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Defensor vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 78-88
18-21 20-20 20-26 20-21
Position#5
Record4-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#1
Record10-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game76.1
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Welcome
Other2024-25
Meetings · Defensor v Nacional
26 Mar 2026
DEFE68
NACI80
12 Feb 2026
DEFE82
NACI73
09 May 2025
DEFE80
NACI85
02 May 2025
DEFE87
NACI77
07 Jan 2025
DEFE78
NACI88
26 Mar 2024
DEFE58
NACI95
08 Dec 2023
DEFE91
NACI99
05 Apr 2023
DEFE92
NACI73
28 Mar 2023
DEFE66
NACI78
09 Mar 2023
DEFE87
NACI79
05 Dec 2022
DEFE75
NACI80
07 Mar 2022
DEFE73
NACI66
26 May 2021
DEFE70
NACI73
27 Mar 2021
DEFE88
NACI106
18 Nov 2020
DEFE83
NACI66
09 Nov 2020
DEFE67
NACI80
18 Oct 2019
DEFE79
NACI68
22 Jan 2019
DEFE69
NACI94
14 Dec 2017
DEFE90
NACI89
05 Nov 2012
DEFE100
NACI85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
L
66-103
66
103
-37
46avg 72
A28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 72
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
84-96
84
96
-12
73avg 72
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
100-79
100
79
+21
99avg 72
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
82-65
82
65
+17
76avg 72
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
120-111 OT
120
111
+9
110avg 72
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 72
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
90-59
90
59
+31
93avg 72
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
56avg 72
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
64-70
64
70
-6
51avg 72
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-30
20-21
23-24
9-28
17-23
24-21
22-16
19-24
31-23
11-26
16-24
26-23
31-20
29-18
24-11
16-30
11-20
28-24
27-19
16-2
22-24
26-15
18-27
28-28
29-18
19-20
16-25
14-18
28-6
26-15
18-14
18-24
17-24
16-33
21-17
19-12
19-14
17-14
14-24
14-18
167.3Avg total
83.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.981.2167.1+4.744%
Season at home (3)90.767.7158.3+23.0100%
Season away (6)83.588.0171.5-4.517%
Last 10 (10)83.983.4167.3+0.540%
Last 5 (5)85.081.4166.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.881.9156.7-7.136%
vs Similar (9)85.081.6166.6+3.467%
vs Weaker (10)87.677.4165.0+10.280%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
115-64
115
64
+51
120avg 78
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
84-67
84
67
+17
74avg 78
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 78
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
67avg 78
H13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
87avg 78
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
92-82
92
82
+10
84avg 78
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
90-88
90
88
+2
81avg 78
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
89-75
89
75
+14
76avg 78
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
90-72
90
72
+18
83avg 78
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
97-82
97
82
+15
98avg 78
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-14
32-14
20-23
29-13
27-18
17-15
26-15
14-19
26-11
26-18
13-24
21-17
19-21
21-21
24-17
16-19
34-17
19-17
18-26
27-23
17-17
25-29
23-21
27-15
14-27
24-23
23-24
29-14
23-18
23-15
26-26
17-16
30-18
21-18
22-23
17-13
27-18
25-20
22-13
23-31
168.2Avg total
92.1Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)92.176.1168.2+16.0100%
Season at home (6)93.874.8168.7+19.0100%
Season away (4)89.578.0167.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)92.176.1168.2+16.0100%
Last 5 (5)91.679.8171.4+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.596.5186.0-7.00%
vs Similar (9)88.486.9175.3+1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)83.574.6158.1+8.979%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +4.0+4.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +4.0+4.0
DefensorNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
54-21
54
21
+33
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
84.4Avg total
43.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.340.182.3+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.639.584.1+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.240.680.8-0.462%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.984.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.680.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.539.778.2-1.345%-
vs Similar (9)43.943.187.0+0.867%-
vs Weaker (10)45.037.782.7+7.370%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
66-28
66
28
+38
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
85.3Avg total
48.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.684.3+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.941.186.0+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)42.540.182.7+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)48.436.985.3+11.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.686.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (9)45.644.389.9+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.638.582.2+5.163%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.1
50.6%
51.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.610.2
29.5%
33.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.811.9
75.3%
71.7%11.9
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.1
54.5%
51.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.3
32.7%
33.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.714.2
65.4%
71.7%14.2
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Defensor
LLWLWWWLLL
Nacional
WWWWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
-0.1
Net rating
+19.5
102.3
Offensive rating
111.2
102.4
Defensive rating
91.7
47.6%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.6%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.5%
3-point %
32.7%
61.1%
Assist %
64.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 111.2Defence102.4 · 91.7Shooting47.6% · 52.2%3-point %29.5% · 32.7%Ball care14.0% · 13.6%Off. rebounds25.6% · 27.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 100%
■ Defensor   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Defensor wins
6
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
27/03/24Defensor v Nacional58-95
22/02/24Nacional v Defensor65-72
09/12/23Defensor v Nacional91-99
12/04/23Nacional v Defensor81-71
05/04/23Defensor v Nacional92-73
31/03/23Nacional v Defensor79-73
29/03/23Defensor v Nacional66-78
09/03/23Defensor v Nacional87-79
11/02/23Nacional v Defensor72-85
05/12/22Defensor v Nacional75-80
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24APenarol64-70
16/12/24AMalvin73-86
13/12/24HTrouville90-59
10/12/24AUrunday78-81
05/12/24AWelcome120-111 OT
14/11/24HCordon82-65
08/11/24HBigua100-79
05/11/24AAguada84-96
02/11/24AHebraica y Macabi82-84
28/05/24APenarol66-103
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HBigua97-82
19/12/24AUrunday90-72
16/12/24HUrupan89-75
13/12/24AAguada90-88
10/12/24AHebraica y Macabi92-82
07/12/24HCordon98-83
13/11/24HPenarol80-78
07/11/24ATrouville86-70
05/11/24HMalvin84-67
01/11/24HWelcome115-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%100%17%
Points / game85.990.783.5
Allowed / game81.267.788.0
Point differential+4.7+23.0-4.5
Avg total167.1158.3171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%17%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.193.889.5
Allowed / game76.174.878.0
Point differential+16.0+19.0+11.5
Avg total168.2168.7167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%83%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional10100100%92.176.1+16.0
2 Malvin108280%79.674.1+5.5
3 Penarol118373%82.470.4+12.0
4 Aguada118373%90.678.8+11.8
5 Hebraica y Macabi116555%86.188.3-2.2
6 Urunday105550%77.881.0-3.2
7 Defensor94544%85.981.2+4.7
8 Bigua114736%84.085.9-1.9
9 Cordon114736%83.485.5-2.2
10 Urupan103730%79.884.1-4.3
11 Trouville113827%71.284.0-12.8
12 Welcome110110%75.596.7-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Defensor1820202078
Nacional2120262188
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