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Nanterre vs La Rochelle Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 63-76
23-18 16-14 14-23 10-21
Position#13
Record10-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#16
Record3-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game84.5
FranceLNBRound 26· Palais des Sports Maurice Thorez
Domestic2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nanterre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NanterreFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
88avg 90
H09/03
LNB
Nymburk
#3
L
77-100
77
100
-23
67avg 90
H11/03
Champions League
Murcia
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
69avg 90
H19/03
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#10
W
76-67
76
67
+9
84avg 90
A23/03
LNB
Szombathely
#35
W
95-89
95
89
+6
96avg 90
A26/03
Champions League
Limoges
#14
W
96-87
96
87
+9
117avg 90
H28/03
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
84avg 90
A05/04
LNB
AEK Athens
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
69avg 90
A09/04
Champions League
Cholet
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
88avg 90
A12/04
LNB
AEK Athens
#4
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 90
H16/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
20-16
20-23
14-21
19-27
12-21
25-27
21-25
16-20
21-9
27-17
12-25
20-17
14-12
26-14
16-24
21-27
22-20
25-22
27-20
27-30
19-18
22-18
28-21
19-24
24-23
22-19
9-23
25-23
16-19
19-14
9-20
19-25
19-23
21-28
19-12
15-24
27-9
19-19
21-18
162.2Avg total
79.7Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.285.8169.9-1.640%
Season at home (13)82.284.0166.2-1.838%
Season away (12)86.387.7174.0-1.342%
Last 10 (10)79.782.5162.2-2.850%
Last 5 (5)79.882.0161.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.787.5167.2-7.821%
vs Similar (13)83.077.5160.5+5.577%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)89.080.0169.0+9.0100%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Paris
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
84avg 83
H19/01
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
68-94
68
94
-26
76avg 83
A25/01
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
92-90
92
90
+2
108avg 83
H01/02
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
96-73
96
73
+23
109avg 83
H08/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
75-105
75
105
-30
89avg 83
A02/03
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
85avg 83
H09/03
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
88avg 83
A22/03
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
67-87
67
87
-20
78avg 83
A29/03
LNB
Nancy
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
94avg 83
H04/04
LNB
Limoges
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
97avg 83
H11/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-38
20-13
14-28
23-11
27-18
18-28
11-17
12-31
19-24
25-23
23-15
25-28
26-16
21-19
23-18
26-20
14-27
18-31
23-27
20-20
22-28
23-10
18-31
14-17
27-25
14-17
28-18
8-23
13-23
15-28
18-22
21-14
29-24
19-15
17-23
14-26
24-19
22-15
11-25
23-27
166.6Avg total
78.4Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.184.5157.6-11.412%
Season at home (13)76.585.7162.2-9.215%
Season away (12)69.383.2152.6-13.98%
Last 10 (10)78.488.2166.6-9.820%
Last 5 (5)76.086.0162.0-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.085.1158.1-12.112%
vs Similar (2)79.078.0157.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (3)69.759.0128.7+10.7100%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -3.1-3.1
NanterreLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H09/03
LNB
Nymburk
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H11/03
Champions League
Murcia
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H19/03
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A23/03
LNB
Szombathely
#35
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/03
Champions League
Limoges
#14
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/03
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/04
LNB
AEK Athens
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A09/04
Champions League
Cholet
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A12/04
LNB
AEK Athens
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H16/04
Champions League
81.0Avg total
39.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.484.1-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.942.183.9-0.244%-
Last 30 away (12)41.443.084.4-1.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.581.0-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.685.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.944.985.8-3.921%-
vs Similar (13)42.239.581.6+2.754%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)43.539.082.5+4.550%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H19/01
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A25/01
LNB
Dijon
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H01/02
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H08/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A02/03
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/03
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/03
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A29/03
LNB
Nancy
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H04/04
LNB
Limoges
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H11/04
LNB
85.3Avg total
41.2Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.141.278.3-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.440.879.2-2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)35.941.677.6-5.725%-
Last 10 (10)41.244.185.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.882.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.443.480.9-6.028%-
vs Similar (2)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (3)32.324.056.3+8.3100%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.5
54.2%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.8
35.0%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.714.2
68.6%
74.9%14.2
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.119.1
56.0%
54.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.8
36.3%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.816.2
74.3%
74.9%16.2
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nanterre
WLLLWWWWLL
La Rochelle
LLLLLLWWLL
#13
League position
#16
-4.2
Net rating
-12.7
106.9
Offensive rating
105.4
111.2
Defensive rating
118.2
53.6%
Effective FG%
55.4%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
18.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.0%
3-point %
36.3%
74.9%
Assist %
76.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 105.4Defence111.2 · 118.2Shooting53.6% · 55.4%3-point %35.0% · 36.3%Ball care16.5% · 18.8%Off. rebounds26.8% · 18.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Nanterre   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nanterre wins
0
La Rochelle wins
DateGameScore
15/11/24La Rochelle v Nanterre77-98
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25HAEK Athens82-70
12/04/25ACholet78-88
09/04/25AAEK Athens69-76
05/04/25AMonaco74-89
28/03/25HLimoges96-87
26/03/25ASzombathely95-89
23/03/25ASaint Quentin76-67
19/03/25HMurcia76-71
11/03/25HNymburk77-100
09/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne74-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25HLimoges80-86
04/04/25HNancy79-88
29/03/25AJL Bourg67-87
22/03/25ACholet77-83
09/03/25HChalon/Saone77-86
02/03/25ALyon-Villeurbanne75-105
08/02/25HLe Portel96-73
01/02/25HDijon92-90
25/01/25AGravelines-Dunkerque68-94
19/01/25HParis73-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nanterre
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLLWLW38%
AwayLWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %40%38%42%
Points / game84.282.286.3
Allowed / game85.884.087.7
Point differential-1.6-1.8-1.3
Avg total169.9166.2174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
La Rochelle
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWWLLL15%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %12%15%8%
Points / game73.176.569.3
Allowed / game84.585.783.2
Point differential-11.4-9.2-13.9
Avg total157.6162.2152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco2520580%88.777.2+11.5
2 Lyon-Villeurbanne2620677%89.581.8+7.7
3 Paris2519676%94.485.3+9.1
4 Cholet2619773%85.180.8+4.3
5 JL Bourg26161062%88.883.2+5.7
6 Le Mans26141254%86.782.8+3.9
7 Chalon/Saone25121348%86.487.0-0.6
8 Dijon25121348%83.884.6-0.8
9 Nancy25121348%84.888.4-3.5
10 Saint Quentin26121446%77.279.2-2.0
11 Nanterre25101540%84.285.8-1.6
12 Strasbourg26101638%79.584.2-4.7
13 Gravelines-Dunkerque2591636%78.683.0-4.4
14 Limoges2591636%80.385.3-5.0
15 Le Portel2561924%73.381.9-8.6
16 La Rochelle2532212%73.184.5-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nanterre2316141063
La Rochelle1814232176
← all games of the day
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