Nacional vs Urunday Result & Analysis

Nacional will host Urunday on 12 November 2026 in the Liga Uruguaya, with the model favouring the home side at 70% to win over Urunday's 30% chance, projecting a 90-84 score and 173.6 total points; the home team's line of -5.0 carries a 55% probability of covering, while the over on the 176.75 total has a 42% chance, and a 5% overtime probability is noted. Nacional's season record of 1-4 shows 89.6 points per game and 95.4 allowed, with a 0-3 home record and 89.7 points per game at home while conceding 96.7; their last five games include a 89-110 loss to Bigua, a 78-83 loss to Hebraica y Macabi, and a 110-124 loss to Goes. Urunday, 2-4 overall, averages 79.7 points and 80.7 allowed, with a 0-2 road record and 74.0 points per game on the road while conceding 79.5; their last five games feature a 70-64 win over Malvin, a 71-79 loss to Defensor, and a 90-71 win over Larranaga. Historically, Nacional leads the 10 meetings 7-3, though Urunday last won 97-94 on 27 January 2026, setting the stage for a tightly contested encounter.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon

70.4%fair 1.42

Best odds1.44

Implied68.4%

Edge+2.0pp

Urunday winLost

29.6%fair 3.38

Best odds3.00

Implied31.6%

Edge-2.0pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nacional

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNacional

Date

Competition

Bigua

100-78

100

+22

97avg 81

H11/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

83-96

-13

73avg 81

H19/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

109-89

109

+20

106avg 81

A21/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

74-87

-13

57avg 81

H25/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

91-92 OT

-1

78avg 81

A28/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

81-83

-2

71avg 81

H21/10

Liga Uruguaya

Atenas

#12

90-77

+13

90avg 81

A22/10

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

110-124

110

124

-14

94avg 81

H27/10

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

78-83

-5

no box

H07/11

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

89-110

110

-21

no box

A10/11

Liga Uruguaya

27-25

12-9

26-19

35-25

25-27

21-30

21-21

16-18

24-26

28-31

32-14

25-18

18-29

21-26

25-16

10-16

20-15

28-22

15-24

17-19

19-29

26-17

21-25

15-12

24-23

25-18

24-11

17-25

28-30

27-28

28-31

27-35

21-25

24-22

16-15

17-21

15-25

29-28

18-28

27-29

182.4Avg total

90.5Scored

91.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	89.6	95.4	185.0	-5.8	20%
Season at home (3)	89.7	96.7	186.3	-7.0	0%
Season away (2)	89.5	93.5	183.0	-4.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	90.5	91.9	182.4	-1.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	95.4	185.0	-5.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	87.4	94.4	181.8	-7.0	20%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	76.0	83.0	159.0	-7.0	0%
vs Weaker (23)	92.7	82.3	175.0	+10.5	74%

This opponent (Urunday) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Urunday

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormUrunday

Date

Competition

Goes

#10

88-84

73avg 76

H23/03

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

67-89

-22

53avg 76

A06/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

86-109

109

-23

70avg 76

H08/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

64-87

-23

45avg 76

A12/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

79-91

-12

66avg 76

H22/10

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

77-80

-3

61avg 76

A25/10

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

91-99

-8

87avg 76

H27/10

Liga Uruguaya

Larranaga

90-71

+19

84avg 76

H30/10

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

71-79

-8

no box

A03/11

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

70-64

no box

H09/11

Liga Uruguaya

24-19

25-24

21-23

18-18

22-31

9-21

24-22

12-15

18-23

30-29

24-34

14-23

14-20

16-15

19-21

15-31

26-24

24-24

7-23

22-20

14-24

19-21

32-16

12-19

31-26

25-14

23-33

12-26

24-13

16-25

24-15

26-18

16-18

21-16

18-27

27-14

12-14

18-14

13-22

163.6Avg total

78.3Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	79.7	80.7	160.3	-1.0	33%
Season at home (4)	82.5	81.2	163.8	+1.2	50%
Season away (2)	74.0	79.5	153.5	-5.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	85.3	163.6	-7.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	78.6	158.4	+1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	77.2	93.8	171.0	-16.6	10%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	80.5	80.9	161.4	-0.5	31%
vs Weaker (7)	102.6	78.4	181.0	+24.1	100%

