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Nanterre vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-88
19-26 23-21 26-19 15-22
Position#12
Record1-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#19
Record2-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3· Palais des Sports Maurice Thorez
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nanterre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NanterreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
101avg 93
A16/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#4
W
90-84
90
84
+6
100avg 93
H18/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
79avg 93
A20/05
LNB
Limoges
#14
L
87-90
87
90
-3
102avg 93
A22/09
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
74-65
74
65
+9
94avg 93
H28/09
LNB
Igokea
#33
L
80-86
80
86
-6
67avg 93
A02/10
Champions League
JL Bourg
#6
L
61-86
61
86
-25
72avg 93
H05/10
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
76-70
76
70
+6
69avg 93
A08/10
Champions League
Le Mans
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
102avg 93
A12/10
LNB
Paris
#1
L
86-102
86
102
-16
98avg 93
A20/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
27-21
12-12
20-41
21-17
25-25
18-27
26-15
18-29
17-16
21-21
18-24
26-18
19-21
18-22
24-29
19-19
24-21
16-12
15-13
15-19
27-20
19-29
19-18
16-23
19-23
18-17
8-23
24-20
11-14
21-15
20-21
28-18
9-21
18-28
32-27
19-30
15-22
21-27
31-23
165.6Avg total
79.7Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.078.0156.0+0.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)78.078.0156.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)79.785.9165.6-6.230%
Last 5 (5)78.087.6165.6-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.191.9174.0-9.833%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.083.5169.5+2.545%
vs Weaker (6)88.281.5169.7+6.767%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
72avg 74
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
76-91
76
91
-15
67avg 74
A29/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
75-99
75
99
-24
64avg 74
A31/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
61-75
61
75
-14
55avg 74
H02/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 74
A28/09
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
85-76
85
76
+9
71avg 74
H01/10
Champions League
Rostock
#12
W
92-65
92
65
+27
80avg 74
A05/10
BBL
Igokea
#33
W
98-80
98
80
+18
91avg 74
H08/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
63avg 74
A11/10
German Cup
Hamburg
#13
W
91-85
91
85
+6
80avg 74
H18/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
20-17
17-23
22-18
11-21
16-28
23-25
26-17
21-22
23-26
16-25
15-26
18-12
15-26
13-22
15-15
15-13
15-21
21-28
25-23
26-15
22-17
18-27
19-17
23-15
24-12
26-6
19-32
21-23
20-18
33-17
24-22
18-23
18-17
23-17
19-29
23-21
24-23
24-19
20-22
162.1Avg total
80.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.578.0169.5+13.5100%
Season at home (2)91.578.0169.5+13.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.781.4162.1-0.750%
Last 5 (5)88.878.4167.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.786.5159.2-13.80%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.481.2166.6+4.283%
vs Weaker (11)92.779.2171.9+13.582%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
NanterreWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#4
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A16/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H18/05
LNB
JL Bourg
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A20/05
LNB
Limoges
#14
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A22/09
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/09
LNB
Igokea
#33
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A02/10
Champions League
JL Bourg
#6
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H05/10
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A08/10
Champions League
Le Mans
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/10
LNB
Paris
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/10
LNB
81.7Avg total
40.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.085.8-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (10)45.545.791.2-0.250%-
Last 30 away (20)41.441.783.1-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.581.7-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.078.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.246.988.2-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.640.585.2+4.164%-
vs Weaker (6)43.740.784.3+3.033%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A29/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A31/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H02/06
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A28/09
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H01/10
Champions League
Rostock
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A05/10
BBL
Igokea
#33
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/10
German Cup
Hamburg
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H18/10
BBL
77.3Avg total
38.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.082.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.138.282.3+5.973%-
Last 30 away (15)40.341.882.1-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.477.3+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.880.6+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.342.074.3-9.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.739.885.5+5.875%-
vs Weaker (11)44.339.183.4+5.264%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.423.2
52.3%
52.1%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.9
32.7%
35.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.411.2
68.3%
74.0%11.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.5
51.5%
52.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.1
34.5%
35.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.016.6
83.0%
74.0%16.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nanterre
LLWLLWLLWL
Wurzburg
WLWWWLLLLW
#12
League position
#19
-12.6
Net rating
-2.1
104.6
Offensive rating
113.5
117.2
Defensive rating
115.5
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
59.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
38.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.7%
3-point %
34.5%
63.8%
Assist %
48.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 113.5Defence117.2 · 115.5Shooting51.2% · 51.6%3-point %32.7% · 34.5%Ball care18.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds31.5% · 38.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Nanterre   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nanterre wins
0
Wurzburg wins
No previous meetings.
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24AParis86-102
12/10/24ALe Mans87-94
08/10/24AHapoel Holon76-70
05/10/24HJL Bourg61-86
02/10/24AIgokea80-86
28/09/24HLe Portel74-65
22/09/24ALimoges87-90
20/05/24AJL Bourg74-90
18/05/24HJL Bourg90-84
16/05/24AJL Bourg82-92
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/24HHamburg91-85
11/10/24AGottingen78-86
08/10/24HIgokea98-80
05/10/24ARostock92-65
01/10/24HHapoel Holon85-76
28/09/24AUlm76-85
02/06/24HBayern61-75
31/05/24ABayern75-99
29/05/24ABayern76-91
24/05/24HUlm75-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nanterre
Champions League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game78.0-78.0
Point differential+0.0-+0.0
Avg total156.0-156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Wurzburg
Champions League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.591.5-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential+13.5+13.5-
Avg total169.5169.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife220100%79.061.5+17.5
2 Unicaja220100%87.572.5+15.0
3 Wurzburg220100%91.578.0+13.5
4 Nymburk550100%86.074.2+11.8
5 Tortona220100%94.583.0+11.5
6 Petkim Spor550100%81.871.0+10.8
7 Szombathely220100%81.073.0+8.0
8 Manisa330100%94.390.3+4.0
9 Bonn43175%85.580.5+5.0
10 Murcia32167%88.076.3+11.7
11 Galatasaray32167%85.784.3+1.3
12 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
13 Chemnitz21150%92.081.0+11.0
14 Saint Quentin21150%79.069.0+10.0
15 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
16 Rytas21150%82.576.0+6.5
17 Manresa21150%88.583.0+5.5
18 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
19 VEF Riga21150%78.575.0+3.5
20 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
21 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
22 Reggiana21150%74.072.5+1.5
23 Nanterre21150%78.078.0+0.0
24 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
25 Karsiyaka21150%80.080.5-0.5
26 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan21150%74.575.5-1.0
27 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
28 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
29 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
30 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
31 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
32 AEK Athens21150%77.082.0-5.0
33 Benfica42250%79.892.0-12.2
34 Oostende31233%81.080.7+0.3
35 Hapoel Holon31233%79.381.0-1.7
36 Promitheas31233%80.383.7-3.3
37 Igokea31233%82.790.0-7.3
38 FMP Beograd31233%72.381.7-9.3
39 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
40 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
41 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
42 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
43 Peristeri3030%70.376.7-6.3
44 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
45 Vechta3030%83.794.7-11.0
46 Slask Wroclaw2020%75.091.0-16.0
47 Szczecin3030%67.784.0-16.3
48 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
49 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
50 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
51 Kolossos Rhodes2020%50.577.5-27.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nanterre1923261583
Wurzburg2621192288
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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