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Nacional vs Bigua Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 97-82
27-18 25-20 22-13 23-31
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#6
Record4-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game84.8
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nacional v Bigua
11 May 2026
NACI100
BIGU78
05 May 2026
NACI98
BIGU95
23 Jan 2026
NACI97
BIGU73
03 Jan 2025
NACI97
BIGU82
02 Feb 2024
NACI71
BIGU67
02 May 2023
NACI80
BIGU93
21 Apr 2023
NACI91
BIGU84
02 Dec 2022
NACI83
BIGU93
05 Nov 2021
NACI82
BIGU94
21 Jun 2021
NACI76
BIGU86
18 Jun 2021
NACI76
BIGU69
14 Jun 2021
NACI92
BIGU97
31 Jan 2020
NACI91
BIGU84
30 Oct 2018
NACI72
BIGU81
08 Dec 2017
NACI70
BIGU64
26 Oct 2012
NACI70
BIGU76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bigua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
71avg 78
H25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
115-64
115
64
+51
120avg 78
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
74avg 78
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 78
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
67avg 78
H13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
87avg 78
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
92-82
92
82
+10
84avg 78
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
90-88
90
88
+2
81avg 78
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
89-75
89
75
+14
76avg 78
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
90-72
90
72
+18
83avg 78
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
18-25
17-26
19-20
34-14
32-14
20-23
29-13
27-18
17-15
26-15
14-19
26-11
26-18
13-24
21-17
19-21
21-21
24-17
16-19
34-17
19-17
18-26
27-23
17-17
25-29
23-21
27-15
14-27
24-23
23-24
29-14
23-18
23-15
26-26
17-16
30-18
21-18
22-23
17-13
168.2Avg total
90.6Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.675.4167.0+16.1100%
Season at home (5)93.273.4166.6+19.8100%
Season away (4)89.578.0167.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.677.6168.2+13.090%
Last 5 (5)91.880.0171.8+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.090.3176.3-4.333%
vs Similar (9)88.486.9175.3+1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.774.2156.9+8.678%
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBigua
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
99-69
99
69
+30
102avg 73
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 73
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
79-100
79
100
-21
68avg 73
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
67-88
67
88
-21
53avg 73
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
79avg 73
A15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
97-104
97
104
-7
88avg 73
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
73-76
73
76
-3
61avg 73
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#9
W
72-70
72
70
+2
68avg 73
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#3
L
60-73
60
73
-13
16avg 73
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
113-85
113
85
+28
110avg 73
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
30-16
22-15
22-18
17-27
15-18
26-15
17-13
20-31
18-29
11-24
30-16
14-31
21-13
12-22
20-22
25-21
25-23
20-19
17-19
15-34
24-29
27-15
31-26
24-23
17-19
16-22
16-12
23-18
13-11
13-14
23-27
18-17
9-20
16-22
17-14
23-16
24-23
35-22
31-24
164.2Avg total
82.2Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.884.8169.6+0.044%
Season at home (5)91.483.4174.8+8.060%
Season away (4)76.586.5163.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)82.282.0164.2+0.250%
Last 5 (5)83.081.6164.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.483.0153.4-12.60%
vs Similar (7)79.685.9165.4-6.329%
vs Weaker (18)84.276.9161.2+7.367%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +3.3+3.3
NacionalBigua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
66-28
66
28
+38
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
86.0Avg total
47.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.440.984.3+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.341.685.9+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.540.182.7+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)47.838.286.0+9.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.885.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.344.382.7-6.00%-
vs Similar (9)45.644.389.9+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.238.681.7+4.661%-
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
39-63
39
63
-24
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Minas
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
83.9Avg total
40.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.742.182.8-1.345%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.540.982.4+0.560%-
Last 30 away (14)39.943.383.2-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.983.9-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.080.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.442.877.2-8.40%-
vs Similar (7)40.445.185.6-4.743%-
vs Weaker (17)42.740.683.3+2.159%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.9
54.3%
51.5%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.1
31.5%
33.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.713.7
66.2%
71.7%13.7
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.2
48.9%
51.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.0
33.9%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.412.8
78.0%
71.7%12.8
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWWWWWWWWL
Bigua
WLWLLWLLWW
#1
League position
#6
+15.8
Net rating
+0.3
109.2
Offensive rating
106.0
93.4
Defensive rating
105.8
51.2%
Effective FG%
49.7%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
13.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.5%
3-point %
33.9%
61.8%
Assist %
64.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 106.0Defence93.4 · 105.8Shooting51.2% · 49.7%3-point %31.5% · 33.9%Ball care13.0% · 14.5%Off. rebounds26.4% · 26.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Nacional   ■ Bigua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nacional wins
6
Bigua wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Nacional v Bigua71-67 OT
27/11/23Bigua v Nacional101-94
06/05/23Bigua v Nacional79-88
03/05/23Nacional v Bigua80-93
26/04/23Bigua v Nacional87-68
22/04/23Nacional v Bigua91-84
19/04/23Bigua v Nacional69-70
09/02/23Bigua v Nacional94-86
02/12/22Nacional v Bigua83-93
05/02/22Bigua v Nacional91-88
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24AUrunday90-72
16/12/24HUrupan89-75
13/12/24AAguada90-88
10/12/24AHebraica y Macabi92-82
07/12/24HCordon98-83
13/11/24HPenarol80-78
07/11/24ATrouville86-70
05/11/24HMalvin84-67
01/11/24HWelcome115-64
25/05/24HAguada82-97
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HHebraica y Macabi113-85
14/12/24HMinas60-73
13/12/24AQuimsa72-70
06/12/24APenarol73-76
04/12/24HCordon97-104
15/11/24ATrouville87-82
11/11/24AAguada67-88
08/11/24ADefensor79-100
31/10/24HUrupan75-73
28/10/24HWelcome99-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.693.289.5
Allowed / game75.473.478.0
Point differential+16.1+19.8+11.5
Avg total167.0166.6167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%80%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game84.891.476.5
Allowed / game84.883.486.5
Point differential+0.0+8.0-10.0
Avg total169.6174.8163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional990100%91.675.4+16.1
2 Malvin108280%79.674.1+5.5
3 Aguada107370%89.379.3+10.0
4 Penarol96367%79.672.6+7.0
5 Hebraica y Macabi106460%88.287.8+0.4
6 Defensor94544%85.981.2+4.7
7 Bigua94544%84.884.8+0.0
8 Urunday94544%77.081.2-4.2
9 Cordon104640%84.386.3-2.0
10 Urupan103730%79.884.1-4.3
11 Trouville92722%72.183.7-11.6
12 Welcome100100%75.696.0-20.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2725222397
Bigua1820133182
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