PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nacional vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 80-61
14-16 30-19 20-11 16-15
Position#2
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game89.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nacional v Defensor
02 May 2026
NACI97
DEFE73
31 Oct 2025
NACI80
DEFE61
06 May 2025
NACI90
DEFE82
28 Apr 2025
NACI97
DEFE61
27 Mar 2025
NACI81
DEFE69
27 Jan 2025
NACI96
DEFE81
19 Apr 2024
NACI v DEFE
upcoming
22 Feb 2024
NACI65
DEFE72
12 Apr 2023
NACI81
DEFE71
31 Mar 2023
NACI79
DEFE73
11 Feb 2023
NACI72
DEFE85
19 Dec 2021
NACI70
DEFE65
24 May 2021
NACI95
DEFE81
21 Nov 2020
NACI77
DEFE66
14 Nov 2020
NACI67
DEFE68
03 Nov 2020
NACI97
DEFE91
13 Mar 2020
NACI86
DEFE77
07 Jan 2020
NACI86
DEFE73
08 Mar 2019
NACI87
DEFE82
01 Mar 2019
NACI78
DEFE93
09 Nov 2018
NACI87
DEFE92
16 Mar 2018
NACI93
DEFE87
03 Oct 2017
NACI89
DEFE67
24 Oct 2013
NACI77
DEFE83
12 Jan 2013
NACI81
DEFE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
58avg 84
A20/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 84
H23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 84
A26/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
103-98
103
98
+5
96avg 84
H28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
97-96
97
96
+1
86avg 84
A31/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
79-77
79
77
+2
72avg 84
H02/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
43avg 84
H14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
117-106
117
106
+11
117avg 84
A16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
82-79
82
79
+3
68avg 84
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
102-86
102
86
+16
98avg 84
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
12-21
15-16
26-24
14-20
25-25
18-17
16-20
22-13
22-22
18-21
10-24
33-21
21-26
24-20
25-31
35-36
18-24
18-27
26-9
18-17
22-16
15-20
24-24
13-17
17-26
15-20
17-24
32-23
23-24
34-27
28-32
28-26
22-28
20-11
12-14
21-20
29-27
35-17
17-22
173.7Avg total
86.2Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.889.5180.2+1.275%
Season at home (2)72.083.0155.0-11.050%
Season away (2)109.596.0205.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.287.5173.7-1.360%
Last 5 (5)88.487.0175.4+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.087.0149.0-25.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)92.780.4173.0+12.376%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
84avg 78
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
84-78
84
78
+6
79avg 78
A25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
54avg 78
A28/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
87-77
87
77
+10
84avg 78
H02/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 78
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 78
H09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
102-91
102
91
+11
92avg 78
H10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
98-84
98
84
+14
93avg 78
H13/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
90-91
90
91
-1
82avg 78
A17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
97-92
97
92
+5
101avg 78
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
23-21
14-17
18-15
27-17
17-23
19-21
21-17
18-17
17-35
16-23
10-22
26-24
19-21
24-18
18-14
20-21
15-26
22-23
25-20
23-15
16-27
25-16
16-27
25-24
27-23
21-20
29-24
23-23
24-21
27-17
24-23
26-27
16-30
25-16
23-18
27-17
23-33
20-21
27-21
175.5Avg total
87.7Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)96.889.5186.2+7.275%
Season at home (3)99.089.0188.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)90.091.0181.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)87.787.8175.5-0.160%
Last 5 (5)93.488.6182.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.884.3164.1-4.527%
vs Similar (6)84.782.8167.5+1.867%
vs Weaker (9)94.382.3176.7+12.078%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
NacionalDefensor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A20/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A26/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A31/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H02/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
90.4Avg total
44.9Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.142.088.2+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.240.685.8+4.661%-
Last 30 away (12)47.644.291.8+3.458%-
Last 10 (10)44.945.590.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.889.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.043.073.0-13.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)46.742.088.7+4.762%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A28/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H02/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H13/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
89.9Avg total
43.2Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.385.3+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.342.788.0+2.747%-
Last 30 away (15)40.742.082.7-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.246.789.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)46.048.094.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.642.181.7-2.527%-
vs Similar (6)42.846.289.0-3.333%-
vs Weaker (9)48.840.188.9+8.789%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.2
50.1%
53.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.7
33.0%
33.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.813.7
69.2%
70.9%13.7
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.2
57.0%
53.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.8
35.8%
33.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.616.2
71.7%
70.9%16.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWWLWWWLLL
Defensor
WLWWLLWLWW
#2
League position
#7
-2.0
Net rating
+1.8
107.9
Offensive rating
114.7
109.9
Defensive rating
112.9
49.9%
Effective FG%
55.6%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.5%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.0%
3-point %
35.8%
56.3%
Assist %
54.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 114.7Defence109.9 · 112.9Shooting49.9% · 55.6%3-point %33.0% · 35.8%Ball care16.1% · 17.5%Off. rebounds33.6% · 30.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Nacional   ■ Defensor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Nacional wins
2
Defensor wins
DateGameScore
09/05/25Defensor v Nacional80-85
06/05/25Nacional v Defensor90-82
02/05/25Defensor v Nacional87-77
28/04/25Nacional v Defensor97-61
27/03/25Nacional v Defensor81-69
27/01/25Nacional v Defensor96-81
08/01/25Defensor v Nacional78-88
27/03/24Defensor v Nacional58-95
22/02/24Nacional v Defensor65-72
09/12/23Defensor v Nacional91-99
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/25AGoes102-86
21/10/25HAguada82-79
16/10/25AWelcome117-106
14/10/25HPenarol62-87
02/06/25HAguada79-77
31/05/25AAguada97-96
28/05/25HAguada103-98
26/05/25AAguada72-80
23/05/25HAguada73-82
20/05/25AAguada75-84
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/25HUrunday97-92
17/10/25ABigua90-91
13/10/25HHebraica y Macabi98-84
10/10/25HGoes102-91
09/05/25HNacional80-85
06/05/25ANacional82-90
02/05/25HNacional87-77
28/04/25ANacional61-97
25/04/25APenarol84-78
21/04/25HPenarol96-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game90.872.0109.5
Allowed / game89.583.096.0
Point differential+1.2-11.0+13.5
Avg total180.2155.0205.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game96.899.090.0
Allowed / game89.589.091.0
Point differential+7.2+10.0-1.0
Avg total186.2188.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol54180%82.466.2+16.2
2 Defensor43175%96.889.5+7.2
3 Nacional43175%90.889.5+1.2
4 Urunday53260%99.088.2+10.8
5 Union Atletica53260%87.083.6+3.4
6 Aguada53260%94.692.6+2.0
7 Bigua53260%86.084.8+1.2
8 Malvin53260%85.087.0-2.0
9 Hebraica y Macabi53260%74.076.6-2.6
10 Cordon51420%83.890.4-6.6
11 Goes5050%82.694.8-12.2
12 Welcome5050%84.4101.4-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional1430201680
Defensor1619111561
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.