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Nacional vs Cordon Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 98-83
34-17 19-17 18-26 27-23
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#9
Record4-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game84.6
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nacional v Cordon
19 Feb 2026
NACI126
CORD75
17 Mar 2025
NACI85
CORD80
07 Dec 2024
NACI98
CORD83
06 May 2024
NACI81
CORD68
30 Apr 2024
NACI60
CORD73
01 Apr 2024
NACI69
CORD61
22 Jan 2024
NACI86
CORD61
12 Nov 2012
NACI70
CORD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cordon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Cordon
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
74avg 77
H06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
78-66 OT
78
66
+12
74avg 77
A10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
101-115
101
115
-14
94avg 77
A15/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 77
H18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 77
A21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
71avg 77
H25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
115-64
115
64
+51
120avg 77
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
74avg 77
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 77
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
67avg 77
H13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
23-25
18-11
14-10
11-12
24-21
16-14
12-16
25-26
20-29
19-32
37-28
27-26
22-22
25-22
24-19
15-25
29-26
16-22
27-19
28-26
18-25
17-26
19-20
34-14
32-14
20-23
29-13
27-18
17-15
26-15
14-19
26-11
26-18
13-24
21-17
19-21
21-21
24-17
16-19
169.8Avg total
89.2Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.269.8161.0+21.5100%
Season at home (3)93.069.7162.7+23.3100%
Season away (1)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.280.6169.8+8.670%
Last 5 (5)89.475.2164.6+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.085.8169.8-1.850%
vs Similar (12)83.885.5169.2-1.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)78.973.1152.0+5.764%
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordon
Date
Competition
Nacional
#3
L
66-72
66
72
-6
52avg 68
H03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
68-81
68
81
-13
60avg 68
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
66-78 OT
66
78
-12
49avg 68
H10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
87avg 68
H26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
87-65
87
65
+22
80avg 68
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 68
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
97-111
97
111
-14
87avg 68
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
87avg 68
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
65-82
65
82
-17
46avg 68
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
104-97
104
97
+7
104avg 68
A04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
17-19
17-12
14-19
22-26
25-23
11-18
10-14
12-11
21-24
14-16
16-12
30-14
27-25
19-18
19-18
17-18
15-18
31-15
24-14
17-21
24-23
18-18
14-15
24-28
33-30
25-24
15-29
24-19
26-22
20-24
23-20
20-11
24-28
19-27
2-16
34-15
29-24
15-27
26-31
163.7Avg total
81.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.784.6172.3+3.157%
Season at home (3)91.775.0166.7+16.7100%
Season away (4)84.891.8176.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)81.482.3163.7-0.940%
Last 5 (5)86.490.4176.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)74.880.1155.0-5.333%
vs Similar (8)69.669.9139.5-0.250%
vs Weaker (1)95.075.0170.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
NacionalCordon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A15/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
66-28
66
28
+38
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/11
Liga Uruguaya
88.7Avg total
47.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.282.8+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.442.685.0-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)40.839.980.7+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)47.041.788.7+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)49.636.686.2+13.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.244.082.2-5.80%-
vs Similar (12)42.043.685.6-1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.238.480.6+3.864%-
This opponent (Cordon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CordonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A04/12
Liga Uruguaya
88.0Avg total
45.9Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.840.181.9+1.745%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.780.8-0.540%-
Last 30 away (14)43.639.583.1+4.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.942.188.0+3.840%-
Last 5 (5)51.044.295.2+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)41.941.383.2+0.638%-
vs Similar (7)39.336.675.9+2.757%-
vs Weaker (1)57.039.096.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.1
52.5%
51.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.9
35.3%
33.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
71.7%13.7
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cordontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cordon: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.6
49.5%
51.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.4
31.5%
33.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.011.8
69.4%
71.7%11.8
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWWWLLWLWW
Cordon
WLWLLWWLLL
#1
League position
#9
+10.6
Net rating
-0.4
111.5
Offensive rating
101.2
100.9
Defensive rating
101.6
52.7%
Effective FG%
48.6%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
13.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.3%
3-point %
31.5%
60.6%
Assist %
55.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 101.2Defence100.9 · 101.6Shooting52.7% · 48.6%3-point %35.3% · 31.5%Ball care13.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds26.1% · 26.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Nacional   ■ Cordon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Nacional wins
2
Cordon wins
DateGameScore
10/05/24Cordon v Nacional66-78 OT
06/05/24Nacional v Cordon81-68
03/05/24Cordon v Nacional66-72
30/04/24Nacional v Cordon60-73
02/04/24Nacional v Cordon69-61
16/03/24Cordon v Nacional86-67
23/01/24Nacional v Cordon86-61
31/10/23Cordon v Nacional65-98
12/11/12Nacional v Cordon70-66
22/09/12Cordon v Nacional78-85
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24HPenarol80-78
07/11/24ATrouville86-70
05/11/24HMalvin84-67
01/11/24HWelcome115-64
25/05/24HAguada82-97
21/05/24AAguada87-92
18/05/24HAguada98-89
15/05/24AAguada101-115
10/05/24ACordon78-66 OT
06/05/24HCordon81-68
Cordonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24ABigua104-97
14/11/24ADefensor65-82
11/11/24HUrunday93-85
08/11/24AAguada97-111
31/10/24APenarol73-77
28/10/24HUrupan87-65
26/10/24HWelcome95-75
10/05/24HNacional66-78 OT
06/05/24ANacional68-81
03/05/24HNacional66-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.293.086.0
Allowed / game69.869.770.0
Point differential+21.5+23.3+16.0
Avg total161.0162.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cordon
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game87.791.784.8
Allowed / game84.675.091.8
Point differential+3.1+16.7-7.0
Avg total172.3166.7176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional440100%91.269.8+21.5
2 Aguada86275%90.279.8+10.5
3 Malvin75271%79.775.0+4.7
4 Hebraica y Macabi75271%88.385.1+3.1
5 Defensor53260%93.687.0+6.6
6 Penarol74357%79.374.7+4.6
7 Cordon74357%87.784.6+3.1
8 Urunday73443%77.180.4-3.3
9 Bigua83538%81.284.8-3.5
10 Urupan72529%79.684.3-4.7
11 Trouville72529%75.082.9-7.9
12 Welcome8080%75.597.1-21.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional3419182798
Cordon1717262383
← all games of the day
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