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Nacional vs Urunday Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 99-79
33-16 24-24 22-16 20-23
Position#1
Record18-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.9
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#8
Record6-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game85.1
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nacional v Urunday
12 Nov 2026
NACI74
URUN67
07 Nov 2025
NACI104
URUN70
10 Feb 2025
NACI99
URUN79
12 Jan 2023
NACI70
URUN68
25 Feb 2022
NACI92
URUN68
10 Jun 2021
NACI95
URUN80
04 Jun 2021
NACI88
URUN81
29 Nov 2019
NACI69
URUN77
05 Mar 2019
NACI81
URUN88
28 Jan 2019
NACI86
URUN78
01 Mar 2018
NACI86
URUN88
31 Oct 2017
NACI89
URUN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urunday winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
W
97-82
97
82
+15
98avg 80
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
76avg 80
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
101-88
101
88
+13
90avg 80
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
88-67
88
67
+21
78avg 80
A14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 80
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
77-81
77
81
-4
69avg 80
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
93avg 80
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
117-69
117
69
+48
128avg 80
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
121-65
121
65
+56
121avg 80
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 80
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
25-20
22-13
23-31
21-18
20-20
26-20
21-20
21-30
25-22
32-17
23-19
20-12
26-19
27-16
15-20
24-23
26-17
22-25
17-20
16-13
22-20
21-13
18-35
23-17
16-19
26-26
31-19
28-21
29-23
30-13
30-12
27-25
36-10
29-14
29-16
20-17
27-17
17-23
22-22
173.5Avg total
96.0Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)93.976.5170.4+17.495%
Season at home (9)93.077.7170.7+15.389%
Season away (10)94.775.5170.2+19.2100%
Last 10 (10)96.077.5173.5+18.590%
Last 5 (5)99.475.0174.4+24.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)86.390.5176.8-4.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)90.374.1164.5+16.292%
This opponent (Urunday) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrundayUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrunday
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
W
85-79
85
79
+6
76avg 72
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
71-68
71
68
+3
70avg 72
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
81avg 72
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
86-97 OT
86
97
-11
76avg 72
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
89-97
89
97
-8
89avg 72
A22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
61-90
61
90
-29
50avg 72
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
77-87
77
87
-10
67avg 72
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
86-98
86
98
-12
82avg 72
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 72
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
77-89
77
89
-12
65avg 72
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
12-22
29-16
20-20
27-15
11-18
19-21
14-14
25-25
13-28
25-24
27-21
26-8
23-23
19-26
13-24
22-23
21-22
20-23
26-29
16-27
18-25
14-22
13-16
16-30
19-21
25-18
17-18
20-27
28-31
15-13
23-27
9-17
29-24
23-28
19-14
19-20
19-23
20-25
19-21
168.8Avg total
80.2Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.785.1163.8-6.432%
Season at home (10)77.284.4161.6-7.230%
Season away (9)80.385.9166.2-5.633%
Last 10 (10)80.288.6168.8-8.420%
Last 5 (5)76.289.4165.6-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)82.886.7169.5-3.936%
vs Similar (14)74.180.4154.5-6.421%
vs Weaker (5)79.878.6158.4+1.260%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
NacionalUrunday
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
63-35
63
35
+28
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
86.0Avg total
47.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.385.0+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.640.586.1+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)45.838.284.1+7.675%-
Last 10 (10)47.938.186.0+9.890%-
Last 5 (5)48.836.485.2+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)43.346.289.5-2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.337.683.9+8.779%-
This opponent (Urunday) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrundayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
84.7Avg total
39.7Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.081.7-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.979.5-2.233%-
Last 30 away (15)40.743.183.9-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)39.745.084.7-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.649.087.6-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.745.385.0-5.518%-
vs Similar (14)38.640.479.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker (5)42.639.482.0+3.240%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 95.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.224.1
53.3%
51.5%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.9
38.0%
33.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.614.3
69.4%
71.7%14.3
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urundaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urunday: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.2
51.5%
51.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.4
35.3%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.114.0
66.4%
71.7%14.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWWWLWWWWW
Urunday
LLLLLLLLWW
#1
League position
#8
+23.1
Net rating
-11.1
118.8
Offensive rating
100.5
95.7
Defensive rating
111.6
54.7%
Effective FG%
52.1%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
12.7%
Turnover %
18.4%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.0%
3-point %
35.3%
67.7%
Assist %
66.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 100.5Defence95.7 · 111.6Shooting54.7% · 52.1%3-point %38.0% · 35.3%Ball care12.7% · 18.4%Off. rebounds31.1% · 21.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Nacional   ■ Urunday
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Nacional wins
3
Urunday wins
DateGameScore
19/12/24Urunday v Nacional72-90
12/01/23Nacional v Urunday70-68
31/10/22Urunday v Nacional82-85
26/02/22Nacional v Urunday92-68
19/02/22Urunday v Nacional82-79
11/06/21Nacional v Urunday95-80
08/06/21Urunday v Nacional85-72
04/06/21Nacional v Urunday88-81
01/06/21Urunday v Nacional88-91
07/05/21Urunday v Nacional20-1
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25ACordon86-79
03/02/25AUrupan121-65
30/01/25AWelcome117-69
27/01/25HDefensor96-81
23/01/25HTrouville77-81
19/01/25APenarol89-85
14/01/25AMalvin88-67
10/01/25HHebraica y Macabi101-88
08/01/25ADefensor88-78
03/01/25HBigua97-82
Urundaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25HHebraica y Macabi77-89
03/02/25HPenarol80-83
31/01/25AAguada86-98
27/01/25HCordon77-87
24/01/25HUrupan61-90
22/01/25AMalvin89-97
16/01/25HWelcome86-97 OT
13/01/25ADefensor90-98
10/01/25ATrouville71-68
07/01/25HBigua85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW95%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %95%89%100%
Points / game93.993.094.7
Allowed / game76.577.775.5
Point differential+17.4+15.3+19.2
Avg total170.4170.7170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%78%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Urunday
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeLLLLL30%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%30%33%
Points / game78.777.280.3
Allowed / game85.184.485.9
Point differential-6.4-7.2-5.6
Avg total163.8161.6166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1918195%93.976.5+17.4
2 Aguada1915479%89.579.9+9.6
3 Penarol1813572%84.774.4+10.2
4 Malvin1912763%79.776.8+2.9
5 Defensor1910953%87.381.9+5.4
6 Hebraica y Macabi1991047%85.387.4-2.1
7 Bigua1881044%84.385.3-1.0
8 Cordon1981142%84.186.2-2.2
9 Urupan1961332%80.586.8-6.3
10 Urunday1961332%78.785.1-6.4
11 Trouville1941521%73.583.5-9.9
12 Welcome1941521%77.394.4-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional3324222099
Urunday1624162379
← all games of the day
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