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Nacional vs Urupan Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 89-75
23-18 23-15 26-26 17-16
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#10
Record2-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game83.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nacional v Urupan
16 Dec 2024
NACI89
URUP75
23 Nov 2023
NACI91
URUP78
03 Nov 2022
NACI77
URUP63
28 Mar 2022
NACI86
URUP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urupan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 78
H18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 78
A21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
71avg 78
H25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
115-64
115
64
+51
120avg 78
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
74avg 78
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 78
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
67avg 78
H13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
87avg 78
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
92-82
92
82
+10
84avg 78
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
90-88
90
88
+2
81avg 78
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
22-22
25-22
24-19
15-25
29-26
16-22
27-19
28-26
18-25
17-26
19-20
34-14
32-14
20-23
29-13
27-18
17-15
26-15
14-19
26-11
26-18
13-24
21-17
19-21
21-21
24-17
16-19
34-17
19-17
18-26
27-23
17-17
25-29
23-21
27-15
14-27
24-23
23-24
29-14
172.2Avg total
91.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.176.0168.1+16.1100%
Season at home (4)94.273.0167.2+21.2100%
Season away (3)89.380.0169.3+9.3100%
Last 10 (10)91.281.0172.2+10.280%
Last 5 (5)89.280.2169.4+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.090.3176.3-4.333%
vs Similar (10)86.185.4171.5+0.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.475.1156.5+6.371%
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Malvin
#5
W
99-74
99
74
+25
97avg 72
H19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
68-77
68
77
-9
65avg 72
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 72
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
65-87
65
87
-22
52avg 72
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 72
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
85-95
85
95
-10
72avg 72
H06/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 72
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
58avg 72
H17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
88-62
88
62
+26
90avg 72
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
72avg 72
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
20-20
20-23
28-10
19-24
11-18
19-13
19-22
22-12
20-22
15-25
21-12
18-17
18-15
15-31
14-24
27-17
18-15
15-26
13-17
26-24
21-28
17-21
21-22
21-26
25-23
24-26
25-29
21-23
15-26
20-28
17-19
24-25
26-5
11-17
27-15
25-25
22-16
13-20
14-15
161.5Avg total
79.8Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.983.2162.1-4.425%
Season at home (4)81.892.8174.5-11.00%
Season away (4)76.073.8149.8+2.250%
Last 10 (10)79.881.7161.5-1.930%
Last 5 (5)83.086.6169.6-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.684.3163.9-4.627%
vs Similar (13)75.576.2151.7-0.838%
vs Weaker (6)75.264.8140.0+10.383%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
NacionalUrupan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
66-28
66
28
+38
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
88.6Avg total
47.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.384.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.442.085.4+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)42.140.682.7+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)47.441.288.6+6.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.285.2+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.344.382.7-6.00%-
vs Similar (10)44.343.888.1+0.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.639.381.9+3.359%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#5
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H06/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
83.2Avg total
43.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.342.083.2-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.946.889.7-3.833%-
Last 30 away (16)40.138.478.4+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.283.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.289.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.943.185.0-1.245%-
vs Similar (12)39.242.381.5-3.233%-
vs Weaker (5)45.038.683.6+6.460%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.2
54.5%
51.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.8
34.0%
33.0%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.513.8
67.3%
71.7%13.8
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.422.2
48.9%
51.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.5
34.1%
33.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.712.1
68.4%
71.7%12.1
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWWWWWWLLW
Urupan
LWLLLLLWLW
#1
League position
#10
+13.1
Net rating
-2.7
112.2
Offensive rating
101.7
99.0
Defensive rating
104.4
53.0%
Effective FG%
49.6%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
13.7%
Turnover %
17.8%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.0%
3-point %
34.1%
59.1%
Assist %
61.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 101.7Defence99.0 · 104.4Shooting53.0% · 49.6%3-point %34.0% · 34.1%Ball care13.7% · 17.8%Off. rebounds27.9% · 27.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Nacional   ■ Urupan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nacional wins
3
Urupan wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Urupan v Nacional89-74
24/11/23Nacional v Urupan91-78
17/01/23Urupan v Nacional84-74
03/11/22Nacional v Urupan77-63
29/03/22Nacional v Urupan86-73
12/01/22Urupan v Nacional104-82
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24AAguada90-88
10/12/24AHebraica y Macabi92-82
07/12/24HCordon98-83
13/11/24HPenarol80-78
07/11/24ATrouville86-70
05/11/24HMalvin84-67
01/11/24HWelcome115-64
25/05/24HAguada82-97
21/05/24AAguada87-92
18/05/24HAguada98-89
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/24HMalvin74-76
07/12/24ATrouville88-62
17/11/24HAguada73-96
11/11/24HHebraica y Macabi95-104
06/11/24HUrunday85-95
31/10/24ABigua73-75
28/10/24ACordon65-87
25/10/24APenarol78-71
21/04/24AMalvin68-77
19/04/24HMalvin99-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.194.289.3
Allowed / game76.073.080.0
Point differential+16.1+21.2+9.3
Avg total168.1167.2169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game78.981.876.0
Allowed / game83.292.873.8
Point differential-4.4-11.0+2.2
Avg total162.1174.5149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional770100%92.176.0+16.1
2 Malvin86275%79.274.9+4.4
3 Aguada96367%90.080.9+9.1
4 Hebraica y Macabi96367%88.685.0+3.6
5 Penarol85362%80.873.6+7.1
6 Defensor74357%90.982.1+8.7
7 Urunday84450%77.680.1-2.5
8 Cordon94544%86.087.4-1.4
9 Bigua83538%81.284.8-3.5
10 Urupan82625%78.983.2-4.4
11 Trouville82625%73.083.8-10.8
12 Welcome9090%74.496.4-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2323261789
Urupan1815261675
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