This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 172Actual: Under 172

Over 172

53.0%

Under 172

47.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 177.25 · main lineActual: Under 177.25

Over 177.25

39.8%

@ 1.80-10.5pp

Under 177.25

60.2%

@ 1.82+10.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.82

Over/Under 182Actual: Under 182

Over 182

29.5%

Under 182

70.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Nacional total 87.5Actual: Nacional under 87.5

Over 87.5

58.9%

@ 1.38-4.6pp

Under 87.5

41.1%

@ 2.40+4.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.38

Under

1xBet

2.40

Nacional total 91.5 · main lineActual: Nacional under 91.5

Over 91.5

43.3%

@ 1.83-7.4pp

Under 91.5

56.7%

@ 1.88+7.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Betano

1.80

Marathon Be

1.80

1xBet

1.71

Under

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.86

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.73

Nacional total 95.5Actual: Nacional under 95.5

Over 95.5

28.7%

@ 2.34-8.7pp

Under 95.5

71.3%

@ 1.40+8.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.34

Under

1xBet

1.40

Urunday total 80.5Actual: Urunday under 80.5

Over 80.5

61.7%

@ 1.40-4.9pp

Under 80.5

38.3%

@ 2.75+4.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.32

Under

Bet365

2.75

1xBet

2.67

Urunday total 84.5 · main lineActual: Urunday under 84.5

Over 84.5

46.4%

@ 1.83-4.8pp

Under 84.5

53.6%

@ 1.88+4.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.60

Under

1xBet

1.88

Betano

1.87

Bet365

1.83

Urunday total 88.5Actual: Urunday under 88.5

Over 88.5

31.8%

@ 2.30-8.8pp

Under 88.5

68.2%

@ 1.55+8.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.30

1xBet

2.12

Under

Bet365

1.55

1xBet

1.47

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Nacional -9.5Actual: Urunday +9.5

NACI -9.5

38.1%

@ 2.50-0.5pp

URUN +9.5

61.9%

@ 1.80+0.5pp

Best 5 market prices

NACI

Bet365

2.50

Pinnacle

2.40

1xBet

2.36

Betfair

1.91

Betano

1.83

URUN

Betfair

1.80

Betano

1.80

Pinnacle

1.51

Bet365

1.50

1xBet

1.42

Spread Nacional -6.5 · main lineActual: Nacional -6.5

NACI -6.5

49.1%

@ 1.95-0.5pp

URUN +6.5

50.9%

@ 1.85+0.5pp

Best 5 market prices

NACI

Bet365

1.95

Betfair

1.91

SBO

1.89

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.88

URUN

Pinnacle

1.85

SBO

1.81

Betfair

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.79

Spread Nacional -3.5Actual: Nacional -3.5

NACI -3.5

60.5%

@ 1.78-0.3pp

URUN +3.5

39.5%

@ 2.36+0.3pp

Best 5 market prices

NACI

Betano

1.78

Bet365

1.64

Pinnacle

1.52

1xBet

1.50

URUN

Pinnacle

2.36

1xBet

2.16

Bet365

2.12

Betano

1.87

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NacionalUrunday

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.5
Last 30 (30)	23.1	23.3	46.4	-0.3	50%	63%
Last 30 at home (17)	23.4	23.9	47.3	-0.5	47%	71%
Last 30 away (13)	22.6	22.6	45.2	+0.0	54%	54%
Last 10 (10)	22.1	25.4	47.5	-3.3	30%	80%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	26.4	47.8	-5.0	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	24.6	44.8	-4.4	0%	40%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	17.5	29.0	46.5	-11.5	0%	50%
vs Weaker (23)	24.2	22.6	46.7	+1.6	65%	70%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 45.5
Last 30 (30)	23.5	21.0	44.5	+2.5	60%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	24.9	20.0	44.9	+4.9	75%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	22.1	44.1	-0.2	43%	50%
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.9	23.6	45.5	-1.7	40%	60%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.8	20.5	42.3	+1.4	54%	38%
vs Weaker (7)	28.9	18.3	47.1	+10.6	100%	57%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	20.3	44.4	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.3	20.1	43.4	+3.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	25.0	20.6	45.6	+4.4	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	23.1	47.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	22.6	48.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.8	23.0	47.8	+1.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	24.0	17.0	41.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (23)	23.9	20.0	43.9	+3.8	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.4	36.0	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (7)	25.1	20.3	45.4	+4.9	71%	-

NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bigua

39-34

H11/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

46-57

-11

H19/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

52-57

-5

A21/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

39-55

-16

H25/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

48-37

+11

A28/05

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

45-46

-1

H21/10

Liga Uruguaya

Atenas

#12

49-41

A22/10

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

55-58

-3

H27/10

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

45-47

-2

H07/11

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

44-53

-9

A10/11

Liga Uruguaya

94.7Avg total

46.2Scored

48.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 89.75
Last 30 (30)	47.1	43.7	90.8	+3.4	57%	60%
Last 30 at home (17)	46.7	44.0	90.7	+2.7	47%	65%
Last 30 away (13)	47.6	43.2	90.8	+4.4	69%	54%
Last 10 (10)	46.2	48.5	94.7	-2.3	30%	80%
Last 5 (5)	47.6	49.0	96.6	-1.4	20%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	45.0	47.6	92.6	-2.6	20%	60%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	41.5	46.0	87.5	-4.5	0%	50%
vs Weaker (23)	48.0	42.6	90.7	+5.4	70%	61%

This opponent (Urunday) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

UrundayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Goes

#10

49-43

H23/03

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

31-52

-21

A06/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

48-52

-4

H08/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

30-35

-5

A12/05

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

50-48

H22/10

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

33-45

-12

A25/10

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

56-40

+16

H27/10

Liga Uruguaya

Larranaga

40-38

H30/10

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

32-36

-4

A03/11

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

39-28

+11

H09/11

Liga Uruguaya

82.5Avg total

40.8Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 89.75
Last 30 (30)	44.4	41.8	86.2	+2.6	60%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	46.6	40.8	87.4	+5.8	81%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	41.9	42.9	84.8	-1.1	36%	36%
Last 10 (10)	40.8	41.7	82.5	-0.9	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	40.0	37.4	77.4	+2.6	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.6	45.4	88.0	-2.8	40%	60%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.5	40.8	81.3	-0.2	54%	23%
vs Weaker (7)	54.0	38.6	92.6	+15.4	100%	57%

This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Urunday win

NACI win

no forecast

@ 1.53

URUN win

no forecast

@ 2.72

1st half Spread Nacional -3.5 · main lineActual: Urunday +3.5

NACI -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

URUN +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.84

1st half Over/Under 89.75 · main lineActual: Under 89.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

Nacional 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Nacional under 45.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

Urunday 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Urunday under 42.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: NACI + total 89.5

NACI & over

no forecast

@ 2.95

NACI & under

no forecast

@ 2.95

1st half: Draw + total 89.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: URUN + total 89.5

URUN & over

no forecast

@ 5.00

URUN & under

no forecast

@ 5.00

1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Under 88.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half Over/Under 91Actual: Under 91

Over

no forecast

@ 2.05

Under

no forecast

@ 1.71

1st half Spread Nacional -4.5Actual: Urunday +4.5

NACI -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.12

URUN +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread Nacional -2.5Actual: Urunday +2.5

NACI -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

URUN +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.03

1st half Over/Under 87.25Actual: Under 87.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

1st half Over/Under 92.5Actual: Under 92.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.22

Under

no forecast

@ 1.58

1st half Spread Nacional -5.5Actual: Urunday +5.5

NACI -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.20

URUN +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.84

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Nacional (regulation)

NACI

no forecast

@ 1.57

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

URUN

no forecast

@ 2.59

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	20.4	43.7	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.4	20.4	44.8	+4.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	24.4	19.9	44.3	+4.5	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	23.7	44.8	-2.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.8	42.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.7	25.0	44.7	-5.3	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.1	22.3	46.4	+1.9	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.4	45.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.0	24.6	47.6	-1.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	13.5	15.5	29.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.6	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.9	40.2	-3.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	21.9	38.1	-5.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	22.4	38.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	14.9	23.4	38.3	-8.5	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.4	17.6	42.0	+6.9	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	40.3	83.5	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.4	40.2	84.6	+4.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.8	40.4	82.2	+1.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	42.2	85.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	46.4	88.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	42.4	46.8	89.2	-4.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	34.5	37.0	71.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (23)	44.2	39.1	83.3	+5.1	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	42.8	83.0	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	44.6	86.1	-3.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	40.9	79.5	-2.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	43.6	81.1	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	41.2	81.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.6	48.4	83.0	-13.8	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.9	40.2	80.1	-0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	48.6	39.9	88.4	+8.7	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

