
11 Cordon2852318%80.894.4-13.6
12 Welcome2842414%81.195.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2716222388
Malvin2027241990
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