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Nacional vs Trouville Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 77-81
16-13 22-20 21-13 18-35
Position#1
Record14-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#13
Record3-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game83.9
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nacional v Trouville
23 Jan 2025
NACI77
TROU81
26 Oct 2023
NACI83
TROU81
25 Nov 2022
NACI94
TROU68
24 Jan 2022
NACI84
TROU88
06 Apr 2021
NACI81
TROU75
02 Dec 2019
NACI85
TROU90
15 Mar 2019
NACI97
TROU92
19 Oct 2018
NACI82
TROU75
20 Oct 2017
NACI72
TROU54
11 Dec 2012
NACI72
TROU88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trouville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
87avg 77
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
92-82
92
82
+10
84avg 77
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
90-88
90
88
+2
81avg 77
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
89-75
89
75
+14
76avg 77
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
90-72
90
72
+18
83avg 77
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
97-82
97
82
+15
98avg 77
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
76avg 77
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
101-88
101
88
+13
90avg 77
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
88-67
88
67
+21
78avg 77
A14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 77
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-17
19-17
18-26
27-23
17-17
25-29
23-21
27-15
14-27
24-23
23-24
29-14
23-18
23-15
26-26
17-16
30-18
21-18
22-23
17-13
27-18
25-20
22-13
23-31
21-18
20-20
26-20
21-20
21-30
25-22
32-17
23-19
20-12
26-19
27-16
15-20
24-23
26-17
22-25
17-20
172.2Avg total
92.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.977.1169.0+14.9100%
Season at home (7)94.976.7171.6+18.1100%
Season away (7)89.077.4166.4+11.6100%
Last 10 (10)92.280.0172.2+12.2100%
Last 5 (5)92.680.0172.6+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)88.486.9175.3+1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.673.7160.3+12.990%
This opponent (Trouville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrouvilleUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrouville
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
75avg 67
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
72avg 67
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
62-88
62
88
-26
45avg 67
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
59-90
59
90
-31
44avg 67
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
65-83
65
83
-18
59avg 67
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
68avg 67
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
56-97
56
97
-41
52avg 67
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
68-71
68
71
-3
58avg 67
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
50avg 67
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
77avg 67
A18/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
23-25
19-20
19-17
16-18
19-21
26-19
22-19
25-24
5-26
17-11
15-27
6-28
15-26
14-18
24-18
20-19
12-19
18-22
15-23
23-16
23-23
14-17
18-18
7-27
15-27
22-18
12-25
15-27
18-11
21-19
14-14
25-24
22-18
17-26
15-20
27-26
16-23
15-21
29-22
156.6Avg total
71.9Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.683.9156.6-11.321%
Season at home (8)72.283.5155.8-11.225%
Season away (6)73.284.5157.7-11.317%
Last 10 (10)71.984.7156.6-12.820%
Last 5 (5)73.684.4158.0-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.283.5158.6-8.332%
vs Similar (4)49.546.095.5+3.575%
vs Weaker (1)20.00.020.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
NacionalTrouville
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
86.3Avg total
46.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.139.985.0+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.940.786.5+5.267%-
Last 30 away (15)44.439.183.5+5.373%-
Last 10 (10)46.539.886.3+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.039.886.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)45.644.389.9+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.038.082.9+7.071%-
This opponent (Trouville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrouvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
21-54
21
54
-33
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A18/01
Liga Uruguaya
80.6Avg total
35.3Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)37.045.182.1-8.222%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.545.479.9-10.815%-
Last 30 away (14)39.244.984.1-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)35.345.380.6-10.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.482.6-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.545.481.9-9.020%-
vs Similar (2)43.041.584.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.124.1
52.3%
51.5%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.1
34.0%
33.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.412.5
64.4%
71.7%12.5
They take 75.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trouvilletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trouville: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.916.6
49.0%
51.5%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.6
31.0%
33.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.69.5
65.1%
71.7%9.5
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWWWWWWWWW
Trouville
LLLLWLLLWL
#1
League position
#13
+13.9
Net rating
-16.2
111.3
Offensive rating
97.9
97.4
Defensive rating
114.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
47.8%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
12.9%
Turnover %
18.0%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.0%
3-point %
31.0%
64.0%
Assist %
60.7%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 97.9Defence97.4 · 114.1Shooting51.8% · 47.8%3-point %34.0% · 31.0%Ball care12.9% · 18.0%Off. rebounds28.8% · 29.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)100% · 20%
■ Nacional   ■ Trouville
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Nacional wins
3
Trouville wins
DateGameScore
07/11/24Trouville v Nacional70-86
16/01/24Trouville v Nacional79-99
27/10/23Nacional v Trouville83-81
27/01/23Trouville v Nacional95-82
25/11/22Nacional v Trouville94-68
25/01/22Nacional v Trouville84-88
27/10/21Trouville v Nacional83-86
06/04/21Nacional v Trouville81-75
30/10/20Trouville v Nacional73-61
10/02/20Trouville v Nacional86-89
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25APenarol89-85
14/01/25AMalvin88-67
10/01/25HHebraica y Macabi101-88
08/01/25ADefensor88-78
03/01/25HBigua97-82
19/12/24AUrunday90-72
16/12/24HUrupan89-75
13/12/24AAguada90-88
10/12/24AHebraica y Macabi92-82
07/12/24HCordon98-83
Trouvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25ABigua87-92
13/01/25HHebraica y Macabi79-88
10/01/25HUrunday68-71
07/01/25HPenarol56-97
03/01/25HCordon78-74
17/12/24AAguada65-83
13/12/24ADefensor59-90
07/12/24HUrupan62-88
02/12/24HWelcome83-77
15/11/24HBigua82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.994.989.0
Allowed / game77.176.777.4
Point differential+14.9+18.1+11.6
Avg total169.0171.6166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%86%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trouville
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %21%25%17%
Points / game72.672.273.2
Allowed / game83.983.584.5
Point differential-11.3-11.2-11.3
Avg total156.6155.8157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional14140100%91.977.1+14.9
2 Aguada1411379%89.678.5+11.1
3 Malvin1410471%80.477.4+2.9
4 Penarol149564%83.273.1+10.1
5 Defensor147750%86.681.1+5.5
6 Bigua147750%84.684.9-0.3
7 Hebraica y Macabi147750%86.288.6-2.4
8 Urunday146843%79.683.6-4.0
9 Cordon145936%82.985.9-3.0
10 Urupan1431121%79.787.1-7.4
11 Trouville1431121%72.683.9-11.3
12 Welcome1421214%78.194.1-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional1622211877
Trouville1320133581
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