NACI win + total 177.5

🔒 Pro

URUN win + total 177.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: NACI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: URUN leads at half

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (NACI:URUN): split

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (NACI:URUN): NACI wins more

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (NACI:URUN): URUN wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Urunday +12.5	71.7%	1.48	1xBet 1.48	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Urunday +12	70.8%	1.56	Pinnacle 1.56	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
Urunday +13.5	74.6%	1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Under 182.5	71.1%	1.52	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Urunday under 91.5	77.4%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Under 187.5	80.3%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Urunday under 89.5	71.4%	1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Urunday under 90.5	74.5%	1.38	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Nacional under 97.5	77.6%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Nacional under 102.5	89.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Nacional under 95.5	71.3%	1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Urunday under 94.5	84.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Nacional under 101.5	87.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Under 192.5	87.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Urunday under 92.5	80.1%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Nacional under 96.5	74.6%	1.36	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Urunday under 96.5	88.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Nacional under 98.5	80.4%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Urunday under 95.5	86.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Under 186.5	78.6%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Nacional under 100.5	85.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Nacional under 104.5	92.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Nacional under 106.5	94.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Nacional under 108.5	96.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Under 191.5	86.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Nacional under 111.5	98.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Nacional under 112.5	98.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Nacional under 110.5	97.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Urunday under 98.5	91.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Urunday under 100.5	94.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Urunday under 102.5	95.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Urunday under 104.5	97.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Urunday under 105.5	97.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Urunday +26.5	95.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Nacional +14.5	95.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Under 185.5	76.9%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Under 190.5	84.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Urunday under 106.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Under 201.5	94.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Under 196.5	91.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Urunday +25.5	95.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Urunday +31.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Nacional +19.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Nacional +13.5	94.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Under 200.5	94.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Nacional over 71.5	96.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Nacional +9.5	90.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Urunday +30.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Nacional +4.5	81.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Nacional +18.5	97.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Under 195.5	90.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Nacional over 70.5	97.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Urunday +21.5	90.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Urunday over 63.5	97.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Nacional over 72.5	95.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Urunday +16.5	82.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Urunday over 66.5	95.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Urunday over 64.5	96.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Urunday over 65.5	96.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Nacional over 74.5	93.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Lost
Overtime: no	95.3%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Urunday over 67.5	94.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Lost
Urunday over 68.5	93.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Lost
Urunday +20.5	89.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Nacional +8.5	89.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Nacional over 76.5	90.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Lost
Nacional +3.5	78.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Urunday over 69.5	91.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Lost
Over 150.5	91.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Lost
Nacional win	70.4%	1.37	WilliamHill 1.44	Betano 1.38	1xBet 1.37	Betfair 1.36	Marathon Bet 1.36	+2.0pp	Won
Urunday +15.5	79.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Urunday over 70.5	90.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Lost
Nacional over 78.5	86.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Lost
Nacional over 81.5	79.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Lost
Nacional over 80.5	81.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Lost
Over 151.5	90.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Lost
Nacional over 82.5	76.3%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Lost
Urunday over 71.5	88.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Lost
Urunday over 72.5	86.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Lost
Over 152.5	89.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Lost
Over 155.5	86.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-0.0pp	Lost
Urunday over 74.5	81.3%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Lost
Urunday over 73.5	83.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Lost
Over 160.5	78.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Lost
Over 156.5	84.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Lost
Urunday over 75.5	78.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Lost
Urunday over 76.5	75.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Lost
Over 157.5	83.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-2.9pp	Lost
Over 161.5	76.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-3.2pp	Lost
Over 162.5	74.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-5.2pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 93.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.9	24.2	50.5%	50.3%	48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	9.8	34.8%	32.1%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.7	74.8%	70.5%	15.7

They take 76.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Urundaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urunday: 78.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀58%

🏀🏀🏀25%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 58% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.4	22.7	53.5%	50.3%	45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	6.6	24.2%	32.1%	19.8
🏀 Free throws	18.4	13.2	71.7%	70.5%	13.2

