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Union Atletica vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 59-90
20-22 16-26 15-18 8-24
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game70.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Union Atletica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Union Atletica v Penarol
02 Nov 2026
UNIO74
PENA88
20 Oct 2025
UNIO59
PENA90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Union Atletica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Union AtleticaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletica
Date
Competition
Sayago
#13
L
71-75
71
75
-4
no box
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#11
W
78-67
78
67
+11
no box
H28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#14
W
100-94
100
94
+6
no box
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#6
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A14/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#13
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#11
L
79-95
79
95
-16
no box
A21/02
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
no box
A24/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 85
A09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
104-84
104
84
+20
94avg 85
A15/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
15-18
14-28
25-14
20-10
23-12
14-21
21-24
21-24
18-14
19-19
23-23
16-21
16-29
35-20
33-24
25-17
14-16
20-9
21-30
28-24
11-19
20-18
24-20
19-25
19-13
19-23
22-34
19-25
22-22
33-24
23-20
16-11
21-20
19-34
25-19
25-20
29-23
25-22
25-19
167.7Avg total
85.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.584.0176.5+8.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)92.584.0176.5+8.550%
Last 10 (10)85.482.3167.7+3.170%
Last 5 (5)88.887.0175.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.781.5152.3-10.845%
vs Similar (14)80.483.7164.1-3.329%
vs Weaker (5)87.076.4163.4+10.6100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
70avg 79
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
82-73 OT
82
73
+9
72avg 79
H28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 79
H31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 79
H08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 79
A13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
75avg 79
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
87avg 79
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 79
H25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
87-62
87
62
+25
82avg 79
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 79
H17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
23-21
23-20
16-18
18-15
13-14
21-24
17-16
26-15
19-31
25-18
25-24
24-16
17-22
16-16
19-17
8-27
32-10
16-15
22-21
16-18
20-14
14-31
26-32
22-20
21-23
17-14
15-18
17-27
23-17
21-19
17-21
17-13
26-17
20-15
24-17
22-25
21-20
26-22
20-12
163.8Avg total
83.2Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.070.5158.5+17.5100%
Season at home (1)89.079.0168.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)87.062.0149.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.280.6163.8+2.660%
Last 5 (5)84.683.2167.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.386.3164.7-8.00%
vs Similar (4)77.076.2153.2+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.875.0161.8+11.787%
This opponent (Union Atletica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
Union AtleticaPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Union AtleticaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sayago
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#11
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#14
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A14/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/02
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A24/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A15/10
Liga Uruguaya
77.2Avg total
39.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.237.574.8-0.338%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.238.273.4-3.027%-
Last 30 away (18)38.537.175.6+1.444%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.877.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.482.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.438.473.8-3.030%-
vs Similar (14)37.937.275.1+0.736%-
vs Weaker (5)39.036.675.6+2.460%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H31/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/10
Liga Uruguaya
79.2Avg total
40.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.638.180.7+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.738.678.3+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)45.937.583.4+8.486%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.179.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.879.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.743.385.0-1.767%-
vs Similar (4)34.037.071.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.237.681.8+6.674%-
This opponent (Union Atletica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Union Atleticatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Union Atletica: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.523.0
52.9%
53.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.0
31.7%
33.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.513.5
81.8%
70.9%13.5
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.6
53.7%
53.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.89.2
29.9%
33.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.616.3
72.1%
70.9%16.3
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Union Atletica
WLWLWWWWWL
Penarol
WWLLLWWWWL
#6
League position
#1
+6.7
Net rating
+4.1
109.7
Offensive rating
106.4
102.9
Defensive rating
102.3
50.7%
Effective FG%
49.6%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
13.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.7%
3-point %
29.9%
59.1%
Assist %
70.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 106.4Defence102.9 · 102.3Shooting50.7% · 49.6%3-point %31.7% · 29.9%Ball care13.6% · 16.7%Off. rebounds29.4% · 30.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Union Atletica   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Union Atletica wins
0
Penarol wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25ACordon104-84
09/10/25AHebraica y Macabi81-84
24/02/17AGoes97-91
21/02/17AOlimpia Kings79-95
16/02/17HSayago83-81
14/02/17AWelcome80-72
08/02/17ACordon100-94
31/01/17HGoes81-80
28/01/17HOlimpia Kings78-67
24/01/17ASayago71-75
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/25HMalvin89-79
14/10/25ANacional87-62
25/04/25HDefensor78-84
21/04/25ADefensor93-96 OT
17/04/25HDefensor76-95
13/04/25ADefensor78-73
08/04/25HDefensor76-71
31/03/25HCordon95-88
28/03/25HMalvin82-73 OT
17/03/25HAguada78-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Union Atletica
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game92.5-92.5
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential+8.5-+8.5
Avg total176.5-176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.089.087.0
Allowed / game70.579.062.0
Point differential+17.5+10.0+25.0
Avg total158.5168.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol220100%88.070.5+17.5
2 Aguada220100%104.096.0+8.0
3 Defensor43175%96.889.5+7.2
4 Bigua32167%89.087.3+1.7
5 Hebraica y Macabi32167%82.785.0-2.3
6 Urunday42250%101.890.5+11.2
7 Union Atletica21150%92.584.0+8.5
8 Malvin21150%82.083.5-1.5
9 Nacional21150%89.596.5-7.0
10 Cordon3030%79.389.7-10.3
11 Goes3030%82.396.0-13.7
12 Welcome2020%89.5115.0-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Union Atletica201615859
Penarol2226182490
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