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Nacional vs Urunday Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 104-70
25-21 27-23 26-13 26-13
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game88.8
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nacional v Urunday
07 Nov 2025
NACI104
URUN70
10 Feb 2025
NACI99
URUN79
12 Jan 2023
NACI70
URUN68
25 Feb 2022
NACI92
URUN68
10 Jun 2021
NACI95
URUN80
04 Jun 2021
NACI88
URUN81
29 Nov 2019
NACI69
URUN77
05 Mar 2019
NACI81
URUN88
28 Jan 2019
NACI86
URUN78
01 Mar 2018
NACI86
URUN88
31 Oct 2017
NACI89
URUN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urunday winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 83
A26/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
103-98
103
98
+5
96avg 83
H28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
97-96
97
96
+1
86avg 83
A31/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
79-77
79
77
+2
72avg 83
H02/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
43avg 83
H14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
117-106
117
106
+11
117avg 83
A16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
82-79
82
79
+3
68avg 83
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
102-86
102
86
+16
98avg 83
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
80-61
80
61
+19
72avg 83
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
110-93
110
93
+17
101avg 83
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
22-22
18-21
10-24
33-21
21-26
24-20
25-31
35-36
18-24
18-27
26-9
18-17
22-16
15-20
24-24
13-17
17-26
15-20
17-24
32-23
23-24
34-27
28-32
28-26
22-28
20-11
12-14
21-20
29-27
35-17
17-22
14-16
30-19
20-11
16-15
34-23
27-24
26-24
23-22
176.7Avg total
90.4Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.285.3177.5+6.883%
Season at home (3)74.775.7150.3-1.067%
Season away (3)109.795.0204.7+14.7100%
Last 10 (10)90.486.3176.7+4.180%
Last 5 (5)98.285.0183.2+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.087.0149.0-25.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)91.980.5172.4+11.376%
This opponent (Urunday) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrundayUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrunday
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
L
90-97
90
97
-7
84avg 76
A12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
78-77
78
77
+1
73avg 76
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 76
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
113-73
113
73
+40
107avg 76
H09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
105-118
105
118
-13
96avg 76
A13/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
97-74
97
74
+23
96avg 76
H18/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 76
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
86avg 76
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
75-92
75
92
-17
63avg 76
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
20-27
20-19
26-28
23-15
16-26
26-22
13-14
24-18
20-22
14-11
20-23
–
–
–
–
27-22
29-27
31-13
26-11
22-24
22-35
27-27
34-32
25-19
19-17
31-16
22-22
17-27
33-23
21-20
21-27
21-17
26-21
20-15
21-26
23-15
20-29
11-21
21-27
161.7Avg total
83.6Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)95.088.8183.8+6.250%
Season at home (4)93.279.5172.8+13.875%
Season away (2)98.5107.5206.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)83.678.1161.7+5.560%
Last 5 (5)91.492.0183.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.788.8171.4-6.142%
vs Similar (11)80.288.7168.9-8.518%
vs Weaker (7)78.767.9146.6+10.971%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
NacionalUrunday
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A26/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A31/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H02/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
92.9Avg total
48.1Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.442.188.5+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.440.686.0+4.961%-
Last 30 away (12)47.944.492.3+3.558%-
Last 10 (10)48.144.892.9+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)52.046.098.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.043.073.0-13.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)47.042.189.1+4.962%-
This opponent (Urunday) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrundayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A13/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H18/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
90.9Avg total
45.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.145.586.6-4.428%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.643.985.5-2.236%-
Last 30 away (15)40.547.087.5-6.520%-
Last 10 (9)45.745.290.9+0.444%-
Last 5 (5)45.645.491.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.247.687.8-7.317%-
vs Similar (11)40.146.186.2-6.018%-
vs Weaker (6)44.540.284.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.8
50.0%
53.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.2
37.1%
33.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.914.2
71.4%
70.9%14.2
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urundaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urunday: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.7
55.9%
53.3%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.8
31.1%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.514.8
60.4%
70.9%14.8
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWWWWLWWWL
Urunday
LWLWLWWWWL
#2
League position
#9
+4.7
Net rating
+4.1
112.6
Offensive rating
113.4
108.0
Defensive rating
109.3
52.4%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.9%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.1%
3-point %
31.1%
56.6%
Assist %
66.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 113.4Defence108.0 · 109.3Shooting52.4% · 52.2%3-point %37.1% · 31.1%Ball care15.4% · 14.9%Off. rebounds32.4% · 35.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Nacional   ■ Urunday
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Nacional wins
2
Urunday wins
DateGameScore
10/02/25Nacional v Urunday99-79
19/12/24Urunday v Nacional72-90
12/01/23Nacional v Urunday70-68
31/10/22Urunday v Nacional82-85
26/02/22Nacional v Urunday92-68
19/02/22Urunday v Nacional82-79
11/06/21Nacional v Urunday95-80
08/06/21Urunday v Nacional85-72
04/06/21Nacional v Urunday88-81
01/06/21Urunday v Nacional88-91
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/25ABigua110-93
01/11/25HDefensor80-61
24/10/25AGoes102-86
21/10/25HAguada82-79
16/10/25AWelcome117-106
14/10/25HPenarol62-87
02/06/25HAguada79-77
31/05/25AAguada97-96
28/05/25HAguada103-98
26/05/25AAguada72-80
Urundaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/25HHebraica y Macabi75-92
28/10/25HBigua88-79
20/10/25ADefensor92-97
18/10/25HGoes97-74
13/10/25AAguada105-118
09/10/25HWelcome113-73
22/03/25ATrouville20-0
18/03/25AHebraica y Macabi78-74
15/03/25HBigua78-77
12/03/25AWelcome90-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game92.274.7109.7
Allowed / game85.375.795.0
Point differential+6.8-1.0+14.7
Avg total177.5150.3204.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Urunday
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game95.093.298.5
Allowed / game88.879.5107.5
Point differential+6.2+13.8-9.0
Avg total183.8172.8206.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol65183%85.768.5+17.2
2 Nacional65183%92.285.3+6.8
3 Hebraica y Macabi75271%79.775.7+4.0
4 Aguada64267%96.791.5+5.2
5 Malvin64267%86.285.2+1.0
6 Urunday63350%95.088.8+6.2
7 Union Atletica63350%82.882.7+0.2
8 Defensor63350%87.388.3-1.0
9 Bigua63350%87.289.0-1.8
10 Goes61517%81.889.3-7.5
11 Cordon61517%84.293.2-9.0
12 Welcome7070%82.0100.7-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional25272626104
Urunday2123131370
← all games of the day
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