They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	18.8	51.5%	50.3%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.7	11.9	35.3%	32.1%	35.7
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.7	74.9%	70.5%	16.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	23.0	54.6%	50.3%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	7.9	33.1%	32.1%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.6	74.4%	70.5%	16.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.4	21.9	50.5%	50.3%	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	9.7	34.8%	32.1%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.7	71.5%	70.5%	15.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	20.5	53.8%	50.3%	41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	9.1	30.9%	32.1%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.7	13.1	66.7%	70.5%	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	17.9	52.2%	50.3%	35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.2	10.6	32.8%	32.1%	31.7
🏀 Free throws	20.4	14.4	70.6%	70.5%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	22.1	54.9%	50.3%	44.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	8.1	33.2%	32.1%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	23.0	15.9	68.9%	70.5%	15.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Nacional

LLLWLLLWLW

Urunday

WLWLLLLLLW

League position

#10

+3.6

Net rating

-8.7

97.4

Offensive rating

86.4

93.7

Defensive rating

95.1

51.1%

Effective FG%

46.8%

52.2%

Opp. effective FG%

52.8%

14.3%

Turnover %

14.5%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.26

34.8%

3-point %

24.2%

52.9%

Assist %

68.9%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Nacional ■ Urunday

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nacional wins

Urunday wins

Date	Game	Score
27/01/26	Urunday v Nacional	97-94
07/11/25	Nacional v Urunday	104-70
10/02/25	Nacional v Urunday	99-79
19/12/24	Urunday v Nacional	72-90
12/01/23	Nacional v Urunday	70-68
31/10/22	Urunday v Nacional	82-85
26/02/22	Nacional v Urunday	92-68
19/02/22	Urunday v Nacional	82-79
11/06/21	Nacional v Urunday	95-80
08/06/21	Urunday v Nacional	85-72

Nacionallast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/26	A	Bigua	89-110
07/11/26	H	Hebraica y Macabi	78-83
27/10/26	H	Goes	110-124
22/10/26	A	Atenas	90-77
21/10/26	H	Aguada	81-83
28/05/26	A	Aguada	91-92 OT
25/05/26	H	Aguada	74-87
21/05/26	A	Aguada	109-89
19/05/26	H	Aguada	83-96
11/05/26	H	Bigua	100-78

Urundaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/26	H	Malvin	70-64
03/11/26	A	Defensor	71-79
30/10/26	H	Larranaga	90-71
27/10/26	H	Bigua	91-99
25/10/26	A	Hebraica y Macabi	77-80
22/10/26	H	Penarol	79-91
12/05/26	A	Penarol	64-87
08/05/26	H	Penarol	86-109
06/05/26	A	Penarol	67-89
23/03/26	H	Goes	88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional

Liga Uruguaya 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	20%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	20%	0%	50%
Points / game	89.6	89.7	89.5
Allowed / game	95.4	96.7	93.5
Point differential	-5.8	-7.0	-4.0
Avg total	185.0	186.3	183.0
Over 177.25	40%	33%	50%
Win by 10+	20%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Urunday

Liga Uruguaya 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	33%
Home	LLWW	50%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	33%	50%	0%
Points / game	79.7	82.5	74.0
Allowed / game	80.7	81.2	79.5
Point differential	-1.0	+1.2	-5.5
Avg total	160.3	163.8	153.5
Over 177.25	17%	25%	0%
Win by 10+	17%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Penarol	5	5	0	100%	89.2	72.0	+17.2
2	Bigua	7	6	1	86%	93.0	84.9	+8.1
3	Goes	6	5	1	83%	93.5	83.7	+9.8
4	Hebraica y Macabi	5	3	2	60%	84.6	81.4	+3.2
5	Defensor	5	3	2	60%	80.0	78.6	+1.4
6	Aguada	6	3	3	50%	76.3	76.8	-0.5
7	Malvin	6	3	3	50%	76.5	79.7	-3.2
8	Urunday	6	2	4	33%	79.7	80.7	-1.0
9	Larranaga	6	2	4	33%	84.7	86.2	-1.5
10	Nacional	5	1	4	20%	89.6	95.4	-5.8
11	Atenas	6	1	5	17%	71.0	88.7	-17.7
12	Union Atletica	7	1	6	14%	78.3	85.9	-7.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nacional	15	20	25	14	74
Urunday	24	17	14	12	67

← all games of the day

Nacional vs Urunday Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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