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Nacional vs Malvin Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 82-85
18-23 22-32 16-11 26-19
Position#1
Record23-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game78.6
Nacional
Uruguay
vs
Malvin 🏆
Uruguay
Position#4
Record16-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game76.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nacional v Malvin
23 Mar 2026
NACI88
MALV90
03 Feb 2026
NACI79
MALV53
31 Mar 2025
NACI82
MALV85
04 Nov 2024
NACI84
MALV67
09 Nov 2023
NACI84
MALV79
27 Oct 2022
NACI67
MALV82
14 Feb 2022
NACI80
MALV81
22 Apr 2021
NACI89
MALV81
10 Mar 2020
NACI98
MALV81
28 Jan 2020
NACI98
MALV88
19 Mar 2019
NACI75
MALV73
15 Dec 2018
NACI80
MALV69
23 Mar 2018
NACI68
MALV75
05 Dec 2017
NACI79
MALV81
08 Jan 2013
NACI75
MALV79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malvin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
117-69
117
69
+48
128avg 82
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
121-65
121
65
+56
121avg 82
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 82
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
99-79
99
79
+20
99avg 82
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
91-94
91
94
-3
75avg 82
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
91avg 82
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 82
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
63avg 82
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
75avg 82
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 82
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
29-23
30-13
30-12
27-25
36-10
29-14
29-16
20-17
27-17
17-23
22-22
33-16
24-24
22-16
20-23
19-22
20-36
26-15
26-21
24-19
20-26
27-26
17-17
26-18
14-25
26-9
24-20
13-29
24-26
28-24
16-20
22-23
24-15
21-21
18-21
15-15
18-19
15-21
33-14
175.5Avg total
95.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)92.878.6171.4+14.288%
Season at home (14)91.678.1169.7+13.686%
Season away (12)94.279.2173.3+15.092%
Last 10 (10)95.380.2175.5+15.180%
Last 5 (5)87.883.2171.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)92.098.2190.2-6.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)92.878.6171.4+14.288%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#13
W
73-68
73
68
+5
62avg 74
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 74
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
70-71
70
71
-1
57avg 74
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
91avg 74
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
82-60
82
60
+22
85avg 74
H28/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
87-93
87
93
-6
78avg 74
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 74
A11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
75-82
75
82
-7
71avg 74
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
71-55
71
55
+16
70avg 74
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
73-82 OT
73
82
-9
63avg 74
A28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
9-18
20-19
24-19
15-14
26-26
21-17
18-30
20-27
16-13
14-17
20-14
25-19
27-21
15-21
24-11
25-23
19-10
21-14
17-13
21-22
25-28
21-19
20-24
23-24
27-29
19-18
21-14
24-14
21-28
16-19
14-21
23-18
16-11
23-12
9-14
15-18
14-13
24-21
16-17
154.7Avg total
79.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.276.5156.6+3.762%
Season at home (13)81.575.3156.8+6.269%
Season away (13)78.877.6156.4+1.254%
Last 10 (10)79.275.5154.7+3.750%
Last 5 (5)79.279.4158.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.585.4160.9-9.912%
vs Similar (8)77.075.5152.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (14)84.674.5159.1+10.186%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
NacionalMalvin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
63-35
63
35
+28
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
88.9Avg total
46.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.441.087.4+5.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.940.185.9+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)46.942.189.0+4.957%-
Last 10 (10)46.342.688.9+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.083.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)46.051.297.2-5.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.439.485.8+7.065%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#13
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H28/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A28/03
Liga Uruguaya
79.9Avg total
41.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.479.9+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.137.379.3+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)40.939.580.5+1.440%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.879.9+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.082.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.546.883.2-10.20%-
vs Similar (8)38.534.573.0+4.075%-
vs Weaker (14)46.135.981.9+10.279%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.424.3
54.7%
51.5%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.3
34.1%
33.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.515.8
70.2%
71.7%15.8
They take 74.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.0
48.0%
51.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.2
33.8%
33.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws14.49.7
67.4%
71.7%9.7
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWLWWLWWWW
Malvin
LWLWLWWLLW
#1
League position
#4
+18.6
Net rating
+4.3
114.3
Offensive rating
102.7
95.7
Defensive rating
98.4
53.3%
Effective FG%
49.1%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.1%
3-point %
33.8%
60.1%
Assist %
61.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 102.7Defence95.7 · 98.4Shooting53.3% · 49.1%3-point %34.1% · 33.8%Ball care14.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds30.7% · 30.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Nacional   ■ Malvin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Nacional wins
4
Malvin wins
DateGameScore
14/01/25Malvin v Nacional67-88
05/11/24Nacional v Malvin84-67
05/01/24Malvin v Nacional83-84
10/11/23Nacional v Malvin84-79
04/01/23Malvin v Nacional79-73 OT
27/10/22Nacional v Malvin67-82
15/02/22Nacional v Malvin80-81
04/12/21Malvin v Nacional90-88
23/04/21Nacional v Malvin89-81
10/03/20Nacional v Malvin98-81
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25HDefensor81-69
17/03/25HCordon85-80
13/03/25AAguada81-99
10/03/25HPenarol90-72
05/03/25ABigua102-96 OT
13/02/25HAguada91-94
10/02/25HUrunday99-79
07/02/25ACordon86-79
03/02/25AUrupan121-65
30/01/25AWelcome117-69
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25APenarol73-82 OT
17/03/25HDefensor71-55
13/03/25HCordon75-82
11/03/25AAguada90-85
04/03/25AUrunday87-93
28/02/25HCordon82-60
13/02/25HUrupan91-72
07/02/25AAguada70-71
04/02/25ADefensor80-87
30/01/25ATrouville73-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWWWL92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %88%86%92%
Points / game92.891.694.2
Allowed / game78.678.179.2
Point differential+14.2+13.6+15.0
Avg total171.4169.7173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%71%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL62%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayLLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%69%54%
Points / game80.281.578.8
Allowed / game76.575.377.6
Point differential+3.7+6.2+1.2
Avg total156.6156.8156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%46%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2623388%92.878.6+14.2
2 Aguada2722581%90.180.5+9.6
3 Penarol2619773%83.674.8+8.8
4 Malvin26161062%80.276.5+3.7
5 Bigua29141548%86.884.8+2.0
6 Defensor27121544%84.882.0+2.8
7 Hebraica y Macabi26111542%84.887.1-2.3
8 Cordon26111542%83.286.2-3.0
9 Urunday27111641%77.982.2-4.3
10 Urupan26101638%81.486.9-5.5
11 Welcome2781930%79.993.7-13.8
12 Trouville2742315%72.382.6-10.3
13 Ferro Carril2020%73.595.5-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional1822162682
Malvin2332111985
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