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AEK Athens vs Nanterre Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 76-69
23-25 19-16 14-19 20-9
Position#4
Record9-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#12
Record9-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Quarter-finals· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
European cup2024
Meetings · AEK Athens v Nanterre
23 Apr 2025
AAT104
NAN69
09 Apr 2025
AAT76
NAN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nanterre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
PAOK
#12
L
65-84
65
84
-19
57avg 79
A13/02
Greek Cup
Panionios
#8
W
80-75
80
75
+5
83avg 79
A01/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 79
A04/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
96-67
96
67
+29
94avg 79
H08/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
84-77
84
77
+7
86avg 79
H11/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
90avg 79
A15/03
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
76avg 79
A19/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
104-83
104
83
+21
108avg 79
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
60-56
60
56
+4
52avg 79
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-76
89
76
+13
83avg 79
H05/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
14-18
19-20
14-23
28-16
23-13
14-20
15-26
32-22
18-19
14-14
13-16
23-16
23-17
28-15
22-19
19-34
20-14
20-17
25-12
26-21
24-14
15-9
25-35
21-27
16-18
24-23
21-15
27-26
24-21
22-19
31-17
15-19
10-16
11-14
24-7
14-14
29-18
27-16
19-28
157.8Avg total
82.7Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.276.0158.2+6.275%
Season at home (6)88.374.2162.5+14.2100%
Season away (6)76.277.8154.0-1.750%
Last 10 (10)82.775.1157.8+7.680%
Last 5 (5)85.075.4160.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.796.0171.7-20.30%
vs Similar (4)86.882.2169.0+4.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.276.5162.7+9.782%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
Cholet
#26
L
84-97
84
97
-13
80avg 92
H11/02
French Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
93-80
93
80
+13
106avg 92
H28/02
LNB
Nymburk
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
91avg 92
A04/03
Champions League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
88avg 92
H09/03
LNB
Nymburk
#3
L
77-100
77
100
-23
67avg 92
H11/03
Champions League
Murcia
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
69avg 92
H19/03
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#10
W
76-67
76
67
+9
84avg 92
A23/03
LNB
Szombathely
#35
W
95-89
95
89
+6
96avg 92
A26/03
Champions League
Limoges
#14
W
96-87
96
87
+9
117avg 92
H28/03
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
84avg 92
A05/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
21-33
24-24
17-19
33-23
18-23
23-24
19-10
24-28
18-20
25-23
23-15
20-28
20-16
20-23
14-21
19-27
12-21
25-27
21-25
16-20
21-9
27-17
12-25
20-17
14-12
26-14
16-24
21-27
22-20
25-22
27-20
27-30
19-18
22-18
28-21
19-24
24-23
22-19
9-23
168.9Avg total
83.5Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.382.0164.3+0.360%
Season at home (8)79.881.1160.9-1.450%
Season away (7)85.383.0168.3+2.371%
Last 10 (10)83.585.4168.9-1.960%
Last 5 (5)83.480.6164.0+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.591.7174.2-9.217%
vs Similar (14)83.978.3162.2+5.679%
vs Weaker (3)92.079.0171.0+13.0100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
AEK AthensNanterre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#12
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A13/02
Greek Cup
Panionios
#8
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A01/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A04/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H11/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A15/03
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A19/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H23/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A26/03
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/04
Basket League
81.0Avg total
42.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.282.3+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.539.183.6+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)41.539.480.9+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.681.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.880.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.746.388.0-4.70%-
vs Similar (4)42.040.882.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.037.981.9+6.173%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#26
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H11/02
French Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H28/02
LNB
Nymburk
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A04/03
Champions League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H09/03
LNB
Nymburk
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H11/03
Champions League
Murcia
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H19/03
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A23/03
LNB
Szombathely
#35
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/03
Champions League
Limoges
#14
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/03
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/04
LNB
85.0Avg total
41.0Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.884.9-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.942.684.5-0.741%-
Last 30 away (13)42.543.085.5-0.531%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.085.0-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.080.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.646.487.0-5.817%-
vs Similar (14)43.339.482.7+3.957%-
vs Weaker (3)42.740.082.7+2.733%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.3
53.5%
52.1%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.5
35.0%
35.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.016.8
70.0%
74.0%16.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.3
56.8%
52.1%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.5
37.6%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.514.5
70.7%
74.0%14.5
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWWLWWWWWL
Nanterre
LWWWWLLWWL
#4
League position
#12
+10.1
Net rating
-2.4
109.4
Offensive rating
109.6
99.2
Defensive rating
111.9
53.2%
Effective FG%
56.7%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.0%
3-point %
37.6%
67.4%
Assist %
73.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 109.6Defence99.2 · 111.9Shooting53.2% · 56.7%3-point %35.0% · 37.6%Ball care16.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds27.2% · 24.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Nanterre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
0
Nanterre wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HPAOK89-76
26/03/25APromitheas60-56
23/03/25HMaroussi104-83
19/03/25ATortona82-83
15/03/25ALavrio90-79
11/03/25HWurzburg84-77
08/03/25HPeristeri96-67
04/03/25AWurzburg77-71
01/03/25APanionios80-75
13/02/25APAOK65-84
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25AMonaco74-89
28/03/25HLimoges96-87
26/03/25ASzombathely95-89
23/03/25ASaint Quentin76-67
19/03/25HMurcia76-71
11/03/25HNymburk77-100
09/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne74-88
04/03/25ANymburk90-86
28/02/25HGravelines-Dunkerque93-80
11/02/25HCholet84-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game82.288.376.2
Allowed / game76.074.277.8
Point differential+6.2+14.2-1.7
Avg total158.2162.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nanterre
Champions League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%50%71%
Points / game82.379.885.3
Allowed / game82.081.183.0
Point differential+0.3-1.4+2.3
Avg total164.3160.9168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife12120100%84.870.5+14.2
2 Unicaja1211192%94.577.9+16.6
3 Nymburk1412286%87.874.8+13.0
4 Tortona1411379%81.974.7+7.1
5 AEK Athens129375%82.276.0+6.2
6 Murcia128467%82.877.4+5.3
7 Galatasaray1510567%84.180.7+3.4
8 Nanterre159660%82.382.0+0.3
9 Bonn106460%81.281.4-0.2
10 Manresa127558%87.881.8+6.1
11 Rytas127558%86.581.8+4.8
12 Reggiana148657%79.480.1-0.7
13 Petkim Spor1810856%80.881.7-0.8
14 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
15 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
16 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
17 Karsiyaka84450%80.877.0+3.8
18 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
19 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
20 Wurzburg126650%84.183.8+0.3
21 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
22 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
23 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
24 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
25 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
26 Manisa147750%87.090.0-3.0
27 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
28 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan94544%83.284.1-0.9
29 Hapoel Holon94544%78.179.4-1.3
30 Benfica83538%75.984.5-8.6
31 Promitheas145936%79.184.1-5.0
32 Oostende93633%77.178.9-1.8
33 Igokea62433%82.286.5-4.3
34 Saint Quentin93633%72.879.0-6.2
35 Szombathely1551033%80.187.3-7.2
36 Peristeri82625%71.674.9-3.2
37 VEF Riga61517%77.380.3-3.0
38 Slask Wroclaw61517%74.582.3-7.8
39 FMP Beograd61517%74.283.8-9.7
40 Vechta61517%78.588.5-10.0
41 Chemnitz81712%77.585.8-8.2
42 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
43 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
44 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
45 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
46 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
47 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
48 Kolossos Rhodes6060%64.583.2-18.7
49 Szczecin6060%64.783.3-18.7
50 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2319142076
Nanterre251619969
← all games of the day
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